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Pure data thread #1: Daily numbers, graphs, focused analyses

999 replies

BigChocFrenzy · 21/10/2020 17:20

This is pure data, NOT for the "worried about Corona"

We welcome calm factual, data-driven contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these and avoid emotional venting or politics
📈 📉 📊 👍

Resource links

UK:
Uk dashboard R, deaths, cases, hospitals, tests - by postcode, 4 nations, English regions, LAs
Interactive 7-day rolling cases map click on map or by postcode
UK govt pressers Slides & data
SAGE Table Interventions with impacts and R
Imperial UK weekly tables & extrapolations LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots
School statistics Attendance - Tuesdays
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports
UK testing and NHS England track & trace - Thursdays
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports
ONS England, Wales & NI Infection surveillance report - Fridays
ONS Datasets for surveillance reports
Our World in Data UK test positivity
R estimates & daily growth UK & English regions - Fridays
Modelling real number of UK infections February in first wave

England:
NHS England Hospital activity
NHS England Daily deaths
PHE COVID Clinical Risk Factors Non-respiratory by region, area, district etc
Cases Tracker England Local Government
PHE surveillance reports Covid, flu, respiratory diseases - Thursdays
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England

Scotland, Wales, NI:
Scot gov Daily data
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths
NI Dashboard

COVID-19 Risk Factors
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment
PHE Clinical RFs - summary & social vulnerability indicators
PHE Clinical RFs - respiratory disease
PHE Clinical RFs - non-respiratory - CVD,T1, T2, obesity, flu jab coverage
PHE Non-Clinical RFs - deprivation, demography, economic inactivity, ethnicity
PHE Non-Clinical RFs - Vulnerable Groups (1): care / nursing home, MH, visual disabilities
PHE Non-Clinical RFs - homeless, children in care, ESL

Miscell:
Zoe Uk data
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK
Worldometer UK page
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop
Local Mobility Reports for countries
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery
NHS Triage Dashboard Pathways - triages of symptoms
NHS Triage Dashboard Progression - # people pillar 1&2, # triages

Our STUDIES Corner

OP posts:
Thread gallery
81
Littlebelina · 21/10/2020 17:22

Thank you for the thread bigchoc, I've appreciated them.

Abraid2 · 21/10/2020 17:23

Thank you.

Mum2threejs · 21/10/2020 17:24

Thank you so much for this, I’ve become reliant on the daily numbers thread. Flowers

Applesandpears23 · 21/10/2020 17:24

Thank you.

lurker101 · 21/10/2020 17:24

Thanks 😊

midgebabe · 21/10/2020 17:24

Yeah!

MarshaBradyo · 21/10/2020 17:25

Good one BigChoc

BigChocFrenzy · 21/10/2020 17:26

Welcome all Brew
I'm off to the gym, 🏋🏼‍♀️ back later

Reminder of latest status:

UK today

(previous days in brackets)

Cases 26,688 ...... (21,331 18,804 16,982 16,171 15,650 18,980 19,724 17,234 13,972, 12,872, 15,166, 13,864)
Deaths 191 ........( 241 80 67 150 136 138 137 143 50 65 81 87)

OP posts:
PatriciaHolm · 21/10/2020 17:30

waves at @BigChocFrenzy** Thank You! I was in the middle of trying to work out how to cut and paste your first post without losing all the links...

BigChocFrenzy · 21/10/2020 17:31

but must add latest charts by Richard@RP131

. explanation of where today's deaths came from
. overlaid with 9-day doubling
. the table of English regions test results

Pure data thread #1: Daily numbers, graphs, focused analyses
Pure data thread #1: Daily numbers, graphs, focused analyses
Pure data thread #1: Daily numbers, graphs, focused analyses
OP posts:
FATEdestiny · 21/10/2020 17:32

Thank you @BigChocFrenzy

cathyandclare · 21/10/2020 17:36

Thanks BCF- the 9 day doubling chart remains reassuring.

