Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 11th JULY

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
List of useful data links below. Suggestions for additions, and indeed deletions, always welcome.
UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

@BigWoollyJumpers

What are we all thinking with regards to the population estimate data update?

I know in the past pp's have wondered how their own regions can be so low for vaccinations in particular. It could be we see a positive reflection in the vaccination data ie: we have actually vaccinated more than reflected thus far. Of course, it could go the other way, and that would be disappointing.

How accurate would/can these "estimates" be when the home office seriously underestimated how many EU citizens were in the UK?

The ONS figure, in England at least, is only used for the national overall England percentage. Everything else age bands at national level, all regional, council, and MSOA figures use NIMS population.

With regard to the ONS 2020 based figure in England in is only marginally higher than the 2019 one ; 56,550,183 vs 56,286,861. London has moved from 8.961 million to 9.002 million, so not even a dent in the NIMS differential.

Deaths are looking fairly level this week, they'll be higher once the catch-up reaches back to the week of course, but nothing dramatic to see yet.

Posted by @Fizziwater in the Good News thread, this report is very interesting about antibody levels in the Virus Watch trials: ucl-virus-watch.net/?page_id=1234#3.
(@boys3 - could we save the general link on the next thread OP please, as could be good to check weekly?)

I hope it just gives the most accurate figure possible. If that means the U.K. % drops so be it. And personally I think it will.

If it drops to say sub-80% double dosed, then I think this would make sense, and maybe the 20% of people would stop relying on the 80% to fix this.

@Itsprobablynotcominghome

I hope it just gives the most accurate figure possible. If that means the U.K. % drops so be it. And personally I think it will.

If it drops to say sub-80% double dosed, then I think this would make sense, and maybe the 20% of people would stop relying on the 80% to fix this.

Sorry meant to @BigWoollyJumpers

Single dosed* not double dosed. Sorry.

Re. Numbers... Are cases not slowing down because people have stopped LFT 2 X a week? I

Are cases not slowing down because people have stopped LFT 2 X a week?

Obviously we don't know how many people were LFTing and then not reporting it, but the majority (well over 2/3rds) of cases are found by PCR's in the first instance in the statistics.

So it's unlikely that LFT is actually contributing much.

It’ll be interesting to see how much school students not being supplied with test kits over the summer affects figures, might give us an idea of how many were being used hitherto?

@JanFebAnyMonth

It’ll be interesting to see how much school students not being supplied with test kits over the summer affects figures, might give us an idea of how many were being used hitherto?

Currently we can not get hold of any LFTs to issue to our students for the summer, the local pharmacy also can not get hold of any.

LFT wise have Dept of Health confirmed funding post 31st July yet?

Latest rates in England up to 18th July, and going back weekly to w/e 13th June.

Overall England rate and median rate will be shown at the top of each one.

Conditional formatting for Councils is relative to all other councils.

Council areas broken down by regions, and then sorted highest most recent week rate to lowest.

This is therefore just the regional level figures.

as a slight departure from the norm before we get into all the English council figures for English counties, that is to say counties with constituent borough councils.

getting into the regions; North East; where some LAs flattening or starting to show a decline; albeit still at high rates

Yorkshire and Humber

West Midlands 1 of 2

West Midlands 2 of 2

South West 1 of 2

South West 2 of 2

South East 1 of 3

South East 2 of 2

South East 3 of 3; no idea where 2 of 2 came from

North West 1 of 2

North West 2 of 2

North West 2 of 2 including table