[quote 1dayatatime]@Urghhhhh
"Surely if that was a thing we'd see severe Covid cases in jabbed people. But the evidence shows quite the opposite, much milder cases."
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You raise an interesting point and given the strong feelings many people have on this post I thought I would take a cool headed look at the statistics and compare August 2020 and August 2021 figures - (both up to the 24th August as we have not ended Aug 21 yet)
Source NHS
August 2020
Percent of people with 1st vaccine: 0
Percent of people with 2nd vaccine: 0
Total number of Covid deaths: 167
Of which :
Over 80: 90 (54%)
Over 60: 148 (88%)
August 2021
Percent of people with 1st vaccine: 87%
Percent of people with 2nd vaccine: 75%
Total number of Covid deaths: 1,418
Of which :
Over 80: 575 (41%)
Over 60: 1,171 (82%)
So three observations from this
By severe cases I have chosen death although a similar analysis could be done on hospitalisation but that is less accurate as it depends on subjective factors like hospital capacity or people's willingness to go to hospital- whereas death is not subjective.
Despite the vaccination program deaths are 7 times higher this August compared to last August. Whereas one would expect to see the exact opposite/ this does question the effectiveness of the vaccine.
Deaths in August 2020 were slightly more concentrated in the over 60s and over 80s compared to August 2021. There are a number of explanations including those in the age group who were most at risk of death from Covid have already died last year.
But as I said earlier I appreciate that different people have different views on the vaccine, but these are simply the cold statistics which hopefully people can better form their own opinions on.
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This isn't how you analyse epidemiological data though?
For a start, you've picked two months out of thin air to compare raw percentages. There's so many factors (i.e., confounders) that could explain differences besides vaccine efficacy - not least the drastically different amount of cases we were having in August last year and August this year.
There are numerous, replicated studies that demonstrate vaccines reduce severe illness and death.