Who will win US Election - Gut feelings

[EveryBiteinBangkok]

I have been half following online and media coverage of the US Election. It is getting close now. What is your gut feeling on who is going to win?

About a month ago, I felt fairly confident that Kamala Harris would win (who I want to win). Now though I am not sure and the amount of rumour and almost conspiracy around it online seems to be reaching fever pitch.

If you had to place a bet (grand national style) who would you go for?

I don't feel all together very optimistic for Kamala, but I hope I am wrong.

Who in their right mind would heed T swifts endorsement ?. Or for that matter Beyonce ?
No wars
Lower cost of living
Controlled borders
That is what Trump is for / stands for to a lot of the electorate .
Democrat cities have been turned into Sh#%t holes through bidenomics. And dont get me started on defund the police.- what a ridiculous idea

Bring on Trump 24 to ordinary decent Americans.
Anyone watch Joe Rogan??
Trump was never a career politician . Failed business men know where they went wrong and at least tried being a risk taker to succeed!!!
All I'm worried about is vote rigging.
Like seriously 80k votes appear over night for Biden to win Pennsylvania in 2020
I'm sorry i do not want woke/ gender ideologies/ men in my DD changing rooms or in women's sports so that to me is huge to many many women
Kamala can't string 2 coherent sentences. Will fix the border now?.Really after the 4 years you have been in office NOTHING has been done in that regard !! So Trump 24 for me.

Neither do I live in the USA but have heard family members in new jersey who voted Dem before are voting Trump now
To them everything got worse under Biden. These are construction workers in manhattan. Previously doing well and now struggling
It's a no Brainer
No one is going to vote a poor admin in again.
So reproductive rights are at the fore fromt of the demo campaign to appeal to women but equally important to women is their spaces being preserved .

Looks like you are a big fan of the word salad.

This. I don't understand why the parties think these two are their best choice. I can't abide either of them. Trump is scary and Harris seems high most of the time.

It's rather hilarious, someone who doesn't live in the US (is home a Russian bot farm by any chance?) regurgitating right wing swampfest lies. I've got news for you, blue cities - the same blue cities that overwhelmingly fund red states with their disproportional share of revenue and tax - are only shitholes in the imagination of those who think this man who mimes blow jobs at rallies, is fit to be in any position of power.

And if they're construction workers in Manhattan and not doing well, they maybe aren't very good? Or maybe, they're working for Trump? In this same rally, actually in two rallies on the same day, he boasts about stiffing his contractors.

Failed business men know where they went wrong and at least tried being a risk taker to succeed!!!

Um, if that were true, wouldn't he have learned something the first time that would have prevented the following 5 bankruptcies? And then there's the tax fraud, the sexual assault, the felonies and the being banned from running a charity.

Hope your relatives aren't fond of having health care...

There has also been a strong "he's just a bro" push to encourage men to vote Trump, an idea that its a bit effeminate or "soy boy" or henpecked to vote Kamala. That sort of messaging is particularly effective on young men (who like young women are more vulnerable to peer pressure). I am probably being wildly optimistic but maybe, maybe some men aren't openly cheerleading for Kamala because that is really cringe but might still vote for her in the voting booth. Sort of the opposite that happened in 2016 when people were embarrassed to say they were voting Trump in the polls. So the "gender divide" whilst still existing might be less extreme than the polling suggests.

I have no sources to back this up other than wild optimisim and pollyannaish thinking,

Oh, and you might want to suggest they read up on the knock-on effect of Trump's proposed tariffs and large scale deportation plans for the economy/construction industry. Not a single reputable economist thinks it's going to be good.

It infuriates me that Biden didn't stand down earlier, Harris might have stood a better chance if she was already President.

As it is, I think Trump will take it.

At which point I hope Melania will divorce him on inauguration day.

After todays rally I think he is done and dementia is kicking in as inhibitions are fading fast

Trump. Which is absolutely terrible. It certainly shows the state of humanity at these current times if someone like him can be re-elected as a leader.

Why? He’s a felon, failed business man and in his recent speeches is coming across as having totally lost the plot. Fact checker are being kept busy with his ridiculous lies.

here are some of Trump's noteworthy business failures.

1. Trump Airlines — Trump borrowed $245 million to purchase Eastern Air Shuttle. He branded it Trump Airlines. He added gold bathroom fixtures. Two years later Trump could not cover the interest payment on his loan and defaulted.
2. Trump Beverages — Although Trump touted his water as "one of the purest natural spring waters bottled in the world," it was simply bottled by a third party. Other beverages, including Trump Fire and Trump Power, seem not to have made it to market. And Trump's American Pale Ale died with a trademark withdrawal.
3. Trump Game — Milton Bradley tried to sell it. As did Hasbro. After investment, the game died and went out of circulation.
4. Trump Casinos — Trump filed for bankruptcy three times on his casinos, namely the Trump Taj Mahal, the Trump Marina and the Trump Plaza in New Jersey and the Trump Casino in Indiana. Trump avoided debt obligations of $3 billion the first time. Then $1.8 billion the second time. And then after reorganizing, shuffling money and assets, and waiting four years, Trump again declared bankruptcy after missing ongoing interest payments on multi-million dollar bonds. He was finally forced to step down as chairman.
5. Trump Magazine — Trump Style and Trump World were renamed Trump Magazine to reap advertising dollars from his name recognition. However, Trump Magazine also went out of business.
6. Trump Mortgage — Trump told CNBC in 2006 that "I think it's a great time to start a mortgage company. … The real-estate market is going to be very strong for a long time to come." Then the real estate market collapsed. Trump had hired E.J. Ridings as CEO of Trump Mortgage and boasted that Ridings had been a "top executive of one of Wall Street's most prestigious investment banks." Turned out Ridings had only six months of experience as a stockbroker. Trump Mortgage closed and never paid a $298,274 judgment it owed a former employee, nor the $3,555 it owed in unpaid taxes.
7. Trump Steaks — Trump closed Trump Steaks due to a lack of sales while owing Buckhead Beef $715,000.
8. Trump's Travel Site — GoTrump.com was in business for one year. Failed.
9. Trumpnet — A telephone communication company that abandoned its trademark.
10. Trump Tower Tampa — Trump sold his name to the developers and received $2 million. Then the project went belly-up with only $3,500 left in the company. Condo buyers sued Trump for allegedly misleading them. Trump settled and paid as little as $11,115 to buyers who had lost hundreds of thousands of dollars.
11. Trump University or the Trump Entrepreneur Initiative — Trump staged wealth-building seminars costing up to $34,995 for mentorships that would offer students access to Trump's secrets of success. Instructors turned out to be motivational speakers sometimes with criminal records. Lawsuits and criminal investigations abound.
12. Trump Vodka — Business failed due to a lack of sales.
13. Trump Fragrances — Success by Trump, Empire by Trump, and Donald Trump: The Fragrances all failed due to being discontinued, perhaps as a result of few sales.
14. Trump Mattress — Serta stopped offering a Trump-branded mattress, again likely due to slacking sales.
15. Truth Social — This existing Trump business owes big money, and may well be breathing its last.

He also has difficulty in keeping legal financial records

Mr Trump is the bookies favourite

@Bangin voters who bet don't always make up the majority of the election result. This is a tiny measure of the population

Trump.

It’s easy when there is so many cases of his failings and at the end of this month it’s his sentencing 🤣

@Parker231

Judging by the post I just saw on another thread, @Bangin is a MRA or an incel troll. Don't waste your time.

Thank you💐

Did I hear right? He was pretending to give a mic a BJ?!?