Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 9th May

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
CovidMessanger has a been a great daily resource but will cease until further notice from May 10th. I hope the thread speaks on behalf of the very many posters and lurkers who have greatly valued this service when we say a huge thank you to littleowl for all her work in creating and sharing it.

@FGSWhatNow this is interesting...

I’ve received two text messages from my GP in the last two days asking me to make my 2nd appointment for AZ as they apparently need to get 2nd doses done as quickly as possible. I had one booked at my first appointment (which was in 20 March) - or so I thought - for the 5 June. I have just tried to rebook an earlier appointment now via the link on the text message to find no appointments available before my 2nd planned dose... so I’ve called them and they’ve also cancelled my 2nd appointment & cannot tell me when I will be able make another appointment.

This seems a little strange given how they seem so keen to get everyone vaccinated & will take me well over the 12 weeks which the lady said is just a Government guideline not a requirement.

Sorry to hear about your mum @PurpleWh1teGreen, it's hard to lose having at any time, but I suspect it was harder to grieve with all the restrictions in place.
I didn't mean to be dismissive of those who died, it was rather that I expected more than the numbers given.

Vaccination data worldwide; I haven't looked for a while and it's really interesting to see some big changes. This is where we start to get a real idea of actual likely take-up from looking at first doses. For example, Canada has overtaken USA on first doses now.
ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations (if you spot some inconsistent dates between countries that's normal, it's often a few days out of date here and there inconsistently between countries, but it ends up about right).

A quote from live news in The Guardian

"The spike in Covid cases in Bolton is leading to an increase in people needing hospital treatment, a local health leader has said. Andy Ennis, the chief operating officer of Bolton NHS Foundation Trust, said the hospital’s emergency department saw one of its busiest ever days on Monday. He said:

People are presenting with a range of problems and staff are working very hard to ensure they receive all the care they need as quickly and efficiently as possible.

However, we are also now seeing more people requiring hospital treatment from the effects of Covid-19, and whilst we have discharged a number overnight, today we still have 41 inpatients with Covid, including eight in critical care.

Going into the bank holiday weekend and half term, which is always a busy time for the NHS, we anticipate this pressure continuing. As such we are taking urgent actions to ensure we can continue to manage this demand effectively."

That is worrying. The government kept saying they have broken the link between cases and hospitalizations, but that does not appear to be the case.

@fruityorange

That is worrying. The government kept saying they have broken the link between cases and hospitalizations, but that does not appear to be the case.

Vaccination is never going to break that link because it's not 100% effective. It's weakened it, and that's very clear if you compare hospital admissions in Bolton area now and back in January when case rates were similar. But the link is still there -higher case rates = higher hospital admissions

@fruityorange

That is worrying. The government kept saying they have broken the link between cases and hospitalizations, but that does not appear to be the case.

the case rate is incredibly high in Bolton right now. We don't have a breakdown of people in hospital but the age range of those confirmed positive is overwhelmingly under 50s so it would follow that very few of the most vulnerable are in hospital and hopefully those that are will be far more likely to recover if they have had the vaccine. Greater manchester's hospital system is more than able to cope right now (according to the MEN) but if the situation in Bolton is replicated across GM then that will be extremely bad.

It certainly doesn't seem that vaccinating everyone is going to make this whole thing go away though. Not soon anyway.

what a shambles - from bbc. Presumably it was all a mistake then?

This from Leicester City Council: The Government has confirmed that new advice published on its website in relation to Leicester and other areas was incorrect, and people should continue to follow existing national guidelines as before. There is no local lockdown. #bbcnews

WTF! So they tell areas on the website to follow different advice and then they say it was wrongly published. I do not know how anyone is supposed to trust the government and what they say.
I am in one of these areas and am ignoring what the government say now and will decide myself. They can bugger off.

@fruityorange

WTF! So they tell areas on the website to follow different advice and then they say it was wrongly published. I do not know how anyone is supposed to trust the government and what they say. I am in one of these areas and am ignoring what the government say now and will decide myself. They can bugger off.

Agree. I'm not but close to one. Is absolutely bonkers. What annoys me most about this government is not that it makes mistakes but it never ever apologises for cock ups.

In regards to hospitalisations in Bolton, the BBC quotes the council leader:

"He said those being admitted included people aged 35 to 60, and although some would have been eligible for one or two vaccinations, a bigger number of patients had only recently become eligible for the jab."

