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Weather

Storm Eunice

999 replies

OhYouBadBadKitten · 14/02/2022 11:57

This thread covers the expected severe weather on Friday - named Storm Eunice by the met office. At the moment there is great uncertainty, so the met office have put out a very wide yellow weather warning. It looks likely that some regions within the warning area will see gusts of 60-70mph inland, with a small chances of inland gusts above 80mph. The storm also carries the potential for some blizzards, but again there is currently considerable uncertainty.

www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2022-02-18

A separate thread exists for Storm Dudley which is expected Wednesday/Thursday.
www.mumsnet.com/Talk/weather/4481213-Storm-Dudley

OP posts:
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RIPWalter · 16/02/2022 19:22

Any predictions on whether DD will be off school on Friday?

The met office forecast nearest to where I live (but we are on higher ground and so is DDs school) is now up to wind speed of 38mph (gusting 65) with an amber warning. We have to drive over exposed moorland for the school run, so I will be making my own assessment in the morning anyway, but the strongest winds aren't forecasts until the middle of the day.

She missed 2 days in January due to teachers/pupils with COVID, so I hope she's not off, she's only 4 but she absolutely loves playgroup/preschool.

OhYouBadBadKitten · 16/02/2022 19:35

Schools are laws unto themselves a bit with cancellations.
I'm going to have some dinner then I'll be back with the latest models.

OP posts:
Crochetcacher · 16/02/2022 19:38

I’m in South Wales in the valleys and worried as my eldest son is being picked up by his dad and driven over to Heathrow on Friday as they have an early flight Saturday morning, he isn’t the most reasonable person but I’m hoping if it’s a red warning he will go a bit later in the day, meant to be going early afternoon.

I’m going to get the bins away, and check everything outside is put away. Will get the candles and torches ready. Get everything charged (good advice thank you).

Thanks OYBBK for the good advice, it’s scary weather but you are very informative.

MondeoFan · 16/02/2022 19:44

@whataboutbob which way will you go? Blackwall tunnel and up the A2? I'm
Guessing the QE2 bridge will be closed all day which will cause traffic going over to Kent.

newnameforthehousehunt · 16/02/2022 19:46

Blowing an absolute gale here in East Anglia which I know is the back of Dudley rather than Eustace, Met Office says gusts here are currently 53 MPH. It makes me anxious about how bad it’ll be on Friday when predictions suggest nearly 70 MPH Sad

RIPWalter · 16/02/2022 19:53

Also for those living coastally in North Wales, high tide and the highest predicted winds are going to hit at approximately the same tide, wind will be cross onshore for much of the North Wales coast.

My friend has a water front property (facing West), so I will be interested to see her pictures of Friday lunchtime.

whataboutbob · 16/02/2022 20:00

@MondeoFan, I go down to junction 7 of the M25, then via Clacket Lane services, towards Dover then up the A249.

Pugtails · 16/02/2022 20:06

I’m due to travel to Edinburgh on Saturday morning by train, praying there’s no disruptions on the line!

Belle2210 · 16/02/2022 20:19

Although I'm not in any weather warning area here in NE Scotland (for a change lately 😂) thought I'd pop onto this thread as I've an interest in weather. With Storm Arwen I've never experienced a storm like it and I'm 35 so been an interesting few months for storms here. I didn't have power for 4 days with friends and ILs off as long as 6 days. Just incase this does get to red warning...

Tips I that I did/wish I'd done:
Take any outdoor pets inside. We had trees fall on our dog kennels. Didn't do much damage thankfully. All of our dogs were already in the house before it hit.
Charge EVERYTHING that's chargeable and get a battery pack if you can.
Know emergency numbers for electric, gas and water suppliers. Have some idea where to get the best phone signal if you're rural.
Torches, batts, candles (remember a lighter or matches. Easy to forget if you don't usually have one)
If you have a wood burner stock up in the room it's in if you've outside wood storage. These are great for heating up some water or food. Alluminum pie trays were great for heating food.
Fill any flasks with boiling water before the storm worsens.
Rake out the camping stove and gas.
Have a hot bath or shower before the storm hits.
Move your car to somewhere away from trees if possible.
Get some bottled water and food that doesn't need cooked/refrigerated. If you've something able to re heat food then have something cooked and good to go.
If the power goes off don't open your fridge or freezer.
Pre Download some movies.
Board games are great.
Hoover and make sure your washing is up to date 😂. Honestly what a midden after only 4 days.
If you WFH send any documents someone might need if you did have a power cut.
If you work out and about trust your instincts and do try and get home before the worst of it. People here had an awful time getting home because of blocked roads.
Get on a local Facebook page/group. Great for knowing where theres hot food vans, leisure centres open for showers etc.

