@Adelishious
I totally accept that there may be 7 times the likelyhood of an attempt on a partners life with prior strangulation as a factor. However, my point still stands. If someone were to say that this week they have a very high, almost certain chance of winning the lottery because they'd bought 7 tickets you'd think they'd gone completely bonkers.
Re your lottery analogy, that isn't how statistics work... especially as 70% of over 18s in the UK play the lottery and barely any are "winning the lottery" even once.
Whereas two women a week are killed by a current or previous partner in the UK.
Two women a week. Every week.
And research shows that the women who are murdered are seven times more likely than other victims to have been strangled by their murderer than other victims.
You said there's "zero evidence" he is likely to go on to kill her and hopefully now concede you were wrong. You said it was "extremely unlikely" and again hopefully now concede you were wrong.
It's a huge marker for pre empting murder, so much so that the law in England and Wales is being updated to give sentences specifically to address the issue of non fatal strangulation to try to prevent both fatal and non fatal strangulation.
www.gov.uk/government/publications/domestic-abuse-bill-2020-factsheets/strangulation-and-suffocation
"strangulation and asphyxiation were the second most common method of killing in female homicides - 29% or 17% - as compared to only 3% of male homicides. Non-fatal strangulation offences were significantly under-charged across the UK notwithstanding they were recognised as a common feature of domestic abuse and were a well-known risk indicator. Strangulation was also difficult to prosecute, given there was often no or very few physical marks. In some case, it was not prosecuted at all."
What OP's partner has done is a criminal offence that can result in up to five years in prison.
Minimising it by saying it isn't that likely he'll go on to kill her and that people are exaggerating how dangerous it is is frankly bizarre and I'm not sure who you think it's benefitting.