Who will win US Election - Gut feelings

[EveryBiteinBangkok]

I have been half following online and media coverage of the US Election. It is getting close now. What is your gut feeling on who is going to win?

About a month ago, I felt fairly confident that Kamala Harris would win (who I want to win). Now though I am not sure and the amount of rumour and almost conspiracy around it online seems to be reaching fever pitch.

If you had to place a bet (grand national style) who would you go for?

My husband's ex wife's name is "Jane" and we refer to her as "Jane of the North" as she lives up there in Massachusetts, the North of the US! Your post sounds exactly like he describes YOU, Jane! Hard hell bent left, bleeding heart liberal, female, "Nazi-ish".

I'm not Jane. It was a quote.

What the hell?

Admit it, your the crazy ex wife. I bet you have all sorts of terrible lies you would tell about her husband were you ever to meet his new wife in person etc.

@Sheri99 I can understand that, my sense is the rest of the world thinks that too. It seems like it is endless and just dominates too much air time and social media etc. Now I realise even though this election is supposedly tomorrow the results could drag on for days or even weeks?!? Then takes until after Christmas for the change over of power. Everyone else seems to manage this all within a couple of days, so weird.

It is like WWE with the massively over the top rallies and name calling. I think everyone will be relieved when it is over. Just hope that both sides are gracious in both success and defeat.

Anyone on twitter might recognise some of these accounts

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1853208626565206502.html?utm_campaign=topunroll

1. I've found a large, AI-driven bot network on X which is posting in support of Trump in the US election.

Well I can’t see American women voting in trump. And more women than men vote in the US I think?

Again - Brexit
they were wrong there

The women are out voting in vast numbers so far.

It Trump said that he'd be accused of inciting violence & hate!

If you’re into political podcasts last night’s Newsagents is very informative and optimistic, explaining the last minute Kamala surge (previously they have not been very hopeful!)

From all the latest reports it seems to be completely on a knife edge - with it being impossible to call in favour of either. This worries me just in the sense that if Trump loses and it is close he will again claim it is rigged etc..

I think we often only hear the loudest voices in the room - from both sides and there is a huge silent majority who we have no idea how they will vote. You may find a lot of women in republican areas with republican husbands or partners who just wouldn't tell people they are voting Kamala Harris.

You will also get a lot of embarrassed trump voters who would not tell people either.

It's so incredibly close. Each article says one slightly over the other but most say it's impossible to say. It could go either way

I agree with this, I can't see how anyone can confidently say Trump or Kamala right now.

Allan Lichtman has been confidently predicting a win for Kamala Harris for weeks now .

People are using the phrase Roevember.

And I can’t help but think many Republican men will be thinking ‘women are still upset about Roe? But that was months ago!’.

Not long till we find out now.

I am really hoping there will be a lot of Republicans quietly voting for Harris. It really would be the best thing for the party to plan to come back in a few years time with a strong (not Trump) candidate. Harris will not be a popular president and they can spend some time re-grouping for the next election. Otherwise Trump will decimate the Republican party.

Agreed. I was surprised by her previous poll which had Trump 4 pts up in a state he won by 10. But thought it was just a blip. Now this one showing Harris ahead.

Apparent farmers blame Trump for the tariff wars with China et al hurting their sales. Then Roe v Wade. So to quote a US political journalist whose name eludes me I am now ' nauseously optimistic '

I was very surprised to spot a Harris/Walz campaign placard on the side of the road in SE Cornwall. I presume they are nailing their colours to the mast, but the last time I looked, our consitituency was outside the USA.

My heart is with Harris but my gut is fearing the worst. Trump.

Maybe it was a souvenir from one of those Labour activists who went over to try to help the cause!

I hope Harris gets in, but I fear Trump will be elected. I can't understand why people can't see him for what he is.

I’m very much afraid that it’ll be Trump. And even if he loses, he’ll claim once again that the election was ‘stolen’ by those dastardly Democrats.

I think the mood is shifting to Harris but I don't think she will be a good president.