Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 9th May

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
CovidMessanger has a been a great daily resource but will cease until further notice from May 10th. I hope the thread speaks on behalf of the very many posters and lurkers who have greatly valued this service when we say a huge thank you to littleowl for all her work in creating and sharing it.

[quote boys3]@ceeveebee I think we’ll find that percentages for regional and all geographies below that are calculated on the NIMS population estimates, whilst the national level is ONS population estimate based.[/quote]
Ah yes - I should have read the definitions more closely! I knew you’d have the answer!

Also, at national level they include vaccines given to under 18s, but appears not at regional level (from a quick calc it looks like a few hundred thousand)

@PatriciaHolm
Thanks! I looked at it twice during a meeting, but just didn't see the difference.

Is it the same mantra that Boris was spouting during the first lockdown?!

Don’t go out unless you must but if you must go out, stay in but don’t stay in, go out, but not far, don’t go far, that’ll do pig, that’ll do, don’t cross that line and you’ll be reet! But we won’t tell you about it, we’ll just let you find the ‘guidance’ by yourself by answering cryptic crossword puzzles in The Herd Immunity weekly, and then tell you it was there all along!

Obvs Boris with a Northern accent!

Apart from maternity related reasons of course

Yep, but 1% of women might be pregnant in a year, and only a percentage of those would spend any given night in hospital etc. So with rates only in the 8 percent in the age group with covid it's quite difficult to come up with that many entering hospital simply with covid.

Although I suppose in some post birth situations you might get 2 for 1 admissions? Is a baby who's only still in hospital 'cos the mother can't be discharged an admitted patient or not?

But if we assume fully vaccinated are being well protected - and the evidence of the cases does suggest it:
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?areaType=ltla%26areaName=Bolton#card-cases_by_specimen_date_age_demographics_-_above_and_below_60
And assume other CEV people are similar protected, then I just can't see maternity being enough to provide the number of cases in the hospital - what is the catchment population of the hospital, it could be bigger?

I suspect it is people like my friend in the first lockdown. She is in her thirties and has asthma. Caught covid and developed pneumonia. She was hospitalised for a week. Her life was never in serious danger, but the Drs suspected her asthma, although not bad enough to be cev, made her covid worse.

mobile.twitter.com/Dr_D_Robertson/with_replies

Just ended up reading this guy’s Twitter feed, some interesting stuff
• today’s debâcle;
• rates in Bolton (over 1% of all 10-14 yr olds tested positive last week)
• the dodgy basis for the “only 15 positive tests before and after the trial events” headlines (spoiler: only 25-43% of people returned PCR tests following the events)

I'm a lurker on these threads but they are my bible for calm assessment of what's actually happening without the spin and propaganda and emotion...

I had my first jab on 2nd May and now invited for second and can get an appt next week! Are they closing the gaps between doses? Has anyone had similar? Not sure whether to get it ASAP or book for 12 weeks.

I haven't seen anything in the press about actively moving second doses so far forward, it would be 5 weeks gap if I booked the earlier appt. I'm 41 and had AZ which might be linked if they are trying to get as many AZ doses in as possible before effectively halting it. Not sure how I feel about that...

bumpetybumpbump

It is a personal decision based on individual risks. I personally would not reduce the gap for AZ to under 8-9 weeks based on its performance in trials:

www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S0140-6736%2821%2900432-3

Page 5 of the Lancet report lays out efficacy estimates for different intervals between the two doses.

People who are high risk / in frontline roles / living in hotspots may make very different risk assessments and choose to get vaccinated sooner. It is basically a trade off between speed and efficacy.

I am also in my early 40s, got vaccinated in late April with AZ and am planning to wait until the end of June before getting my second dose. I am pretty sure I will get called earlier by my GP but I am planning to book my second dose on the central NHS website. I live in London so there are always plenty of options and availability.

Thanks @wintertravel1980 . I'm thinking similar. I presume many will just book though, which might help in the short term but mean less overall effectiveness in the population long term? Unless the plan is a booster for those who had AZ.

