Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 5th August 2021

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We can get an idea of cases via hospital admissions. We don't need to know the exact number.

However, in the first wave, there was a far higher threshold for hospital admission with covid.

So it's not a straightforward measure.

Even with deaths, there are arguments about whether to include the many people who died from covid more than 28 days after they tested positive. And the arguments about how many people testing positive from covid should have this on their death certificate.

it's hard to see why there should be a problem just providing information (about case numbers, admissions and deaths) which is of public interest that is easily available.

Meanwhile, there is always the ONS survey. And sewage of course

That reminds me; @boys3 please could we add sewage links to the OP?
Overview of coverage is here (not updated since end of May, before anyone gets excited): www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Latest report; it's published about a month in arrears: www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021/environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-wastewater-monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-in-england-june-2021#concentration-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-wastewater-samples-1-june-to-28-june. (June, published end of July.)

Sorry, this link also allows download of the data in Excel, if anybody wants to do something with it: www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021.

Interesting stabilisation of cases today at 29,612. I still expect to see little falls and rises ongoing, so I don't think it's changing that picture, even though it's clearly more welcome than the alternative.

Yes, I was pleasantly surprised by the England's case number. Testing is slightly up so it is not fewer people getting tests.

I can live with falls and rises - they are so much better than a steady increase.

UK number does not include Wales (608 cases a week ago) so the picture is less clear.

today's spec date graphic for England, plus daily case number and seven day moving average (on next post)

and

Thanks, boys3. I really like the look of Day-1:) but I know it is too early to read into it.

@MRex

That reminds me; *@boys3* please could we add sewage links to the OP? Overview of coverage is here (not updated since end of May, before anyone gets excited): www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme. Latest report; it's published about a month in arrears: www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021/environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-wastewater-monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-in-england-june-2021#concentration-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-wastewater-samples-1-june-to-28-june. (June, published end of July.)

excremental increase in place

it's hard to see why there should be a problem just providing information (about case numbers, admissions and deaths) which is of public interest that is easily available

There's no problem providing it, the problem is the cost and infrastructure in collating it, the normal respiratory illness surveillance measures seems sufficient.

Looks like Sedgemoor might be new Lincoln. A big jump reported today.

It's like the Data thread version of Casablanca.

There'll Always Be Sewage

:)

@wintertravel1980

Looks like Sedgemoor might be new Lincoln. A big jump reported today.

110 cases with a Monday spec date in Sedgemoor. It had 91 cases back on 15th July (England's peak day in this wave); but then fell back quite quickly. Let's hope for a repeat.

I suppose I should ask - what's in Sedgemoor? Did the Sedgemoor Splash close?

Sedgemoor apparently has some large food processors eg yoghurts supplied to Muller, but I can’t see anything in the local press about an outbreak anywhere.

@herecomesthsun

It's like the Data thread version of Casablanca.

There'll Always Be Sewage

Haha! We'll always have the sewage.

At least there's lots of sewage data now for those memories! 100% for London and 60-76% for other regions.

Given there's a lot we still don't know about covid and its long-term effects, I would say that's an argument for testing widely so people who've had it know they have.

Just a quick question...
DH has had a text from his pharmacy telling him to book his flu jab (in August?!) I know it was mentioned somewhere on a Data thread, but what's the earliest/optimum time you think it should be done?
He has heart probs, so normally goes to the GP Flu Clinic.
I've said not until October at the earliest
TIA.

Piggy I hope you're feeling a lot better. x

Hi pussycat, feeling a bit better , thanks. still lots of stuff going on with my body but nothing too scary anymore.

Following the answer to your Q with interest for DH!

This was on another thread and it says soem really interesting stuff about vaccines, when they work, how they work, why they might not at first:

www.news.com.au/world/coronavirus/global/iceland-deals-with-growing-delta-outbreak-as-high-vaccination-rates-stop-deaths/news-story/b970a814615715e573d67b3a1c1525f0

Pussycat yes, Boots have had their flu vaccine booking system opened for a month, with vaccines starting next month.I read somewhere the flu vaccine lasts six months, so opting to have mine late Sept, so whatever support/immunity my body gains will be during autumn/winter.

I booked my flu jab at Boots weeks ago, for mid September. GP flu jab sessions for oldies are always at inconvenient times for me, I think because they don’t believe over 65s are likely to be working.

Piggy is your DH ok? Has he managed to keep away from you all?

He seems OK. He is quite anxious about getting it still. We aren't sure when he could be considered to have dodged the bullet.

[quote Piggywaspushed]This was on another thread and it says soem really interesting stuff about vaccines, when they work, how they work, why they might not at first:

www.news.com.au/world/coronavirus/global/iceland-deals-with-growing-delta-outbreak-as-high-vaccination-rates-stop-deaths/news-story/b970a814615715e573d67b3a1c1525f0[/quote]
This article reads a bit ridiculously. It says “Iceland’s medical infrastructure is being pushed to its limits” and refers to “severe strain on the health system” etc.

But then it says they have a total of 20 people in hospital, just 5(!!) of whom are in intensive care. I understand that it’s a small island with a tiny population, but if they can’t accommodate those kinds of additional numbers then I don’t know what to think. Surely this is nonsense.