@Roussette
Red That is encouraging if I can dare say that. I'd go with the middle figures maybe...
I do think the US figures are on the low side and done very conservatively. I find them hard to believe.
The European figure is close to the Ukrainian one, but the Ukrainian one is if anything is LOWER than the European one, because its KIA + wounded. The European one is KIA only.
You would expect the number of wounded to be more than KIA. A figure of 9000 KIA therefore would be suggestive of more than 12000 casualties. You'd have to go with the lower estimate of 7000 of the European figure to be around the Ukrainian figure.
It surprises me that the European intelligence is going this high tbh. I would have thought it to be more cautious, unless they a) are also trying to inflate numbers to support Ukraine or b) they know something substantially more than the US. So I'm finding it hard to be too confident of the European numbers either. a) seems logical b) well I do have thoughts about this: either they've got something from the Russian end or they are able to better verify what the Ukrainians are saying with a certain degree of confidence from another source...
I think I would probably be inclined to say its between the US and the European/Ukraine number which is likely about the same for that reason.
But for me the whole thing just opens more questions than it answers.