@bumpetybumpbump - sounds like your GP is a bit too keen. I just had mine at 10 weeks and dithered about bringing it forward from 12 weeks but decided 10 was OK. Unless you're at extremely high risk the results look best if you stick within 8-12 weeks. You can book on the national booking site if your GP is stopping their vaccination service early, you should find a pharmacy or large vaccination site not too far away that you can book.

New thread needed soon....

@JanFebAnyMonth

New thread needed soon....

Ready to go once this thread finished

www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/4254976-Data-Stat-Daily-Numbers-started-26th-May-2021?watched=1

Has Mr Cummings had much to say so far?

Has Mr Cummings had much to say so far?
It's a sad tale of how one decent and clever man tried desperately to get the country to do the right thing. Sadly, while It's obvious with hindsight that this one man had all the right answers, everyone else fucked it all up while he tried to stop them. He feels awful that he didn't stop them from fucking it up. He is extremely clear that he despises Boris, everyone else at number 10, Vallance, Whitty, most of the cabinet and everyone who ever attended Sage meetings. He also says he didn't update the blog about pandemics that he updated. I'm not certain that I believe half of what he says, but I think he's convinced himself that he was the good guy.

@MRex

Has Mr Cummings had much to say so far? It's a sad tale of how one decent and clever man tried desperately to get the country to do the right thing. Sadly, while It's obvious with hindsight that this one man had all the right answers, everyone else fucked it all up while he tried to stop them. He feels awful that he didn't stop them from fucking it up. He is extremely clear that he despises Boris, everyone else at number 10, Vallance, Whitty, most of the cabinet and everyone who ever attended Sage meetings. He also says he didn't update the blog about pandemics that he updated. I'm not certain that I believe half of what he says, but I think he's convinced himself that he was the good guy.

You make it sound like he is going to the same therapist as prince harry 😂😂😂

Has Mr Cummings had much to say so far?

A bigger boy did it and ran away...

@MRex

Has Mr Cummings had much to say so far? It's a sad tale of how one decent and clever man tried desperately to get the country to do the right thing. Sadly, while It's obvious with hindsight that this one man had all the right answers, everyone else fucked it all up while he tried to stop them. He feels awful that he didn't stop them from fucking it up. He is extremely clear that he despises Boris, everyone else at number 10, Vallance, Whitty, most of the cabinet and everyone who ever attended Sage meetings. He also says he didn't update the blog about pandemics that he updated. I'm not certain that I believe half of what he says, but I think he's convinced himself that he was the good guy.

I think he wants Benedict Cumberbatch to play him again. I’m guessing he’d quite like to go for the trilogy of how he was instrumental in f’ing over the UK. Let’s hope aliens don’t make contact anytime soon.

www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/may/26/dominic-cummings-evidence-to-mps-on-covid-crisis-fact-checked

The Guardian has been fact checking some of what Cummings has said.

Think I will wait for the i newspaper or someone else a bit more neutral to fact check.

The Graun fact checkimg on the first three and highly pertinent questions are:

True; Largely True ; and To a large extent

The Graun has not provided definitions for the latter two; or any sort of truth continuum. I'm not sure of the substantive differences between largely true and to a large extent

Assuming more media outlets will weigh in on this we'll probably end up with a wide range of truth assessments for the same statement.

I think the MN deriding of The Guardian is a bit harsh. they hunt out truths and expose lies far more than The Times which I sued to trust or at least respect and has just become a Tory HQ spin machine (albeit not team Boris) in the same vein as the Telegraph. Just because a paper has left wing leanings does not invalidate their journalistic integrity.

Today's front page as an example. The main three stories. I have no problem with calling the government to account but if I want a neutral news outlet to fact check the guardian won't be the one I look at in this case.

Yeah, I'm not sure why The Guardian have chosen to go Team Cummings here. It's possible for various government ministers and civil servants to have faults that can be picked apart AND for Cummings to be a lying knobhead.

I don't read that article as being "Team Cummings". They are saying that they think some of the things he said are true.
They give other verdicts as " hard to prove and sounds fishy" and "Doesn't hold water".
I have no love for Cummings at all but his claims need to be investigated, as indeed the Parliamentary committee are doing.

But others can always post links to other fact checking here too.