You lovely expereinced MBers (@Underworld345 @titch plus anyone else who can help me)
I have a query on strategy for the smarkets intro offer, T&Cs are here
Basically refund of losses on next five matches, max £10/match.
So I have selected my West Ham. What is my strategy?
Should I just do a normal (not matched) £10 bet on each of the next five West Ham games?
If so, should I go for something more likely to get winnings (e.g. Saturday back West Ham for the win @ 1.84) and if they win I get 18.40 (8.40 profit) and if they loose I get my £10 back which I can use again.
Or should I go big e.g. the draw at 3.65?
Bigger chance of just getting the £10 refund to use on a match of my choice using traditional MB where i can seem to be extracting 70% ish run rate so far.
Or should I do the guaranteed profit method and back a west ham result on smarkets and lay it on betfair using the oddmonkey calculator? But TBH I am struggling to see how that ends up being better NPV positive with this offer as my £10 is safe anyway?
Any explanation / help / guidance is muchos appreciated!