Text updates on powercuts come frequently and aren't always accurate. Will usually say the same or following day.... Definitely wasn't the case here.

Hopefully none of you will need this but handy for any future big storms too 💕.

HalfShrunkMoreToGo · 16/02/2022 20:23

Looks like we've had a teeny bit of a downgrade on BBC forecast, gone from all in the 60s to 40s and 50s

Maireas · 16/02/2022 20:26

@HalfShrunkMoreToGo

Looks like we've had a teeny bit of a downgrade on BBC forecast, gone from all in the 60s to 40s and 50s
That's something 🤞
Hasselhoffsheadband · 16/02/2022 20:30

Marking place on this thread!

Have also had a bit of a downgrade on the BBC site, but still high on Met Office. I know nothing about weather so am following for OYBBK's knowledge!

WreckTangled · 16/02/2022 20:33

Met office is showing gusts of 70mph here. I'm just east of OYBBK. I'm pleased I'm WFH friday, we've not had a long power cut since the Christmas of 2014 (when it was off for 24 hours), wonder if this will change our good run.

OhYouBadBadKitten · 16/02/2022 20:42

ok. A run down of some of the models. Just a few of the windspeeds shown. Some of the variation is because the low is progged for more north or more south a path, some because they all have different depths and speed that they are travelling through, some because of the intervals at which each chart is incremented in.So treat them as a rather broad hand sweep at the moment. (I truly hope that paragraph makes sense)

Arpege 12z - Not nearly as bad looking for the bristol channel. Still brings widespread gusts of 70-80mph across the south and into London. Higher around the Wash mid afternoon.

UKV - brings gusts in of the 90-100mph off the north Devon coast, 80+ around the Bristol area, 90-95 through part of central southern England, higher along the Sussex coast 80mph for a time in London, 85 inland from the Wash.

ICON - 100+mph south cost of Wales, 90mph Bristol, 80-90 through central southern England and south east coasts 70-80 through London, 90 in Essex.

UK Met Similar to Icon, with a little less in Essex but very stormy around the Wash mid afternoon.

GFS - not so much use for this rough analysis. It has time intervals of 6 hours which misses all the details.

The main takeaway I think from this, is that there isn't too much point in trying to work out what sort of wind speeds you will see, almost all model runs bring in a very deep and potentially destructive storm.

Expect railway lines to close on Friday. LNER are asking people not to travel, SWR are saying that there will be a network wide speed limit.

OP posts:
colouringindoors · 16/02/2022 20:43

Wow that Sennen forecast is incredible! Big fan of Sennen and the end of Cornwall. My planned journey from SE to Northumberland Fri morning does not look sensible so am going to do half of it Thur night...

purplesequins · 16/02/2022 20:45

mobile.twitter.com/WestWeather/status/1494044024403107845

looks scary.

take sensible precautions and keep safe.

hope the roofs are keeping up and the damage is limited.

LIZS · 16/02/2022 20:46

@Pugtails

I’m due to travel to Edinburgh on Saturday morning by train, praying there’s no disruptions on the line!
Ds due to travel on Friday, already postponed his trip once.
Unoriginal43 · 16/02/2022 20:49

I just found this thread in a mild panic as have a large family day out planned for London on Friday for my DS birthday. I guess it’s going to be a cancellation!

pussycatunpickingcrossesagain · 16/02/2022 20:49

Thanks OYBBK Wine

Unoriginal43 · 16/02/2022 20:49

@OhYouBadBadKitten super info!

Fedupmum13 · 16/02/2022 20:55

I live south Wales and drive rural roads for 30 miles to get to work as a teacher, I'm worried

MermaidEyes · 16/02/2022 20:56

@HalfShrunkMoreToGo

Looks like we've had a teeny bit of a downgrade on BBC forecast, gone from all in the 60s to 40s and 50s

Yes, I just noticed that, slightly more reassuring although still bloody windy! Supposedly it's currently 42mph outside where I am, can't hear it downstairs for the tv but it's loud upstairs.

JacketOnTheHook · 16/02/2022 21:00

So these are the forecasts for my area.
Looks like I need to batten down the hatches? Qny other advice please?

Storm Eunice
Storm Eunice
springbabydays · 16/02/2022 21:01

Place marking, thank you for updates!

Rowgtfc72 · 16/02/2022 21:04

Just come to bed and forecasts say couple of hours more of Dudley still to come. Gusts are horrendous. Worried now about Eunice.
Thinking maybe we should empty the loft? Dh will think I'm deranged but I hate even slightly windy weather.