"So what if you are proved right?" Well, there will be one more rough sleeper in my area; one more child without a dad; one more hospital bed taken up by a helpless drunk; perhaps a couple more women coming on Mumsnet and breaking everyone's hearts with stories about how their lives have turned to shit because a close male relative, who used to have everything going for him, didn't stop drinking.
"Surely that is his choice?" If it really was his "choice" then none of us would be here, would we? We would all have reached the point where we said, "enough is enough" and stopped. Just like that. No slips or backsliding, no wrestling with demons, no weeping with shame at another failure, another broken promise. That's what it was like for me and I know that, for at least some of the people, that's what it's like for them.
You are right - we have all chosen not to drink today. How did we all get to that position? Also, this is only the beginning - it is a decision we take every day. Sometimes, I used to forget to take that decision, or even decide not to take it. It was horrific.
"How can AA help him?" Well, perhaps it can't. If he is not willing to be honest about his drinking, he hasn't got a hope. And even then he may decide that AA is not for him. But, in the mean time, I would feel I was cheating him to tell him that he had a good chance of succeeding by cutting down. I don't even need experience or AA theory to say that - his failure is taking place before my eyes.
When my own doctor told me that I might not see 30 if I continued drinking, and I nevertheless drank that very day, do you think it was a choice to do so? It certainly wasn't a rational one. I believed that something magical and mystical would happen between then and my 30th birthday - if I had taken him seriously on a rational basis, I would have stopped immediately, of course.
The most pernicious feature of alcoholism (imho) is that it convinces you that the maddest things are, in fact, the result of a rational and reasonable thought process.
But I do apologise sincerely if, in publicising that viewpoint, I have upset anyone else.