Meet the Other Phone. Only the apps you allow.

Meet the Other Phone.
Only the apps you allow.

Buy now

Please or to access all these features

Chat

Join the discussion and chat with other Mumsnetters about everyday life, relationships and parenting.

Who will win US Election - Gut feelings

665 replies

EveryBiteinBangkok · 24/10/2024 13:00

I have been half following online and media coverage of the US Election. It is getting close now. What is your gut feeling on who is going to win?

About a month ago, I felt fairly confident that Kamala Harris would win (who I want to win). Now though I am not sure and the amount of rumour and almost conspiracy around it online seems to be reaching fever pitch.

If you had to place a bet (grand national style) who would you go for?

OP posts:
Thread gallery
25
Sunnyside4 · 02/11/2024 20:18

Vitriolinsanity · 02/11/2024 17:28

It infuriates me that Biden didn't stand down earlier, Harris might have stood a better chance if she was already President.

As it is, I think Trump will take it.

At which point I hope Melania will divorce him on inauguration day.

Agree!

TempestTost · 02/11/2024 20:23

Harris was always a long shot. She couldn't even seriously make a run for the Democrat nomination, she didn't make it past the first hurdle, the idea that she might win the presidential election was pie in the sky. If Democrats wouldn't choose her, why expect anyone else would?

TokyoSushi · 02/11/2024 20:23

I feel much calmer today, it's going to be Harris, it's going to be fine.

Interested in this thread?

Then you might like threads about this subject:

EasternStandard · 02/11/2024 20:24

TokyoSushi · 02/11/2024 20:23

I feel much calmer today, it's going to be Harris, it's going to be fine.

What have you seen / heard @TokyoSushi ?

TokyoSushi · 02/11/2024 20:27

Mostly just Twitter & polls, (I'm a huge 'news' follower) but I think some early voting is starting to have a sway on the narrative which is swinging back towards Harris.

No concrete evidence, just vibes (😄) and a gut feel, but I feel very calm. Hopefully I'm not eating my words on Wednesday morning!

biscuitandcake · 02/11/2024 20:28

Twitter is always going to feel skewed because of who owns it.

Overtheatlantic · 02/11/2024 20:32

Harris definitely.

TokyoSushi · 02/11/2024 20:52

biscuitandcake · 02/11/2024 20:28

Twitter is always going to feel skewed because of who owns it.

My Twitter feed at least feels skewed to Harris though, which is good!

Meathrosie · 02/11/2024 21:01

Can Harris answer the question "What is a woman correctly"? If she is educated to know & answer "A woman is a biological born female" then she has my vote.

Meathrosie · 02/11/2024 21:10

Also does Harris believe males should be competing in female sport? Trump is very clear that males do not have a place in female sport. And he's right.

mightaswellfaceityoureaddictedtolove · 02/11/2024 21:35

Don't want to post a Daily Mail link but betting now going in favour of Harris.

MightSoundCrassButItsFactual · 02/11/2024 21:40

GreekDogRescue · 29/10/2024 18:56

I’m feeling Trump will win.
the best of 2 not great options

yes , he will

mightaswellfaceityoureaddictedtolove · 02/11/2024 21:42

MightSoundCrassButItsFactual · 02/11/2024 21:40

yes , he will

Why do you say that @MightSoundCrassButItsFactual ? Not goady btw just interested.

biscuitandcake · 02/11/2024 21:50

Michael Moore (one of the few people who correctly predicted Trump's win in 2016) is calling it for Harris so... fingers crossed. Also made his documentary on Trump available on youtube. Depressing on multiple levels s There is loads of stuff I had just forgotten but it wasn't even that long ago.

- YouTube

Enjoy the videos and music that you love, upload original content and share it all with friends, family and the world on YouTube.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=1914s&v=_heq6CkeMH8

juldan · 02/11/2024 21:52

Meathrosie · 02/11/2024 21:10

Also does Harris believe males should be competing in female sport? Trump is very clear that males do not have a place in female sport. And he's right.

