Snow watch part 6 (!) / Easter 2018

[GloriaSmud]

As Snow watch part 5 is almost full, there's a few days of milder weather forecast and we're coming up to Easter, thought now would be a good time to start a new thread.

There are signs that winter might not be finished with us yet.

The run up to Easter could be wintry…

Oh no!! We're flying down from Glasgow to London on Easter Sunday and catching a connecting flight to New York from Heathrow. If this weather stuffs things up I don't know what I'll do. Who would have thought we would be worrying about flight cancellations due to snow on Easter Sunday? Shiiiiiiiit!!!

Thanks kitten.

I am glad there isnt any correlation too Gertrudethestag 😉

Interesting little film from Tomasz Schafernaker ~ his thoughts on what could happen at Easter.

Yes there are definitely more reliable sources but this has just popped up for next week!

Noooooooooooooooo

Ooo Snowiest I hope so, about time we were in with a shout up here!

I'm actually becoming more concerned at the sheer volume of water that looks like may fall over Easter weekend for the south, especially the SW and Wales. Snow still shows, but at fairly short lived bursts and mostly for northern hilly areas.

Metoffice are still going for a colder than average Easter but getting warmer towards mid-April.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:
Sunny spells and showers on Sunday and Monday. Turning wet and windy in the west later on Monday. Mostly cloudy on Tuesday with outbreaks of rain, hill snow in Scotland.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 27 Mar 2018 to Thursday 5 Apr 2018:
It will be unsettled on Tuesday, with rain for many and hill snow in the north. Showers will become more widespread for Wednesday, with snow for northern hills. For the rest of this period, the weather will remain changeable, with showers and rain at times, interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. Snow may also occur at times, more especially in the north. Temperatures are likely to be rather cold, with an increasing risk of overnight frosts. The Easter weekend is too far away to be confident with any details. The most likely scenario currently is a spell of colder than average weather, with increased likelihood of overnight frosts, and a greater than normal chance of snow showers, especially in the north.

UK Outlook for Friday 6 Apr 2018 to Friday 20 Apr 2018:
Colder than average conditions are likely to prevail overall in April. It will often be showery, with fairly light winds, and a continued chance of overnight frosts. The showers could be heavy with hail and thunder at times, but there are also likely to be good spells of sunshine in-between. Showers or longer spells of rain could occasionally fall as snow, mainly over higher ground and in the north. Any milder, wetter and windier spells are likely to be relatively short lived. Towards the middle of the month, it is possible that we could start to see some warmer weather, less cold nights, and it may become drier generally.

Our local news says we are due "two artic blasts"

Oops an unfortunate typo there. I obviously meant arctic.

The was laughing at how the media makes it sound like Armageddon. Even though we will probably get some chilly rain / sleet or light snow

at 'artic blasts.'
(Reminds me of the time I typed too quickly and posted 'Newtweather' instead of Netweather!)

Just seen on the national and local weather forecasts, reference made to colder weather towards the end of next week.

The met office don't half edge their bets. They use the phrase 'it's possible' far too much. Surely most weather scenarios are 'possible'.
'It's possible by mid April we 'may' get some warmer weather.' Really.

If they started to explain the level of probabilities then their forecasts would be really really long

A messy picture this week but we have moved away from the snow fest that GFS was showing a couple of days ago. It actually looks like Wednesday is our snowiest day this week.

How come met office or bbc aren't saying any snow for Wednesday ??

If you have a look at the map, for most people it's not, it's rain and even then it doesn't agree with the met office for intensity

Remember this is just one weather model. and one run of the model at that. There are many weather models, often violently disagreeing with each other and even themselves.

Ah ok.
I assumed the blue was snow for the whole country .
Where is the snow showing .
Am rubbish at understanding the maps you post haha

Thanks OYBBC. I'm hoping for no snow! So I'm pleased the models are showing a less snowy set up.

Everything I can see for London is about 9c and heavy rain, which is what I usually expect at Easter!

icantdothis2017 I think the snow is the stripy areas.

Yes, snow is stripy areas :)

I’m not sure I’m glad about the lack of stripy areas here or depressed by the huge amount of rain we might get instead.

I'm off to Bangor in N.Wales next weekend. So far the weather forecast is changing so much I don't know whether to go or not!
They had non stop snow for Thursday (the day we travel) and now it's rain.
I don't know what to pack. Help!

And is that big green blob to the east headed our way too?

wellies smurf

Slightly getting my hopes up that the snow (in the south) has been cancelled? Seems to have gone from the forecasts and temperature of 9 degrees next week? Looks very wet though and the rivers are close to bursting round here.