The thing that complicates the electoral college even more is that Nebraska allocates it’s EC votes based on individual district results rather than on a statewide basis, so if the EC comes to a tie it’s all down to how many districts you take in Nebraska! I think I’ve got that right anyway!
On the basis of why the vote is still so close, I think there’s also an element of uncertainty around the voters who have turned 18 since 2020. A lot of the polls focus on registered voters and many you g people are not currently registered to vote - individual state registration deadlines seem to vary throughout October, with some as late as 21st.
On TRIP US they talked about the numbers of new voters that are now eligible to vote since 2020 and also the number of older voters that have died since 2020, but I can’t for the life of me remember what they were 🤣
Last night on Americast they talked about younger voters with young men more likely to vote Trump than Harris, but only 30% of young women supporting the orange toddler. There are a lot of disenfranchised young white men in the US and Trump is going all out to get them onboard, so I don’t know what the democrats can do to try and pull them back in.
In other news, New York is looking a right mess!
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cglkeyjzez2o