Data, Stats, Daily Numbers started 14th November 2021

[boys3]

Welcome to the DATA thread.

Our preference is for actual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Our links below probably need a refresh ready for the festive season,. so all reasonable suggestions welcome.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

[quote lonelyplanet]From the s-gene dropout on the ONS survey data, omicron may have been here a while:
mobile.twitter.com/ronnytodgers/status/1466077934045831179[/quote]
I think that's because one of the older strains (either alpha or the original one) also has s-gene dropout. So this is only useful for spotting possible Omicron cases against a backdrop of 100% Delta. The older strains were still around (though dying out) in the early part of that chart

The apparent falls over the last few days were just due to reporting delays?

So probably the storm Arwen as hypothesised by some here.

There was also over 10% more tests conducted on the 30th compared to the 23rd - of course that could be due to a lot more symptoms and therefore positives etc., but it could also be because of more targeted and "confirmation" testing following the Omicron announcement.

Jangly and firefliess that makes sense. The increase looks roughly in line with the AY.4.2.

The current breakdown of identified omicron cases by local authority is:

Barnet: 2
Bexley: 1
Brentwood: 1
Buckinghamshire: 1
Camden: 2
Haringey: 1
Lancaster: 1
Lewisham: 2
Liverpool: 1
Newham: 1
North Norfolk: 1
Nottingham: 1
South Cambridgeshire: 1
Sutton: 1
Three Rivers: 1
Wandsworth: 1
Westminster: 3

latest rates for English councils, showing rates per 100,000 for each of the last five weeks, plus mini column chart to highlight the peak week, plus percentage change for the most recent week - eg ending 28th November vs 21st. Marginal increase in England overall.

Then actual cases just for the first two days of last week as reported last Wednesday and for Monday and Tuesday as reported today for this week, plus percentage movement.

I start however with English regions.

Inner London - I know not really a stand-alone region still has the lowest rate; although up 15% for the last full week.

Yorks and Humber plus North West both now have lower most recent week rates than London overall. The North East very close too.

Outer London close to 400 per 100,000 and higher now than the West Midlands.

South East has the highest overall regional rate.

Dull and predictable I know but starting with the 25 English councils with the highest rates in the seven days to 28th November.

Torridge - still tops the list and remains just over 1000 cases per 100,000
Mid Sussex
North Devon - both these two just above 800 per 100,000, and have shown a slight week on week fall; although up at the very start of this week
Elmbridge
Waverley
Wycombe
Tandridge
Eastbourne
Hastings
Ashford - big increase from 480 to 734 per 100,000; and start of wk 211 cases vs 152
Teignbridge
Mole Valley
Mid Devon
Spelthorne
Test Valley
Eastleigh
Guildford - ends the Councils with a rate over 700 per 100,000
Lewes
Melton
Rutland
Crawley
Plymouth
Wokingham
Maldon
Reigate and Banstead - number 25 with a rate of 665

Councils 26 to 50

Arun
Cherwell
North Hertfordshire - the only one in this group with a week on week fall
Tunbridge Wells
Richmond upon Thames
Surrey Heath
Torbay
Hart
Wealden
South Oxfordshire
South Hams
Gloucester - big start of week increase
Chichester
South Northamptonshire
Corby
Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole
Worcester
Rushmoor
Basildon
South Cambridgeshire
Telford and Wrekin
Southend-on-Sea - the final council in this group over the 600 per 100,000 mark
Havant
Stevenage
Fareham - along with the two above just under 600 per 100,000

Councils 51 to 75

Central Bedfordshire kicks of this group
Gedling
Windsor and Maidenhead
Castle Point
Rother
Woking
Brentwood
Winchester close to being back where it was 5 wks ago
Kettering
Dorset starts a group of four with small week on week decreases
East Hertfordshire
Rushcliffe
Tamworth
Sevenoaks
Portsmouth
West Oxfordshire
Milton Keynes
Tonbridge and Malling
Huntingdonshire
Mendip
East Hampshire
Epsom and Ewell
Exeter
Swale
Reading last Council in this group with rate just past 550 per 100,000

Councils 76 to 100

Hinckley and Bosworth
Rochford
Isle of Wight
Braintree
New Forest
South Bucks
Thurrock
Vale of White Horse
East Northamptonshire
Medway
Wellingborough
Stratford-on-Avon
Tewkesbury
West Berkshire
West Devon
Cambridge
South Somerset
Newark and Sherwood
Brighton and Hove
Maidstone
Cheltenham
Sutton
North East Lincolnshire
Welwyn Hatfield
South Kesteven ends this group at 519 per 100,000

Councils 101 to 125 majority of these showing a week on week fall in cases

Cornwall & Isles of Scilly
St Albans
Charnwood
Erewash
Runnymede
Gosport
South Gloucestershire
Colchester
Wiltshire
Kingston upon Thames
Chelmsford
Horsham
Gravesham
Cheshire West and Chester
Bracknell Forest
Shropshire
Canterbury
South Derbyshire
Harborough
Three Rivers
Harlow
East Devon
Lichfield
Southampton
Ryedale ending this set with a rate of 485 per 100,000

