Badkittens and Gloria Will it snow at Christmas Thread

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Just realised it's the 1st December!

It's a just for fun thread at this point as it's going to be highly inaccurate until we get much closer to the date.

Just a reminder that I'm only an amateur. I do this as a hobby. Please don't rely on my forecasts for decisions that matter - use the met office for those.

Also, I'm on my phone today without access to weather models, so it's a bit of a teaser start to the thread

I've kind of got bored posting invididual forecasts for each day when the weather looks so benign.

Basically wet on and off for th next few days, gently calming down after Sunday. For Christmas Eve perhaps some fog in the NW but other than that mild grey and damp in the south and rather nice in Scotland if not very festive. Christmas Day and Boxing day, just grey and mild really.

I'm keeping an eye on developments for NYE when it looks like there's potential for the traditional Scottish NYE gales. More as we get closer.

Oooh, that sounds interesting! We will be on the west coast of Clare in Ireland on NYE, about 0.5km inland from the coast, so gales are an awesome adventure!!

And DF got a conservatory added to the house a couple of years ago, complete with log burner for winter use, facing the sea - it's a wonderful place to sit and read in a gale/storm.

Biddy, can Imcome and stay? It sounds absolutely perfect!

It is, if you get the place to yourself!

Unfortunately, that doesn't happen at NY - it's a big family gathering with a party for neighbours....

Tell ya what, find a good storm in early spring, give me 2 days notice and you book a flight and I'll arrange the beds!!

That actually sounds bloody amazing

Where skies are clear sunset look northwards just after the sun goes down, or just before sunrise there's a fairly decent chance of seeing nacreous clouds (also known as mother of pearl clouds). Chances are best from Sunday onwards.

They are pretty rare and really beautiful.
A good article: www.atoptics.co.uk/highsky/nacr1.htm

Also, there will be a full moon tonight ~ known as a 'Cold Moon.'

Latest Outlook from the metoffice. All a bit 'meh' really and sounds like they're waiting to see what happens high up in the atmosphere....

UK Outlook for Wednesday 26 Dec 2018 to Friday 4 Jan 2019:
Boxing Day should be mostly settled with a ridge of high pressure across the UK. Southerly winds will bring mild air across many parts making Boxing Day a rather cloudy affair with drizzly patches over western coasts and hills. The best of any bright or sunny spells likely in the east or northeast. Through the remainder of December and into early January settled conditions should dominate bringing variable amounts of cloud across many parts with temperatures generally around normal. Any clear spells overnight will bring a risk of frost or fog, with fog patches being slow to clear. Northern parts of the UK are likely to see showery periods or longer spells of rain accompanied by strong winds. An increasing chance for northern hill snow through early January.

UK Outlook for Saturday 5 Jan 2019 to Saturday 19 Jan 2019:
Generally quite settled and dry across the south with variable amounts of cloud and overnight mist and fog patches. Perhaps more changeable in the north with rain and stronger winds at times. Probably turning more widely unsettled for a time in early January with showers or longer spells of rain and stronger winds affecting all parts along with some hill snow in the north. Then, further into January, most probably becoming colder and drier than normal, with an increased likelihood of easterly winds. There is uncertainty at this stage, but this could see an increased chance of snow across many areas. Despite the potential change to colder weather through mid-January, some milder, wet and windy interludes remain possible throughout the period.

Signs of a snowy spell again? (but 2 weeks away, so waaaay into the future)

There were some lovely clouds here but not the multi coloured ones.

What time was that Blackeyed?

Well I guess we now know it isn't going to snow for Christmas but at least this week is looking chilly/occasionally frosty.
The metoffice are still hinting at something colder after the new year, especially from mid-January...

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days

UK Outlook for Friday 28 Dec 2018 to Sunday 6 Jan 2019:
The last few days of December see high pressure lying to the south of the UK. On Friday settled, cloudy conditions prevail in the south, whilst a band of rain and possibly some hill snow spreads eastwards across northern areas. This will followed by colder, clearer showery weather by Saturday. A similar pattern is likely into the first week of the New Year, with generally settled weather conditions predominating, especially in the south, but with occasional bouts of strong winds, rain and hill snow across the north and northwest, followed by colder, showery conditions. Where skies clear overnight there will be an increased risk of frost and fog. Temperatures generally mild to start, but trending downwards as we go into January.

UK Outlook for Monday 7 Jan 2019 to Monday 21 Jan 2019:
The second week of January will probably be settled and generally dry across the south, with variable amounts of cloud and overnight mist and fog patches. In the north there may be more changeable weather at times, with occasional wet and windy weather bringing a risk of gales and hill snow. By mid-month there is a greater chance of colder weather, with a increasing likelihood of frost, fog and snow, with these conditions probably continuing for the rest of the period. Despite the potential change to much colder weather during mid-January, some milder, wet and windy interludes remain possible throughout the period.

Colder would be quite good really.
There's not a lot to say about the Christmas weatheris there? GFS really did get it wrong.

around sunset.

they were west then south of us. (wind direction) bet they were bloody awsome from the south.

I've woken up to sunshine and frost in High Peak which is a welcome amd festive change from the relentless heavy rain we've been having.

Woke up to a hard frost and clear skies in Edinburgh. Fife coast and further inland looked foggy.
Blazing sunshine now, but still frosty in the shade....all looks how Christmas should look.

It might not be a white Christmas but it looks like it's going to be a foggy one ~ metoffice weather warnings today and tomorrow.

OYBBK ~ I've noticed a lot of the posters on netweather are leaving off looking at the model runs until after Christmas, when hopefully things will get a bit more exciting after the New Year.

Well spotted Gloria. Have yourself a Foggy Little Christmas

Hope Santa doesn't get lost.

And a Foggy Little One to you as well, OYBBK
I'm sure Santa is fitting fog lights to Rudolph as we speak!

surely he uses rudolfs nose...

then one foggy Christmas eve...

santa put approximately 8000 green bottles in his sleigh to collect all the milk and whiskey left out for him

You're right, Blackeyed ~ it's his nose that shows the way and I believe this year, Santa's changed it for an LED one for extra brightness.

Ohhh and that's where all the bottles went to. Last time I looked, there were several thousand and then they were gone. Santa's been at it again!

Good job we left some really isn't it.

we had to get it down a consideral amount by Christmas.

the milk goes out in the snow, I believe, where it freezes and every time they need a fresh pint they just pop out and retrieve one to defrost...

other wise santa would be extremely drunk and desperate for a wee by the time he got back..

-4.2 degrees C. No snow.
Here endeth the weather report from the Cairngorms National Park.