The Result

[RedToothBrush]

Exit poll in 5 mins.

Pull up a chair.

Any idea what Haunted Victorian Pencil’s seat is predicted to do?

Just a point about the new constituency boundaries.

These changes heavily favoured the Conservatives over Labour because of the demographics. But given the swing from the Conservatives to Reform, it's actually in practice potentially benefitting Reform because of that shared demography.

Having grown up in Lincolnshire (where a lot of Reform morons are targeting) the areas are really deprived and poorly educated. There is high immigration mainly due to farming - but the locals hate foreigners despite the fact they were not willing to fill those roles themselves. I've faced A LOT of racism as a non-British person living there.

When they arrive in small boats, they're put wherever they're put. And they're not put in cosy middle class villages in the cotswolds or wealthy areas of London!

The story of the night is Reform not votes for Labour.

This is going to be the analysis of the night I feel, Tories losing all that 2019 gain to Reform, which split the vote and handed Labour the win. Its a hollow victory for Labour but if youre a Labour fan who cares, a big win is a big win. Keir owes Farage a good few pints!

Sometimes they don’t have a choice - thinking of the area I was born in, lots of families were relocated from London by councils into this area for housing.

From BBC news?

Bye then!

How can they claim that when Labour have won more votes than last time on a lower turn out?

The Tories have won significantly fewer.

Bad analysis.

Yes: Lab +6%, Ref +13%, Con -19%.
Swing from Con to Lab & Ref.

I’ve posted the BBC swing graph up thread. The “swing” is to do with the position of the party that held the seat in the last time, not the other parties. That’s how the swing graphs work.

I guess the Tories are learning that you reap what you sow!

@ginandtonic1122 aren't things awful in a similar way there? And the US? ( I don't comment on other countries outside those as I've not paid so much attention)

There's a difference between immigrants and asylum seekers.

Blythe are in

Too close to call - 53% Lab, 47% Con

3.4% is nowt. It was more like a 70% swing for Tory to Reform

You are the one who brought Lammys colour into this. I was simply using his name as the highest profile Labour MP who is firmly on the side of transwomen.
Stop flinging the race card round - it’s really quite pathetic but so predictable.

Then it's not accurate.

Labour won more votes on a smaller turn out, the tories lost it.

Where I am has been a Tory stronghold for decades, looks like a LD swing tonight! Can't say I'm surprised as most people I spoke to were either not voting or spoiling their votes. That said if there had been a reform candidate I think the result may have been different?

Yes, but more of those who voted at all voted for Labour than for any other single party.

It also doesn't take into account the full quote of what he said.

They take the soundbite and weaponise it.

RedToothBrush
wigan on that list has been labour for years - I’m almost 60 and never known any difference can’t see it being any different this year