Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 30th August 2021

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions

Please try to keep discussion focused on these.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

Advised twice a week at our place, here it’s said no one does it but my kid abs all her friends do so must depend on group!

We’ve been requested to test x2 each week and have been given the tests

What was last Saturday? (I should know where to find this)

We had 2000 LFT at Ds London school and no positives

I think secondary isn’t adding to cases much atm

@MarshaBradyo not sure what it was reported as it was the time but it's now showing as 28k!

They did two tests at school / supervised. Then test kits sent home supposed to do twice a week but school can only ask nicely not insist.

Oh that’s good to know Not thanks

"What was last Saturday? (I should know where to find this)"

Last Saturday (4th) as reported on the dashboard on the day was 37,578.

I am the saddo who keeps a scruffy bit of paper with such information.

Here: coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases.
Click on "Data" in the section cases by date reported and then scroll down to the day you want.

@amicissimma

"What was last Saturday? (I should know where to find this)"

Last Saturday (4th) as reported on the dashboard on the day was 37,578.

I am the saddo who keeps a scruffy bit of paper with such information.

No need to write it down - it's all on

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases

UK cases as reported by day are all there - 37,578 indeed for last Sat.

The 28k @notgotthehelp is referring to appears to be the cases by specimen date (not day reported) for last Saturday jsut for England, I think.

LOL, @PatriciaHolm, I like my bit of paper. And it is protection against any jiggery pokery or 'losing' that a government might possibly get up to.

Not this one, of course. I wouldn't suggest such a thing.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-58529158

:-) @amicissimma Of all the data this Gov are likely to try to play retrospective silly buggers with, the number published widely everyday probably isn't it ;-)

Mine did two on site tests, and now it's down to parents to keep up the tasting.

Friend at college said they were supposed to also test students but no one did.
Masks are suggested in high traffic areas but again no ones does.

Have to admit, I’m really surprised at the low number of cases today. I seem to hear of far more local people who have Covid than during restrictions, plus with schools returning in England it’s quite surprising! Unless some have slipped down the back of the sofa again

@sirfredfredgeorge

Deaths do seem to have risen and I can’t understand why as cases have been relatively stable

The case mixture changed, the mistake of just looking at cases that has been throughout, is magnified when the mix of cases changes, if you look at cases only in over 40's, you'll see the numbers have risen and deaths are following the historical cases in the vulnerable groups as far as I can see.

That is very interesting, thank you.

Is the mixture changing due to vaccine waning? Or just because it always eventually ends up in the more vulnerable groups eventually due to natural spread?

sirfredfredgeorge
Deaths do seem to have risen and I can’t understand why as cases have been relatively stable

The case mixture changed, the mistake of just looking at cases that has been throughout, is magnified when the mix of cases changes, if you look at cases only in over 40's, you'll see the numbers have risen and deaths are following the historical cases in the vulnerable groups as far as I can see".

Maybe that sudden and mysterious dip in reported cases over summer was an anomaly, transmission was actually very high and these are the resulting deaths?

Is the mixture changing due to vaccine waning?

Pretty sure the mixture changed because there were no restrictions, so rather everyone being equally likely to catch it at the supermarket, or from their neighbour, or via schools, it swapped to some groups being much more likely to catch it - those who went to the pub or football, and then those who went to a festival or nightclub.

ie the initial large rise in cases was from people more likely to catch it, and once it got a foothold there it spread to other age groups, but of course because the younger groups now had such a large amount of immunity because they'd already had cases they didn't continue to rise, just the older groups.

I'm not convinced there is waning immunity btw, I don't see much evidence, just evidence for poor immunity all round in the vaccination and it's only recently that there are few enough restrictions that people are likely to be infected.

@sirfredfredgeorge

Is the mixture changing due to vaccine waning?

Pretty sure the mixture changed because there were no restrictions, so rather everyone being equally likely to catch it at the supermarket, or from their neighbour, or via schools, it swapped to some groups being much more likely to catch it - those who went to the pub or football, and then those who went to a festival or nightclub.

ie the initial large rise in cases was from people more likely to catch it, and once it got a foothold there it spread to other age groups, but of course because the younger groups now had such a large amount of immunity because they'd already had cases they didn't continue to rise, just the older groups.

I'm not convinced there is waning immunity btw, I don't see much evidence, just evidence for poor immunity all round in the vaccination and it's only recently that there are few enough restrictions that people are likely to be infected.

Ah ok, I was assuming cases went up after no restrictions but that would mainly hit young types (nightclubs etc), so wouldn’t result in more deaths. But then obvs those high cases would make it more likely for the vulnerable to catch it and therefore higher deaths.

Prob makes more sense than immunity waning although it must be to a certain extent else the government wouldn’t be doing boosters?

And again today!
29,173 New cases reported and 56 deaths. I hardly dare believe, don’t understand it, but this looks great!

And England was less that 20k today ☺️

"A dangerous and unethical experiment" wasn't it?

Strange and over 1 million tests so it’s not that! Sometimes this virus doesn’t behave how we expect! Guess we will see what the next week brings!

I’m really hoping it’s the passing of summer surge peak.

But yes hmmm to the ‘unethical U.K. experiment’

I'd love to see what it looked like if we tracked other viruses so obsessively. There's so much we don't really know, for example whether this pathogen has behaved differently from the other human coronaviruses in circulation. Or rhinovirus or whatever.

Oh I agree with other viruses the problem is knowing what is a high abs a low case rate and I don’t know how many cases (not hospitalisation or death) we would have with other viruses so I never know if a number is “high” as we move to the endemic phase (but which every way we look at it that is two days where number are dropping on a week in week basis where with schools going back we would have expected a raise!)