Storm Ciarán

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

This is an early heads up.

Models have consistently been bringing in a deep low pressure for sometime over Wed/Thurs. As is often the case, details are yet to be nailed down, but some of the models are producing some severe gusts - southern coastal winds of up to 90mph and more widespread inland winds of around 60mph. With storms, comes rain too unfortunately. A wobble in the track could take them further north or, keep it all in France. Exactly when and where the low pressure develops will make a big difference in the outcome. More details to follow.

If the storm is named, it will be Storm Ciaran. At that point I'll ask MNHQ to change the title appropriately.

Yellow weather warnings have been issued now too, for wind and heavy rain, on Wed/Thurs. Impact matrix for the yellow wind warning shows high impact but unlikely (for now).

Placemarking. I am meant to be flying to Singapore from Heathrow on Wednesday morning.

I've got to go from London to Leeds on Thursday, think will go up Wednesday and stay up there for work until Friday!

Hmm. Supposed to be driving from S Bucks to mid Cambs 9am Thurs... not a fun journey in ok weather!

placemaking. we are SW

I'm in Plymouth and it's looking a bit lively next week. Lots of flooding already (Looe, Truro, Tamar and coastal).
I've got my beady eyes on you Ciaran.

There are currently weather warnings (yellow, wind and/or rain) every day between now and 2 November, and with all the home nations being affected at some point

on the south coast will be checking in here for updates
thanks all

Checking in with appreciation for all of Kitten’s hard work

Storm Ciaran its been named

Is it just my impression or are later charts showing Ciaran slipping south a bit? (So France will get the worst of it. Not gloating, btw, just saying).

The weather report for a port in north west France has predicted waves at 10 meters for Thursday. Good photo opportunities though!

Yellow warnings issued for most of next week, unfortunately I'm not in any of them

I've just got my big winter coat out - I'm in all the yellow warnings!

out of the 5 weather warnings im in 4

Watching with interest..
Thanks OYBBK as always!

My husband is due to drive home from Wales on Thursday so I’ve warned him to keep an eye on any warnings

Ciarán. The fada is important for pronunciation.

I couldn't work out how to put it on but yes you're very right!

FuzzyPuffling ~ I don't think it's shifted south from what was being shown this morning but at the moment, it does look like N France is going to get a battering from it as well.

Netweather have some thoughts on the storm here and mentions the possibility of another storm coming our way next weekend as well <sigh>

I've asked MNHQ to change the name please.

Models are split as to their route and their development still. I'll have a proper look tomorrow.

I have a lot going on next week. So hopefully it won't be too bad 😔

Watching from Guernsey with only half a house at present 😬

I have to travel to a different location for work Wednesday and it's a grim journey at the best of times (usually an hour and 20) so hoping I'm back home before it all kicks off...

The most likely scenario wind wise at present, is that the worst goes through the channel, but that southern coastal areas will see severe gales and a wider swath of southern england and wales sees general widespread gales.

Ground is saturated and trees are still in full leaf, so I'd expect to see many trees down in this scenario.

I'll be starting a thread for Saturday in the next day or so.