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Weather

Winter Weather outlook

934 replies

OhYouBadBadKitten · 04/09/2022 11:37

Disclaimer: I'm only a weather enthusiast, not a professional meterologist. Take anything I say with a good pinch of salt, I do get things wrong sometimes!

In a normal year I wouldn't dream of starting a winter weather outlook thread at the beginning of September. This year there is a great deal of anxiety and interest about what the weather may hold for us.

Outlooks at this point can only ever be rough hand waving exercises, taking into consideration lots of factors and are likely to be inaccurate. I've been doing a lot of thinking and research over the last couple of weeks as to what might happen this winter. At this point the honest answer is: I haven't a scooby! (this might make this thread a bit pointless at this time!)

Looking at various long term models, solutions range from wet, mild and stormy, to cold and blocked or cold and snowy! I have an instinct that we are more likely to end up with a milder, dry scenario, with some colder incursions at times, but that is instinct and not based on anything quantifiable.

For someone who can talk through the various factors at depth, watch Gavin's winter outlook videos on Youtube.

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JenniferBooth · 11/12/2022 18:21

Ta. oh shit Just seen your Solihull link

reallyworriedjobhunter · 11/12/2022 18:31

Snow now here in Ealing.

ArcaneWireless · 11/12/2022 18:34

Solihull. 😞

OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/12/2022 18:35

If I were the met office Id be considering whether to put an amber warning out for that snow over London.

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OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/12/2022 18:37

OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/12/2022 18:35

If I were the met office Id be considering whether to put an amber warning out for that snow over London.

Argh, posted too soon - for NE london and north of there.

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BumbleNova · 11/12/2022 18:46

Suddenly loads of snow in our patch of Kent. Roughly 8cm and still falling. The forecast looks like more overnight so I don't think we will be going anywhere tomorrow am.

EmmaAgain22 · 11/12/2022 18:48

OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/12/2022 18:37

Argh, posted too soon - for NE london and north of there.

Thanks, that's why I headed home earlier than planned. It said it would start snowing about midnight but I thought earlier...saying that, I thought it would have started by now! Based on my gut feeling as I'm no weather expert 😂

justasking111 · 11/12/2022 18:49

OH is adamant there is NO snow in the south east it's all in bham, and Shropshire M5 M6. anyone want to buy a faulty oracle 🙄😂😂

Turmerictolly · 11/12/2022 19:04

Snowing in SE London

OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/12/2022 19:09

www.mumsnet.com/talk/weather/4696013-snow-warning-for-east-london-and-thereabouts I created a seperate thread for a flash 'warning' for the Kent, east London, Essex snow.

Well done Emma!

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OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/12/2022 19:13

Thanks Turmeric

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SquirmOfEels · 11/12/2022 19:19

Just arrived in Chelsea for a carol concert and it's snowing!

OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/12/2022 19:25

How festive Squirm!

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FourTeaFallOut · 11/12/2022 19:26

SquirmOfEels · 11/12/2022 19:19

Just arrived in Chelsea for a carol concert and it's snowing!

That's proper movie timing, hope you got TV parking and some city slicker fell in love with the local plumber for the full Hallmark Christmas experience.

DillDanding · 11/12/2022 19:36

Please tell me we will get some snow in Hertfordshire!

OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/12/2022 19:41

DillDanding · 11/12/2022 19:36

Please tell me we will get some snow in Hertfordshire!

Yes, probably, though how much will depend on whereabouts in the county you are.

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whojamaflip · 11/12/2022 19:48

Just had a message to say the school is closed tomorrow - all lessons online instead (north glos)

IsadoraQuagmire · 11/12/2022 19:57

SquirmOfEels · 11/12/2022 19:19

Just arrived in Chelsea for a carol concert and it's snowing!

It was snowing in Chelsea earlier, at about 16.30 ish. Only lightly, but I was disgusted, I hate snow. And I'm in Camden now and snow has settled 😠

EmmaAgain22 · 11/12/2022 20:08

IsadoraQuagmire · 11/12/2022 19:57

It was snowing in Chelsea earlier, at about 16.30 ish. Only lightly, but I was disgusted, I hate snow. And I'm in Camden now and snow has settled 😠

Snow just started here in North London, for a minute there I thought we'd escaped.

my late father used to say "well, it may be pretty but ain't nobody needs it". So true.

JenniferBooth · 11/12/2022 20:16

Snowing here too.

GigantosaurusRex · 11/12/2022 20:18

We'd love to have snow here but we never get it and I'm jealous!

OhYouBadBadKitten · 11/12/2022 20:26

GigantosaurusRex · 11/12/2022 20:18

We'd love to have snow here but we never get it and I'm jealous!

Think how I feel. Xmas Grin I'm always forecasting it for other people. It really is my turn now.

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JenniferBooth · 11/12/2022 20:27

I hope this shit is gone in my area by Tuesday.

EmmaAgain22 · 11/12/2022 20:30

JenniferBooth · 11/12/2022 20:27

I hope this shit is gone in my area by Tuesday.

I'll keep my fingers crossed for you. Mum is fretting about a hospital appointment end of week...really can't risk taking her if it's snowy or icy...she will want me to try though!

JenniferBooth · 11/12/2022 20:33

@EmmaAgain22 Would the hospital be able to change it because of the weather. Would they do that?