Yeah with Russia you just have to look at the opposite of what they said. Eg
“We are not going to invade Ukraine” = we are about to invade Ukraine.
“Conscripts will not fight” = conscripts are already on the front line
“We are here to de-Nazify Ukraine” = we are here to brainwash kids, rape grannies and install torturers
“There is no war” = we need general mobilisation for this war
“Kherson is Russia forever” = we are about to retreat from Kherson
”We did not bomb Poland” = We bombed Poland
”This is a Nato provocation” = This is a Russian provocation
On the bright side they’re barking mad and you can’t actually win a war if you’re barking mad, so that’s something.