Data, Stats, Daily Numbers started 14th November 2021

[boys3]

Welcome to the DATA thread.

Our preference is for actual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Our links below probably need a refresh ready for the festive season,. so all reasonable suggestions welcome.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

DH has managed to book his booster today, but I can’t yet. I wonder if it’s 45+ that can book? I would be interested to know if any under 45s have successfully booked online today?

@Watsername I have and I'm 43. 2nd May was my second jab.

2nd June rather.

Just tried again and it’s let me book for this week :)

[quote JanglyBeads]www.news-medical.net/news/20211115/Standard-PCR-tests-do-not-pick-up-new-Covid-strains-warns-expert.aspx?fbclid=IwAR0OYN4nKo8DrveASfh7SFvStIu9ZqOMy0--nvEB2SUp0VgbTsqFQ2LDUfY[/quote]
That is really interesting and makes me wonder about the testing scandal in the SE and whether there is some connection.

Torridge (SE) is interesting because it has the highest case rate and the highest rate of the sub variant AY.4.2.

Yes I agree re Torridge. However just about the only thing UKHSA have told us about the Immensa issue is that it was down to ‘processes’ or something, isn’t it?

Scotland faces more measures in December:

www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-59350975

Anecdotal but kids in my class this week (not SE) with postive LFT and then negative PCR so return to school. This won't help the rising case situation.

Sorry meant SW in both my previous comments!

A little more on Torridge:
mobile.twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1461751883475869697

[quote JanglyBeads]www.news-medical.net/news/20211115/Standard-PCR-tests-do-not-pick-up-new-Covid-strains-warns-expert.aspx?fbclid=IwAR0OYN4nKo8DrveASfh7SFvStIu9ZqOMy0--nvEB2SUp0VgbTsqFQ2LDUfY[/quote]
I get that this is complete anecdata, but I posted on this board around September (about a month before the whole immensa debacle) about having multiple positive LFTs for my whole symptomatic stage, but 3 PCRs came back negative. ZOE sent me for an antibody test a couple of weeks later which was also negative, and have later said that one in five who tested as I did tested negative for antibodies but they believe it was genuine covid that didn't elicit antibodies. Reading this about a new undetectable strain, I'm wondering if it also renders antibodies undetectable to the current tests?

Surely antibodies are an entirely different thing though?

🤷🏻‍♀️

I do not think anyone could really claim that any age group in Torridge was close to endemicity.

Even now cumulative reported Covid prevalence in Torridge remains low in comparison to the rest of the country - under 10,000 per 100,000 population (vs 17,000+ in high hit ares). Unfortunately, this means Torridge and other local authorities with similar "low" historic attack rates (e.g. Suffolk, Devon, Cotswolds, etc) have got large pockets of susceptible population and are likely to see Covid spikes in the future.

That doesn't explain to me why Central Beds for example is so high. One of the highest in the country when Kent 'broke' and ne of the B places that had a big Delta wave.

Just found this, explains more about PCR tests and new variants, also antibody tests.
publichealth.jhu.edu/2021/variants-vaccines-and-what-they-mean-for-covid-19-testing

It seems to me that LFT positives should be now be considered the “gold standard” and should override PCR results (which wouldn’t be necessary as “confirmatory” anyway).

That would need some careful messaging though

I agree winter's theory doesn't explain Central Bedfordshire or a number of other places for that matter. Look at Leicestershire, they've continually been high on cases, see Hinckley for example. No historic lows there and currently one of the highest areas.

@JanglyBeads

It seems to me that LFT positives should be now be considered the “gold standard” and should override PCR results (which wouldn’t be necessary as “confirmatory” anyway).

That would need some careful messaging though

I agree.

But seeing as the govt haven’t even updated symptoms after 18mths of knowing they were different in children and a year of delta…. 🤷🏻‍♀️

Interesting on racial bias in oximeters and how that might bean excuse…
twitter.com/zubhaque/status/1462337541689028609?s=21

*be an!

I don't know why this is (re) breaking. It was in the news months and months ago and now Javid seems to be being given credit for noticing it.

Of all things BBC Doctors ran a a story on 'racist' soap dispensers ages ago!

Hopefully s report will look at structural issues with race and gender in medical care. The ST also running a story about difficulties in maternty care for pregnant women with Covid.

That Twitter thread is great. The Sewell racial disparities report, what with the cricket story too, is beginning to look more and more ridiculous.

I must admit I hadn’t heard of it before piggy.

How are soap dispensers racist….?

I posted it a while back....

Am now watching Marr : I was being a bit kind in my use of passive voice above. Javid isn't being given credit for this , he is totally taking it! He just said 'I discovered' !

The soap dispensers were the automatic ones which are used in healthcare settings so that they are touch free. They (for the same reasons as oximeters) don't recognise black skin very well.

DS did an essay yonks ago for a sociology competition in which he mentioned iatrogensis and specifically oximeters! Perhaps Javid should consult him...