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Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 5th August 2021

999 replies

boys3 · 04/08/2021 22:48

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

Our STUDIES Cornerwww.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

OP posts:
Thread gallery
287
herecomesthsun · 21/08/2021 20:15

To actively avoid exposure risk for children seems very sensible when we are only just starting to vaccinate the most vulnerable under 15s and we have loads of CEV/CV children still ineligible for a vaccine.

CaptainMerica · 21/08/2021 20:16

Am I the only person who had seen all the talk of boardmasters, and assumed it was some sort of geeky dungeons and dragons convention or similar?

I only realised that it was a music festival yesterday Blush

herecomesthsun · 21/08/2021 20:19

I had to google it. Isn't it something to do with surfing, or did I misunderstand?

Monkeytennis97 · 21/08/2021 20:29

@CaptainMerica

Am I the only person who had seen all the talk of boardmasters, and assumed it was some sort of geeky dungeons and dragons convention or similar?

I only realised that it was a music festival yesterday Blush

Snap!😂
CaptainMerica · 21/08/2021 20:48

@herecomesthsun

I had to google it. Isn't it something to do with surfing, or did I misunderstand?
I think its music along with skateboarding and surfing. Clearly too cool for me to have heard of it Grin.
mumsneedwine · 21/08/2021 20:55

Reading and Leeds festivals next week. 50,000 at each for 4 days. 😞

herecomesthsun · 21/08/2021 21:06

My 13 year old son would really love a geeky dungeons and dragons convention.

MemoryGame · 21/08/2021 22:21

@MRex the study my dad is in is comparing mixed boosters to more of the same boosters. My information is second hand, so might not be entirely correct, but the study group are all high risk (elderly, co-morbidities) so there isn't a control group with no booster.

At the moment I don't think anyone knows who had which boosters.

TheSunIsStillShining · 21/08/2021 22:37

@herecomesthsun

My 13 year old son would really love a geeky dungeons and dragons convention.

there's a really good one in december in hmmersmith. Boardgames + rpgs.
We go to play mtg and dnd every year with my son.

NannyAndJohn · 22/08/2021 00:19

Here's an article that does a good job of summing up where we are at the moment:

www.thetimes.co.uk/article/lure-of-the-seaside-may-be-pushing-britain-to-the-brink-of-a-fourth-wave-jml98w7nr

In brief - superspreader outdoor events, waning immunity, Fourth Wave incoming, NHS likely to be overwhelmed.

Key quote on hospitalisations - “We are seeing levels of admissions in the middle of summer that are similar to the middle of winter.”

traumatisednoodle · 22/08/2021 06:07

Nanny and John, it does not say hospitals will be overwhelmed. I agree we are seeing a third/fourh wave, less people will need hospital care this time, we might use boosters, Covid will boost some people as well. I think we will prorably need some restrictions in the Winter, but talking of the NHS being overwhelmed os alarmist.

Piggywaspushed · 22/08/2021 06:45

Morning all.

I have been in hospital again - properly admitted this time. It was gastro enteritis but treated as if caused by covid (who knows?). The nurses were all saying it was very busy in the wards again.

Anyway, I am out, feeling a bit stupid . But it seems my body just can't fight any infection off at the moment.

So, on plans for children, not sure this will do much (other than cause alarms to bleep hourly!) but it appears the government is acknowledging at last that schools may have poor air!

www.theguardian.com/education/2021/aug/21/classrooms-england-monitor-air-quality-effort-combat-covid-better-ventilation

This could be interesting in my windowless classroom...

Apparently, the number being made available isn't actually enough?

Quartz2208 · 22/08/2021 07:17

I think the mid summer/mid winter thing though is partly because we are so used to Flu being a winter virus that doesn’t exist in summer. Covid has consistently shown across the world that actually it isn’t a seasonal virus - winter/summer doesn’t matter to it

The danger for winter is and has always been the impact of flu as well which is why a good flu vaccine rollout is important

It’s also a paywall article!

NotDonna · 22/08/2021 07:52

I’m a lurker here and love this thread. Just wanted to pop in and wish piggy some immune boosting wishes.

Piggywaspushed · 22/08/2021 07:54

Thank you ! Immune boosting definitely needed!

I read this morning that they are going to offer people antibody tests kits if they get a PCR. That sounds a good idea.

Piggywaspushed · 22/08/2021 08:01

Here is the story from the BBC this morning about free anti body testing :

www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-58293249

Piggywaspushed · 22/08/2021 09:03

Here is a thought for data thread. I now officially count as two separate cases, which is very silly. Everyone on y ward had two PCRs. The one before they came into hospital and then a swab on entry. Surely this is double counting cases? And there must be quite a lot of them! I have had three PCRs since August 6th, all positive (obviously...).

It's also a nightmare for Test and Trace!

herecomesthsun · 22/08/2021 09:08

I think that they only count you once Piggy Smile,.

Thanks for the info on antibody testing. I wonder why they don't test under 18s?

sirfredfredgeorge · 22/08/2021 09:18

Covid has consistently shown across the world that actually it isn’t a seasonal virus - winter/summer doesn’t matter to it

RSV broke out of its established seasonality this year, I think with "normal" levels of immunity in the population, there will be a seasonal effect, with low immunity the seasonality reduces, ie the increase in infectiousness due to seasonal factors (humidity, being indoors, less ability to fight whatever) is enough to make a disease seasonal.

So as long as covid infects enough people to have high levels of immunity there will not be a winter wave this year, it's happening early now. In future years I do expect seasonality to return like other respiratory viruses.

sirfredfredgeorge · 22/08/2021 09:20

I now officially count as two separate cases, which is very silly. Everyone on y ward had two PCRs

You should get de-duped down to a single case, how successful that actually is in practice who knows, but you'd hope if all the data makes it to your medical notes, it will also all get de-duped.

Piggywaspushed · 22/08/2021 09:27

Benn lots of norovirus already this year too aka 'winter' vomiting bug.

boys3 · 22/08/2021 11:53

@sirfredfredgeorge

Thanks *@boys3*, so it is busier, but it's not covid busy (covid admissions aren't high enough to make much of a dent in a million a month.)

So is it extra demand due to delayed illness? (seem unlikely we're still low on deaths)
Extra demand due to lack of GP access?
Extra demand due to riskier behaviour/out of practice when doing various activities?

sirfred I'm pretty much in line with your points. On the third one I wonder also if with less people travelling abroad is there an increase in people slipping over in the Lake District; falling off a narrow boat on the Norfolk Broads, when all they have been previously used to is either walking from Med hotel / villa to the the pool, go to the bar / restaurant and repeat all for the duration of their stay? I jest only in part, are there simply more people than normal in July doing stuff they normally wouldn't do? Added to that, from where I am at least, there is a lot of home improvement going on, and a lot of pressure on getting tradespeople so are enthusiastic DIYer going some way beyond there (undoubtedly limited) level of competence with their array of power tools?

On travel flip side far fewer overseas tourists here as well. But perhaps they are all just generally more sensible when they did come in past years. Although I've always wondered how many get hit by bikes in central Cambridge every year. :) a tongue in cheek smile obviously, I would not actively wish visitors to Cambridge to get knocked over by a bike

Presumably there's a whole load of published stats, although probably not the July detail, about the breakdown on 999 call reasons.

OP posts:
MRex · 22/08/2021 12:32

I think admission diagnosis is published significantly in arrears and only performance done every month. This is last year if anyone wants to click about to see if there's anything more recent: digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/publications/statistical/hospital-accident--emergency-activity/2019-20.

boys3 · 22/08/2021 16:42

today's England spec date graphic

Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 5th August 2021
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