Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 5th August 2021

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

@Bizawit - an advantage of being a small cramped nation is that it's fairly easy to divert patients to different hospitals and even on occasion to move people. The article is Australian, where isolated small communities will similarly have very constrained healthcare when they face an outbreak. Think of places like Port Hedland rather than Sydney. I agree the article is being a bit too sensational and should be clearly expressing the tiny numbers while pointing out risk, but I can see why it would have resonance for Australia.

Yes, I agree the claims that "Iceland's medical infrastructure is at its limits" are exaggerated. Iceland's population is 357,000 people. Bolton (which is roughly 200,000 people) right now has got 45 patients in hospitals and 5 in ICU. The winter peak was 161 patients in hospital and 19 in ICU. Iceland's numbers of 20 and 5 are clearly very low.

However, even if we disregard the healthcare claims, the main point of the article still stands - even countries with very high vaccine coverage (like Iceland or Malta) are still seeing Delta waves. Spikes in cases are unavoidable. It is also inevitable that they will be followed by hospitalisations and deaths but, hopefully, at much, much lower levels than previously.

@pussycatlickinglollyices

Just a quick question... DH has had a text from his pharmacy telling him to book his flu jab (in August?!) I know it was mentioned somewhere on a Data thread, but what's the earliest/optimum time you think it should be done? He has heart probs, so normally goes to the GP Flu Clinic. I've said not until October at the earliest TIA.

Piggy I hope you're feeling a lot better. x

I usually do mine in September - CEV so try to get in early.

Also, my DD will be getting a nasal spray vaccine as in primary school, probably.

I read recently that the adults in the family should get vaccinated before the kids get the nasal spray. The argument was that there could be leakage of the attenuated live vaccine used in the spray. However, this might be one to discuss with a medical provider?

@borntobequiet

I booked my flu jab at Boots weeks ago, for mid September. GP flu jab sessions for oldies are always at inconvenient times for me, I think because they don’t believe over 65s are likely to be working.

I've booked mine in Boots for mid September as well, a lot of slots has already been booked within a couple of days of the system opening.

DM usually has to nip out of work (from home luckily) to get hers at the GP surgery, she still works full time which can't be that uncommon!

Piggy I really hope he has. 🤞🏻
DH spat out his crown at me this morning he was up a step ladder and nearly swallowed it, so it could have been worse then been on hold to the dentist for 20mins...then left a message asking for a call back.
Flu jabs have moved slightly down my "things to do" list. 🤷🏻‍♀️

Interesting to note about the Boots/Tesco's Flu Jabs. Couple of weeks ago, took a look, but didn't book. Tried booking today, and messages all over saying they are now prepping for NHS Covid/Flu Booster and therefore no private appointments available. Seems to be only main Boots though, as we got a slot in a village store for mid Sept.

We would qualify for free NHS, but happy to organise our own, and I don't want both at the same time thank you very much!

Oh that's interesting. I have a boots one booked from when they first went on the list.

If they do it as a combined booster, and Ive already booked my flu jab, will I be able to get just a covid one later?!

@L1ttleSeahorse

If they do it as a combined booster, and Ive already booked my flu jab, will I be able to get just a covid one later?!

I think it is one in each arm at the same time, rather than a combined. That's what we heard anyway.

Ah that makes sense. So i should still go for my flu one mid sept m.

I think it is one in each arm at the same time, rather than a combined. That's what we heard anyway.
Not sure I'd be happy with that. I'd much prefer 2 appointments, one or 2 weeks apart. Both from an immunity reaction I never handle a flu jab well, they knock me for 6 and practical reasons if both arms are jabbed, what side do you sleep on?

Data thread : just read something on another thread that may be pseudoscience bollocks.

So , obviously, we want DS2 second jabbed asap , mainly because of new SI rules. His second jab was due last week but he couldn't have it due to having covid. I think the earliest he can have it is end August.

On another thread someone suggested side effects might be worse if double jabbed and a recent covid infection.

Any evidence of this at all, or is it made up? I don't want him to be iller after a jab than he was with covid if the jab ought/could be delayed.

I have been to Iceland. It is v hard to get around outside of Reyjkavik. There is literally one proper big hospital. The article is sensationalist, yes, but interesting. I thought the stuff about noses was interesting!

@Piggywaspushed - I think you said your DS had Pfizer? If so... 33% instead of 19% reported mild symptoms. I don't think it's worth fretting about to be honest. www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/why-vaccine-side-effects-might-be-more-common-people-whove-already-had-covid-19. Advice is to wait a month after infection though so that the infection is cleared.

I have a friend in a similar situation getting jabbed on Friday who was quite poorly from covid post-Pfizer jab, so I can tell you how she gets on if anecdotes are useful. (For clarity, she was not as poorly as her 10 years younger unvaccinated relative/ flatmate who she caught it from.)

That would be great, thanks!

Prod me if I forget to say, it's nice to try to remember to ask how she's doing anyway.

@wintertravel1980

Yes, I agree the claims that "Iceland's medical infrastructure is at its limits" are exaggerated. Iceland's population is 357,000 people. Bolton (which is roughly 200,000 people) right now has got 45 patients in hospitals and 5 in ICU. The winter peak was 161 patients in hospital and 19 in ICU. Iceland's numbers of 20 and 5 are clearly very low.

However, even if we disregard the healthcare claims, the main point of the article still stands - even countries with very high vaccine coverage (like Iceland or Malta) are still seeing Delta waves. Spikes in cases are unavoidable. It is also inevitable that they will be followed by hospitalisations and deaths but, hopefully, at much, much lower levels than previously.

Interesting comparison thank you! And yes I agree that the main point of the article stands, but I wish that the media would report more responsibly/ carefully, particularly when discussing the value of vaccines. I do worry that this stuff feeds into anti- vax narratives/ apathy..

pretty depressing that the drop in hospital admissions lasted barely a few weeks.

They really need to start breaking this down to vaxx:unvaxxed.

Also, highest first dose since 29th July.

Convince me they aren’t accidentally including 16/17 year olds in that data set…

today's spec date graphic (England)

@Itsprobablynotcominghome

Also, highest first dose since 29th July.

Convince me they aren’t accidentally including 16/17 year olds in that data set…

Anyone vaccinated, irrespective of age, is included in the total figures.

They even provide an about the data section.

What possible reason would there be for not including them?

Because they haven’t changed the adult population %.

You can’t add 16/17 year olds 1st doses to a total for “adults”.

Unless I’m being stupid?

@Itsprobablynotcominghome not quite what you want - but NI’s Dept. Of Health have started to tweet tidbits on the breakdown

@Itsprobablynotcominghome

Because they haven’t changed the adult population %.

You can’t add 16/17 year olds 1st doses to a total for “adults”.

Unless I’m being stupid?

Unless the figures next to the % aren’t connected I guess.

But to me it screams of “shit we don’t want the % to go down”

inews.co.uk/news/air-purifiers-uk-schools-covid-1146965?ito=twitter_share_article-top

Trials from September in 30 Bradford schools. Is that a rather small sample size (1/3 having purifiers, 1/3 UV filters, 1/3 no new measures)? I suppose it depends whether the DfE /DHSC also takes into account results from eg New York schools where they are going right ahead and installing equipment.