Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 5 December 2021

[JanglyBeads]

Welcome to the DATA thread.

Our preference is for actual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Our links below probably need a refresh ready for the festive season,. so all reasonable suggestions welcome.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

Link to previous thread:

www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/4401685-Data-Stats-Daily-Numbers-started-14th-November-2021?watched=1&msgid=113062732#113062732

I did wonder if we need to include links to SA data at the moment?

Good work. Yes, that would be helpful thanks

Thanks for the new thread

Thanks for the new thread, Jangly.

Thank you!

The Covid rolling rate for 5-9 year olds in England has exceeded 1000 per 100K for the first time.

mobile.twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1467530363840966663

On Omicron, here’s Lilico’s calculations (which I don’t understand unfortunately) alongside Oliver Johnson’s, which was post 999 on the previous thread:

twitter.com/andrew_lilico/status/1466732395433013253?s=21

twitter.com/bristoliver/status/1465803772609794051?s=21

And a superspreading event (if we’re still calling them that?) in Denmark amongst secondary students:

twitter.com/m_b_petersen/status/1467529847199215626?s=21

Worrying news from one SA consultant - children, pregnant women, one previously healthy 15 yr old admitted but died, despite all efforts.

Under 12s are completely unvaccinated there as here.

One thing I haven’t seen yet is any attempt at analysis of cases by ethnicity or deprivation?

(Vulnerable under 12s are religionless for vaccination here, sorry)

*eligible - not a word which I’m not sure actually exists!

There have been varying accounts of what is happening re deaths. Initially, there was a figure of "1.5%" deaths of younger children.

However, the last account I saw said that there had been 1 death of a child, but not related to covid.

Until we have really clear data spelling out what is going on there, I am going to defer worrying. Still interested, but with the panic button unpressed.

Did you watch the clip @herecomesthsun?

Which clip?

@JanglyBeads

twitter.com/miamalan/status/1467172041971445761

According to this twitter thread

There were 10 deaths between 14-29 Nov:

• 4 deaths = 26-36 years
• 5 deaths = 60+ years
• 1 death (child) = unrelated to COVID
• No #COVID deaths among 34 COVID admissions in the pediatric wards

There may be more data subsequent to this, but I can't find anything on either twitter or the BBC website, so do link if you have anything

Well the video of the SA TV interview with the consultant was posted last night iirc, and I think the death had happened the previous day, so of course it wouln’t feature in those reported stats yet.

Janglybeads what clip are you talking about?

Yes giving how infectious it seems to be, it sounds like it is going be tough when it really ramps up in schools, even if that is only class and school closures.

@Lalalablahblahblah

I really wish the JCVI would hurry up with their decision on giving the jab to younger kids. Surely it only needs 1 asymptomatic positive with omicron in a primary or nursery class and most of the rest of the class will catch it?

Will vaccinations even stop the spread?

Oh I DO apologise, there’s a seven minute clip of the consultant being interviewed, which I now can’t find and I have to go and make tea!
Sky has a 30 second section from it but not the story I refer to:

twitter.com/njbbari3/status/1467298215162564612?s=21

I’m a rubbish OP!

@JanglyBeads

I’m a rubbish OP!

You’re really not!

No of course you're not rubbish

Will vaccinations even stop the spread?

We know vaccination breakthroughs against Omicron are more common than with Delta - given the reported reduction, it would do little to prevent outbreaks - the 90% suggested effective vaccine (of triple dose recently boosted) by Israel is not enough to prevent an R12 virus (not that I actually think it's R12) but no, Vaccines were already struggling against Delta.