Who will win US Election - Gut feelings

[EveryBiteinBangkok]

I have been half following online and media coverage of the US Election. It is getting close now. What is your gut feeling on who is going to win?

About a month ago, I felt fairly confident that Kamala Harris would win (who I want to win). Now though I am not sure and the amount of rumour and almost conspiracy around it online seems to be reaching fever pitch.

If you had to place a bet (grand national style) who would you go for?

Let’s see who’s right tomorrow

Bookmakers odds are around the same as yesterday so I think it'll be close. Trump still the slight favourite.

Fine but don't make shit up....🙄

Why do you think by a landslide - I can’t find any polling data on that

My gut is saying Trump will win by a landslide. My thoughts, not based on any polling data. The OP asked for gut feelings.

I think it'll be close whichever way it goes.

@Parker231

"Putin needs Trump in office to withdraw the funding to Ukraine and support him trampling all over the country. Then would Poland be next and other NATO countries?"

Exactly- everyone knows that Putin has his sights set on invading Basingstoke next.

Or alternatively after the mauling in Ukraine, Russia might think it wise to leave Poland and other NATO countries alone

Or alternatively after the mauling in Ukraine, Russia might think it wise to leave Poland and other NATO countries alone

Bless

You don't think little girls can be raped and get pregnant? Gosh.

Yes I absolutely do believe young females can yes, it's horrific.
Do you believe a male can be female? Do you believe males should be allowed participate in female only sports?

Yes I absolutely do believe young females can yes, it's horrific.

You were quibbling pointlessly about the pp using the well-known term "women and girls" - commonly used by feminists.

NEW: NBC early exit poll says that democracy and the economy ranked top of voters’ concerns

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE

DEMOCRACY 35
ECONOMY 31
ABORTION 14
IMMIGRATION 11
FOREIGN POLICY 4

No polls have closed yet.
EVERYTHING is speculation still
https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/2024-us-presidential-election-results-live-map

I sincerely doubt there will be another January 6 - however, the cities that are boarding up businesses and have the National Guard on standby are all staunchly Democrat. In 2016, many violent anti-Trump riots broke out. Which is something folks like to forget happened.

My prediction is
Harris 270
Trump 268
Electoral college votes

The electoral..the public vote..senate and house..boom!

I don’t have sympathy with Americans - you have brought this on yourselves but if I was in Ukraine I’d be very worried about what are Trump and Putin going to do between themselves

Not to be morbid but he is quite old, what happens If he dies before he finishes his term?

J D Vance happens, God help us all.

OK that could possibly be even worse.

This is a chart that really surprised me showing the rapid rise in support for Trump amongst the under 30s;

I saw a chart earlier that those with the higher levels of education tended to vote for the Democrats. Too many believed Trump’s lies

Well well well
America you have surprised us, I do feel sorry for the fate of the poor immigrants who were accused of eating cats and dogs.

That speech was nonsense and sounded like it belonged to a drunk person and not someone looking to be president.

Is it the house, the senate, the popular vote, the judiciary all Republican?

It felt like it would be closer, or even Harris in the last few days.