BadKittens Just For Fun Christmas forecast thread.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Disclaimer: This is for fun, any accuracy, especially this far out is entirely coincidental! I'm an amateur forecaster. Things will change between now and Christmas day

Christmas Eve just squeezes into GFS model range so here we go :) as other models come into range, I'll be using those too.

23rd December High pressure looks to dominate. Cold - temps close to freezing. A little potential for snow, even in the south. Ensembles almost all show cold, so confidence is more reasonable than usual at this time frame.

Christmas Eve Cold weather with a low potential for snow continues.

we don't have a wood burner. We could all sit round the barbecue if the worst came to it.

Exit! I think that was wishful thinking!

I think the storm on Christmas day may track further north than the 23/24 storm, taking less of Scotland into the worst of its winds. Fingers crossed.

I'm not bothered about the weather itself we aren't going anywhere, losing power is a concern. We are pretty far north and pretty spread out. Took a few days to get the whole area on last big storm we had. SSE did send out lovely food vans for meals and we did trek into Inverness for an evening in tesco and Burger King

I want to be where Moose is!

Winds have been down graded for Central Scotland for the 25th, but it's having a wee practice today. Think I might actually get wet, dog walking this morning which hasn't happened for weeks.

The storm on christmas day is looking weaker on all models now. Models often struggle with which storm will be strongest in these sort of circumstances.

Was surprised to see on last night's GFS run to see not-so-horrible Christmas Day weather showing for Scotland/North. The 23rd/24th storm is still looking a nasty one though.
(Hope no one minds me posting the) current metoffice weather warnings.

Hail lashing the windows. Very, very windy. We still have power but not sure how long for. And Friday is to be worse!

Snow this morning in parts of Aberdeenshire - Balmoral Castle has posted a video on Facebook.

Looking at the Braemar Snowgate it looks like snow has melted.

HamletsSister, hope the power holds. Lashing rain and set to get worse is not great.

Does anyone know what the weather is looking like for Boxing day and 27th?

We've got to get a ferry from Dublin to Holyhead and then have a long drive, and I'm really worried about it because we have, have, have to get home that night
They've already cancelled our outward crossing on Friday because the weather is going to be so bad

It looks a lot calmer at the moment, 26th, still some strong winds around. 27th high pressure takes over.

Heavy snow now at mine Would love if it hung around until Xmas day

howya where are you?

In the highlands #Perihelion, didn't snow for long but heavy showers blowing through, wonder what we will wake up to tomorrow

you may end up with some more howya. There's a risk throughout tomorrow for you. Friday is more complicated - could be a right old mix.

Braemar snowgate closed. That's my short route cut off. Melt by Saturday?

nannynick (Hope you don't mind me answering) Don't think there's much chance of being able to use that route but would check while traveling. Looks pretty snowy today, rain/snow mix tomorrow during daylight hours but then more snow overnight and throughout Saturday.

BBC report here on the possible disruption Storm Barbara might cause.

Storm showing up well here.

Gloria, thanks. Forecast for Saturday is looking like snow over high ground so could make for a fun drive!

4am Saturday is looking particularly not great - so I will need to check the conditions during the journey on Saturday (driving Stoke to Ballater, via Aberdeen if mountain route bad).

sorry, long day out yesterday. Followed by late night

Oh OYBBK.
Should we talk quietly and hand over paracetamol and strong coffee?

Hope it was a good evening.

pretty fierce day in scotland, but no one up there needs to be told that! Probably not so much in the way of snow I think until this evening, when the heavy rain could turn to snow for a while.
Fortunately the system is actually further north than was shown a few days ago.

Further south, very windy, wet for all by the end of today but once it clears through it will leave quite a nice clear night, albeit windy.

Tomorrow not a bad day away from Scotland (especially western side). Even there the weather will become less bad. North West England could see some heavy showers or rain for a while. Southern England, perfectly reasonable day.

Christmas day - dull and mild. Some rain and wind in scotland but nothing too terrible, just not seasonal.

Boxing day - colder, sunny for many - in fact rather nice for a walk, if rather squelchy underfoot, some snow showers in parts of Scotland.

For much of the rest of the week high pressure looks to dominate and it looks quite seasonal, if not snowy. A little teaser from GFS for the week they go back to school - it shows a potentially snowy cold set up. Spect that'll be gone in a model run or two, but it looks quite potentially quite fun!