Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022

[boys3]

Whilst I'd love to say all is quiet on New Years Day the reality is:

Welcome to yet another DATA thread.

Our preference is - still - for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.

Please try to keep discussion focused on these.

All the usual links below; New for '22 suggestions always welcome, and there may well be some that just need to go.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

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Placemarking as usual for the excellent info

Settling in early 🥂

Aland Islands having previously only had ~600 cases all time is going through the roof over last few days.

Presumably this is a good example of just how transmissible omicron is, none of the alpha or delta cases that made it in generated that many infections, but omicron straight away into loads of cases. I have no idea what restrictions the Aland islands have had over the time, I imagine without the cruise ships they're just remote and ignored?

China still seems to be following zero covid - their restrictions are insane but are still battling an outbreak

Both Germany and the Netherlands showing an increase in cases, they obviously are both in full lockdown from their delta waves and this is the first time it's reversed since the peak, is this just an artifact of christmas testing? (ie a few days ago it was really higher but reporting dates etc.) or is it that omicron is beginning to find its way past the lockdowns?

Thank you @boys3, following as always!

Copyright infringement?

Happy New Year everyone 🥂

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Thanks for new thread

seven day rates for London, plus a split for inner and outer boroughs.

The inner boroughs as a group - noting clear differences between inner boroughs, Wandsworth a much higher peak rate than Camden for example - quite distinct from the Outer boroughs, again as a group.

Thanks boys
Yes what was that about copyright?

graphs for the Inner London boroughs.

@JanglyBeads

Thanks boys Yes what was that about copyright?

just a U2 moment for the oldies amongst us

Back to London

rates for the outer boroughs; broadly split into geographic groupings (SW, NW etc) - which those from London may have better informed views on of course :)

Here are the first three working clockwise from the Hounslow, Ealing side.

and the final south-west (ish) boroughs

So why South Westish more different from the others who look a lot more like they're not peaked.

Significantly less multi-generational households?
Differences in test availability so SW are undercounted?

Thanks @boys. Splitting London up like that really helps see what's going on doesn't it? Quite clear that the inner London areas have peaked and are into a decline. Outer London, less clear - possibly following a trajectory closer to elsewhere in the South/East of England and may still have a bit more up to do first. What would the peak number of cases per day be for the UK as a whole be do you think if everywhere else follows the same trajectory as inner London, but 1-3 weeks behind?

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@sirfredfredgeorge

So why South Westish more different from the others who look a lot more like they're not peaked.

Significantly less multi-generational households?
Differences in test availability so SW are undercounted?

@sirfredfredgeorge is it the possibly arbitrary geographic cut-off between inner and outer. Wandworth - inner London - but SW quadrant one of the biggest peaks, with spillover into neighbouring outer boroughs? of which they aren't many at least not in my geographic split

It's possible I guess, I'm not sure my mental map of human geography of the area really says that - Kingston / Wandsworth not really having a connection despite the road link and Richmond and Hounslow having a lot in common, but you may well be right, as good a guess as mine!

Yes, it looks quite clear that inner London has peaked , but once schools back and people return from Xmas will rates go back up!!?

as the North West now has the highest latest seven day rate for any region in England. some graphs relating to councils in the region; again with a rough geographic split. NW Mners feel free to correct these as needed.

Starting with Cumbria boroughs; home to the two current highest seven day rates in England. 30th Dec (eg just a two day lag and certainly not complete in reporting terms) has the highest rate for all six councils.

Inner London looks like a peak but I guess we’ll see when schools return