BadKittens Just For Fun Christmas forecast thread.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Disclaimer: This is for fun, any accuracy, especially this far out is entirely coincidental! I'm an amateur forecaster. Things will change between now and Christmas day

Christmas Eve just squeezes into GFS model range so here we go :) as other models come into range, I'll be using those too.

23rd December High pressure looks to dominate. Cold - temps close to freezing. A little potential for snow, even in the south. Ensembles almost all show cold, so confidence is more reasonable than usual at this time frame.

Christmas Eve Cold weather with a low potential for snow continues.

About this proper cold over Europe...? We're off to Prague for Christmas, should I be getting even more excited than I already am, OYBBK?

As ling as it doesn't snow before I manage to move house a white (either frost or snow or sand) would be delightful.

Love this thread, frost & clear & bright would be lovely, so long as it's not grey & damp.

Oh lovely, thank you OYBBK, always enjoy these threads though I do not hold out any real hope of Christmas snow, a nice frost would do.

London horribly mild a few days ago, much prefer the frosty coldness and looking forward to its return.

Cold crisp frosty the 22nd-24th and then snow from 4am on Christmas Day would be nice.

I too am travelling on Christmas Eve so need to be able to drive through high and low areas of the British Isles.

Morning all :)

23rd December
noooo!!! The high pressure is shown to crumble - instead GFS shows a very wet and stormy say. Silly, silly GFS.

Christmas Eve
I hope Santa has good waterproofs and strong reindeer

Christmas Day
I'm dreaming of a soooogggy Christmas.....

Ok, nobody panic, GFS has overcooked rain recently. It probably went to the pub last night and has a terrible hangover this morning. When I look at the ensembles, they show that the operational run is waaaay out on a limb from all of the other runs. The rest show much more seasonal weather.

say it isn't so!

That's so 2016, mind...

I'm dreaming, of a soggy Christmas.
Just like it was the year before.

Let's just hope the flooding, does not come a returning, as the riverbanks are not yet restored.

I'm dreaming of a soggy Christmas....

I'm in Switzerland for Christmas.

laughs

Place marking.

We have Aussie relatives here-they NEED the snow!

Place marking.

fear not friends, all is not lost yet!

nannynick < rain hat.

I saw the GFS and compared it with the ensembles, and just read all the doom and gloom on the netweather winter threads and thought, 'but it's just one run and Christmas is way ahead yet, it could/probably will all change again.' 'Tis too early to be writing off the chance of a cold/white Christmas already.
(But I'll take soothing anyway - never too early in the day for that!)

Love this thread! Thanks kitten. This thread got us home safely a couple of years ago!
Am peeking through my fingers at latest run then, hoping it might change!

Oh I'm late! Thanks for doing this Kitten. Incidently the Fail has us slated for the warmest christmas ever (again )

2 years ago it was pleasantly freezing - ice, frost, woodburner didn't go out for at least 10 days. Last year it was soggy I recall. I'd rather have the frost than the sog.

The Metoffice outlook over Christmas/into January.

UK Outlook for Friday 23 Dec 2016 to Friday 6 Jan 2017:

Whilst there is a good deal of uncertainty for this period, it is most likely that more settled conditions may dominate associated with high pressure affecting the UK. If the pressure does build, then we can expect drier than average conditions for most areas with lighter winds. Temperatures are also then likely to be below average with an increased risk of frost and fog, especially where skies remain clear overnight. There will probably also be some milder, unsettled interludes though, and as we head into the New Year this may become more of a feature in our weather, with the greatest likelihood of changeable conditions in the northwest, giving rain here at times.

Thanks Gloria and Kitten your advice is always appreciated

Thanks Gloria :) sounds like a very typical winter set up - a bit of everything possible.

Greetings from Canada! I'll just leave this here ....

cor Moose - I think all of our pipes would suffer from catastrophic failure at those temps.

Have been watching Ice Pilots, who fly in North West Territories. At minus 40 even the planes don't like it.

Is -25 about typical this time of year Moose?

Pretty typical for here. It's a little late, if anything. I'm a Director at our local airport, so I know how much we spend de-icing aircraft!
We also have an ice road just north of us. It hasn't been cold enough for long enough to open it yet.

Nooooo!

This is all my fault. I bought the sledge.

Maybe if I ebay it the cold weather will come back.

Worth a try Mission.

Would I have to sell it as second hand?

Unused red plastic sledge. Not convinced it will make 99p but yes, might be worth a try.