HoldingTight · 21/10/2020 17:36

Thank you BCF Thanks I promise not to be a bad tempered sweary person ever again. I truly value every post and every contributor.

Does anyone know where I can find the breakdown by specimen date of the cases reported by area today? We had quite a jump today 😬

cathyandclare · 21/10/2020 17:36

Relatively reassuring!

HoldingTight · 21/10/2020 17:38

To be clear(er I hope!) I mean a break down by specimen date/date reported of only the cases added today.

TheHouseonHauntedHill · 21/10/2020 17:41

Thanks for op. I will do appreciate these threads, I have not posted much on them but I would miss them.
I prefer the shorter presentation of data without long monologues like dissertations, with clear political under vibes.

As much as I feel the tories have totally effed this up.. I am very glad comrade corybn is not in charge. Starmer... Maybe!

My lips hence forth are sealed. 💋

PatriciaHolm · 21/10/2020 17:42

I know there is a lot of love for @rp131 on Twitter here, and I thought these 3 graphs today were especially interesting - graphs of cases per 100,000 by various regions

Tier 2 top 10 - lots of very flat lines there, with the exceptions of Redcar and Calderdale. Notts an outlier clearly in growing fast and declining as fast - clearly student testing driven I think.

Tier 3 top 10 - shows clear decline in a number of areas, Knowsley/Liverpool/Burnley - way too early to have anything to do with Tier 3 restrictions. But very clear growth in the other T3 areas.

Regions - at regional level, everything is remarkable flatt-ish. West Mids definitely growing, Yorkshire/Humber and the NW too - but lots of very very slow growth over the past 2 weeks in most places.

Pure data thread #1: Daily numbers, graphs, focused analyses
Pure data thread #1: Daily numbers, graphs, focused analyses
Pure data thread #1: Daily numbers, graphs, focused analyses
PatriciaHolm · 21/10/2020 17:44

@HoldingTight

To be clear(er I hope!) I mean a break down by specimen date/date reported of only the cases added today.
coronavirus-staging.data.gov.uk/details/cases?areaType=nation&areaName=England

here - by England only though.

HoldingTight · 21/10/2020 17:44

Thank you Patricia

Racoonworld · 21/10/2020 17:51

Thanks for this thread! I was getting a bit lost in the other thread with all the non-data talk

itsgettingweird · 21/10/2020 17:51

Hellloooooo again everyone!

Sorry I fell off the other threads.

Mad RL here lately.

Thanks again for starting another thread. I don't have a lot to contribute often but welcome the factual links I can read here.

Littleowl thankyou for your continuing messenger service. I've signed up to paid service to continue receiving my daily emails.

Reastie · 21/10/2020 18:06

Mainly lurker here, thank you for the thread and all the time posters esp bigchoc take to share the info, I find it more reliable and ahead of things than MSM.

Grausse · 21/10/2020 18:12

Thanks BCF.
I thought of this thread (and BCF) when I read about the two week circuit breaker in Berchtesgadener Land.
It's behind a paywall so to summarise;
It was said to be because cases had exceeded 270 per 100k and Marcus Soder the regional minister said " There is no other way, we can no longer trace all the contact chains so we must restrict contacts"
It made me wonder if there is a level beyond which T&T is hopeless regardless of how much money is spent / how incompetent the system.

RaggieDolls · 21/10/2020 18:18

Long term lurker momentarily delurking to say thank you for the new thread.

RedToothBrush · 21/10/2020 18:35

Report published 21st October 2020
Cases data from week 12th-18th October 2020
Data extracted covering testing up to 18th October 2020 show that the total number of confirmed cases for the last 7 days is 2877, a decrease of 511 cases on the previous week. The latest weekly rate of Covid-19 in Liverpool is 577.7 per 100,000 population and the latest positivity testing rate* is 18.9%.

Between 14 - 20 October 2020 there were 191 registered deaths in Liverpool, of which 32% (n=61) were COVID-19 deaths

Btw, theres no such this as 'pure data' and you cant stop people posting on MN...