Dates:
Following the hunger strikes and SF's decision to focus on 'the ballot box' tit for tat sectarian violence continued in the context of massive policing, during which it became clear that the government was willing to do whatever it took to prevent a win for either side and that there was no possibility of either Provos or Unionists 'winning'.
Ceasefires were announced in 1994.
Feb 1996 - Provo ceasefire over.
Bomb in London.
Garda shot in Co Limerick.
Bomb in Manchester.
May - Sinn Fein willing to accept Mitchell Principles.
Bomb found in Dublin.
July -Unionist riots over policing decisions on marches.
August - Bomb in Enniskillen.
...Various 'I'll blink if you blink' tactics by paramilitaries on both sides through late 1996 and up to early 1998...
Hanging over all was the promise of peace, the memory of the successful stand of families against the hunger strike, and small acts of defiance within nationalist communities against the grip of the Provos.
Conservative govt relies on Unionist support.
Labour elected.
The Good Friday Agreement was signed on Good Friday 1998.
August 1998 -- bomb in Omagh wipes out all vestiges of popular support for violence. Popular revulsion against violence made it impossible for SF to keep on resisting decommissioning.
In both NI and the Republic of Ireland the agreement was ratified in 1998 by popular vote. It was very clear to the Provos in the wake of the referenda and in particular in the wake of the Omagh bomb that the majority of people in both NI and Ireland wanted an end to the armed struggle for all-Ireland unification and supported the main planks of the Agreement -- a devolved, inclusive government, prisoner release, troop reductions, targets for paramilitary decommissioning, provisions for polls on Irish reunification, civil rights measures and parity of esteem for the two communities in Northern Ireland.
The nature of the Provisional IRA and UVF (i.e violent gangs), and the massive policing presence, meant that their modus operandi was to enforce respective community silence through terror -- reinforcing their power within their own communities by kneecapping, beatings, rape, etc. The UVF et al and the Provos and INLA, etc. were well able to fund their own activities the same way that other armed gangs fund themselves - racketeering, extortion, robbery, etc. None of them depended exclusively on outside support.
Support from outside had its place, just as support from outside of the West Bank and Gaza by terror-loving groups who prefer to play at international politics from the comfort of their armchairs has its place in the continued efforts to dislodge Israel. In fact, given the almost complete lack of resources in the West Bank and Gaza, outside financial support for the purchase of weapons is vital.
The Palestinians are pawns. Their welfare is not a concern to their Muslim brethren who think the conflict is winnable. It's a pity the ME anti-Semites seem unable to grasp that Israel is here to stay, that they are not going to win against Israel, and that no amount of money or efforts by Fatah or Hamas is going to make a difference.
Money would make a difference to quality of life in Gaza and the West Bank of course. But quality of life for Palestinians is not a concern for those willing to use Palestinian lives to advance their agenda.