@Meathrosie I see you think that women/ girls should be protected. I fully agree so please answer this question.
Which is worse a woman; being kicked out a sports competition by a MAN or dying because MEN decided she has no right to a save abortion/ medical care after miscarriage????
Btw. I am against men in women’ sports/ spaces but at the moment there are much more important issues at stake.
I hope that Americans elect Kamala Harris as Donald Trump will definitely not protect any women’s rights or democracy.
It does not mean that anybody should stop fighting for women’s rights to safe spaces/not allowing men in women sport. Unlike her opponent, Kamala Harris is not a dictator who will silence her critics.

Newsenmum · 02/11/2024 21:57

juldan · 02/11/2024 21:52

@Meathrosie I see you think that women/ girls should be protected. I fully agree so please answer this question.
Which is worse a woman; being kicked out a sports competition by a MAN or dying because MEN decided she has no right to a save abortion/ medical care after miscarriage????
Btw. I am against men in women’ sports/ spaces but at the moment there are much more important issues at stake.
I hope that Americans elect Kamala Harris as Donald Trump will definitely not protect any women’s rights or democracy.
It does not mean that anybody should stop fighting for women’s rights to safe spaces/not allowing men in women sport. Unlike her opponent, Kamala Harris is not a dictator who will silence her critics.

This.

Sadly there are more important issues right now.

Nameinspirationneeded · 02/11/2024 22:16

I’ve just given up on polls as the margin of error seems too big a rely on.
I fear it might be Trump.,Praying for America in general and especially poll workers and election officials after what happened to them last time.

Newsenmum · 02/11/2024 22:18

Once Harris was announced it felt too late.

lightandstars · 02/11/2024 22:39

All the signs on the ground suggest Harris has got this.

Her buoyant, upbeat, confident, happy and friendly demeanour. Contrasted with Trump's increasingly unhinged appearances, looking sulky and downcast like a toddler whose toy has been removed. The desperation behind his last few stunts.

The enormous contrast with the size and feel of their rallies. Hers, enormous, like his were in 2016, and enormously joyous and upbeat. His, small, sparsely attended, with numbers of people leaving early.

Even staunch Republicans are coming out and calling it for Harris.

Fingers crossed! I am hoping for a landslide.

Talkinpeace · 02/11/2024 22:44

Bring it on

Who will win US Election - Gut feelings
GoForARun · 02/11/2024 22:45

Definitely Harris.

dottiehens · 03/11/2024 00:16

All dems vote early by post. However, not long to know for sure. However, those reports about deranged democrats are so true. I found the US so divided and so toxic over the elections.

dottiehens · 03/11/2024 00:24

Radyward · 02/11/2024 12:21

Who in their right mind would heed T swifts endorsement ?. Or for that matter Beyonce ?
No wars
Lower cost of living
Controlled borders
That is what Trump is for / stands for to a lot of the electorate .
Democrat cities have been turned into Sh#%t holes through bidenomics. And dont get me started on defund the police.- what a ridiculous idea

Bring on Trump 24 to ordinary decent Americans.
Anyone watch Joe Rogan??
Trump was never a career politician . Failed business men know where they went wrong and at least tried being a risk taker to succeed!!!
All I'm worried about is vote rigging.
Like seriously 80k votes appear over night for Biden to win Pennsylvania in 2020
I'm sorry i do not want woke/ gender ideologies/ men in my DD changing rooms or in women's sports so that to me is huge to many many women
Kamala can't string 2 coherent sentences. Will fix the border now?.Really after the 4 years you have been in office NOTHING has been done in that regard !! So Trump 24 for me.

Neither do I live in the USA but have heard family members in new jersey who voted Dem before are voting Trump now
To them everything got worse under Biden. These are construction workers in manhattan. Previously doing well and now struggling
It's a no Brainer
No one is going to vote a poor admin in again.
So reproductive rights are at the fore fromt of the demo campaign to appeal to women but equally important to women is their spaces being preserved .

The women spaces. I think this is already gone for good. Recently visited and all the toilets in the city I was were gender neutral. Was having a very intimate conversation with my DD and suddenly saw a man starring and listening to our conversation. Argggg! Why do we need to share toilet spaces with man?. This was not a transgender person it was a bloody man.

lightandstars · 03/11/2024 00:24

deranged democrats

Oh, yes! Weren't they the ones who stormed the Capitol on Jan 6?

Get real. The National Guard are on standby in several states and DC businesses are already boarding up in case things turn violent, and we all know who gets violent and throws their toys out of the pram when election results don't go their way.