Councils 126 to 150

Redditch
Wandsworth
Thanet
Harrogate
Dover
East Cambridgeshire
West Suffolk
Richmondshire
Cotswold
North Warwickshire
Merton
Craven
Broxtowe
Tendring
Chesterfield
Wychavon
Oadby and Wigston
Aylesbury Vale
Warrington
North Tyneside
Worthing
Watford
North Kesteven
South Staffordshire
Bromley ending this group with a rate of 456 per 100,000

Councils 151 to 175

North West Leicestershire
Basingstoke and Deane
Kingston upon Hull, City of
Hertsmere
Luton
Solihull
Peterborough
Dartford
Stoke-on-Trent
Chiltern
Bromsgrove
Epping Forest
Bedford
Chorley
Hammersmith and Fulham
Hambleton
Ribble Valley
Blaby
Nuneaton and Bedworth
Selby
Blackpool
Babergh
East Riding of Yorkshire
North Somerset
Trafford ending at 432 per 100,000

Councils 176 to 200

Sedgemoor
Adur
Folkestone and Hythe
Forest of Dean
Havering
Gateshead
East Staffordshire
Hounslow
Bassetlaw
Oxford
Northampton
Dacorum
Malvern Hills
Kensington and Chelsea
North East Derbyshire
Newcastle-under-Lyme
Mansfield
Darlington
Bexley
Daventry
King's Lynn and West Norfolk
Knowsley
Warwick
Slough
Derbyshire Dales ending on 400 per 100,000

Councils 201 to 225 heading into the lowest third rate wise.

Ealing
Waltham Forest
Sefton
Broxbourne
Salford
Cannock Chase
Wigan
Redcar and Cleveland
Rochdale
Boston
Derby
St. Helens
Cheshire East
South Ribble
Stafford
Lincoln
Hyndburn
Dudley
Barnet
Staffordshire Moorlands
Newcastle upon Tyne
Rugby
Amber Valley
Rotherham
Tameside ends this group at 380 per 100,000

Councils 226 to 250

Stroud which has a rate over 700 per 100,000 five weeks ago
Uttlesford
Breckland
Wakefield
Wyre Forest
Wirral
Stockport
Bristol, City of
North Lincolnshire
Broadland
Hillingdon
Stockton-on-Tees
Rossendale
West Lindsey
Croydon
County Durham
Sunderland
Bury
Bolsover
Ashfield
Great Yarmouth
Northumberland
West Lancashire
Barnsley
Fylde

Councils 251 to 275

Mid Suffolk starts this group at 356 per 100,000
South Holland
Halton
Nottingham
Lambeth
Haringey
Bath and North East Somerset
Redbridge
North Norfolk
Swindon
Doncaster
Leicester
Lewisham
Harrow
Liverpool
East Suffolk
Brent
Greenwich
York
Fenland
Herefordshire, County of
Southwark
Sandwell
Scarborough
Blackburn with Darwen ends this set at 313 per 100,000, with little real variation in its rate for the past five weeks

Councils 276 to 300

Includes a number of solid Northern towns and cities, along with the Venice of the North - not clear why Venice is not referred to as the Birmingham of the South plus a sprinkling of doubtlessly upwardly mobile but also upwardly moving London Boroughs.

Oldham - starts this group on 311 per 100,000
Manchester
Lancaster
Burnley
Eden
Birmingham
Wolverhampton
High Peak
Middlesbrough
Enfield
Barrow-in-Furness
Wyre
Norwich
Bolton
Leeds
South Tyneside
Hackney & Ciy of London
East Lindsey
Ipswich
South Norfolk
Preston
Tower Hamlets
Coventry
Islington
Barking and Dagenham ends group on 282 per 100,000

Finally Councils 301 to 315

Camden at 279 per 100,000
Walsall
Sheffield
Calderdale
Westminster
Hartlepool
South Lakeland
Allerdale
Somerset West and Taunton
Newham
Pendle
Copeland precipitous decline in cases compared with four and five weeks back; although a start of week increase
Bradford
Kirklees
Carlisle with the lowest rate at 221 per 100,000

the case for the defence of storm Arwen (being innocent) rests.

Completely off-topic are this season's storm names a whole Hobbit / Lord of the Rings theme? Storm Bilbo next? Goodness knows what they will do if we get as far a S - Smaug, Saruman, Sauron?? The latter working well with any Beast from the East presumably.

Completely off-topic are this season's storm names a whole Hobbit / Lord of the Rings theme? Storm Bilbo next

Barra, probably not many covid cases there I'm guessing.

The scary S will be Seán…

I'm hoping we don't get as far as storm Sean in one year!

I think it's a bit unfair that Emmerdale and EastEnders don't make it on the list but Corrie does!

It would need 50% more storms than the record to get to Seán, but climate change will increase the frequency of storms according to the data (now this is on topic right?)

How strange that 1 case of omicron shows up?
Israeli doctor reckons he caught omicron ages ago here.

Deaths still primarily among the very elderly

www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19latestinsights/deaths#deaths-by-age

It was mid November wasn’t it @Naughtynovembertree? Not ages ago, especially bearing in mind incubation period.