I can't help feeling like this is exactly what many experts like Christina Pagel have been saying would happen if we lift restrictions when so many of the working age population are not yet vaccinated (or only just had a first dose) while the new variant is spreading quickly but they've been dismissed as "lockdown lovers"...

@Piggywaspushed

The point is fred that Bedford has supermarkets ... the outlying villages and towns don't so constant travel in and out. It is also on a main train line to London.

In terms of other retail, Bedford is run down, so a day's retail therapy would be in Northants or MK.

Agreed. Clothes shopping in Bedford is a miserable experience. I have virtually run out of clothes as I hate buying on line and never had an extensive wardrobe to start with. I never even considered going into Bedford, it was either Rushden Lakes or MK.

It certainly doesn't seem that vaccinating everyone is going to make this whole thing go away though. Not soon anyway.

I am actually more optimistic.

Many epidemiologists were predicting a new wave in the US with the arrival of B.117 but this has not happened. US has manage to "vaccinate itself out" and stop the spread before it picked up. Cases keep going down even though many states are now operating without restrictions.

B.167.2 is more transmissible so "vaccinating ourselves out" will be more difficult but, in my opinion, not impossible. Sefton, for instance, seems to be doing pretty well. It was hit by the new variant at the same time as Bolton but, AFAIK, it has got different demographics and pretty high vaccination rates. The prevalence rate is now back to just under 20/100,000.

We are literally in a race between the virus and vaccines.

Good to hear about Sefton. Agree re race.

I’m surprised to see a drop of 23 to 13 per 100k in my area (SE London)

My area in the East is 6. 2 cases per 100,000 people, and the Indian variant was discovered at 2 schools last week, although the cases were actually from early May. So not much growth here.

We were incredibly high in Dec/Jan.

Is it purely demographics why it's often the same places with outbreaks? Like Kirklees (I confess I couldn't even point this out on a map, I know very little about Up North if it's even the north 😂) they spoke about there in summer 2020.

a bigger number of patients had only recently become eligible for the jab
The implies there are a lot of hospitalisations in age 35-44.

Cases seem to have peaked in Bolton now looking at the graphs. Daily numbers much less high than they were.

Blackburn and Kirklees at the peak perhaps, a downward trend might be starting.

A whole 9 extra cases in Burnley.

UK cases are more flat today.
2493 compared with 2412 last Tuesday.

@MRex

a bigger number of patients had only recently become eligible for the jab The implies there are a lot of hospitalisations in age 35-44.

I was wondering about this too. Am I being too overly optimistic to think that within the admissions it’s possibly some admissions “with covid” rather than “because of”? I’m thinking pregnancy-related admissions/accidents etc. Are more likely to also be positive because of the high infection rate in the area. These aren’t likely to be younger patients in group 6 if many have recently become eligible, and aren’t generally the age groups we would expect to be admitted because of covid.

Isn't Kirklees the special Yorkshire variant?
The poster was right then who said "it won't spread, we don't give owt for nowt round here"

But exactly the same number as yesterday. Are you sure they updated it?

Any impact from last week's relaxation wouldn't be visible yet; lots of people would have socialised indoors for the first time at the weekend.

Hopefully we don't see the Bolton situation replicated elsewhere as much, though, but London is vulnerable with most adults still unvaccinated or only recently vaccinated.

@ILookAtTheFloor

My area in the East is 6. 2 cases per 100,000 people, and the Indian variant was discovered at 2 schools last week, although the cases were actually from early May. So not much growth here.

We were incredibly high in Dec/Jan.

Is it purely demographics why it's often the same places with outbreaks? Like Kirklees (I confess I couldn't even point this out on a map, I know very little about Up North if it's even the north 😂) they spoke about there in summer 2020.

That's the question we'd all like to know the answer to. I don't know anything about Bedford but Bolton, Rochdale, Oldham, Burnley, Kirklees, Bradford all have very high percentages of Asian British and also many deprived pockets. Asians are more likely to live in multi generational households and also public facing jobs so probably more at risk generally. A relatively low proportion of office workers so few people generally able to wfh. Many likely unable to self isolate without incurring financial penalties - whiter and more middle class areas are far more likely to have jobs where they can work from home so less likely to catch it in the first place and even if they do they can more readily stay at home.

No worries at all Mrex. I promise my frustrations are not directed at you. I am bloody cross that professionals who know better when it comes to infection control rolled over in the face of government policy.

We can't ever afford to lose our critical thinking abilities.

@TheSunIsStillShining

But exactly the same number as yesterday. Are you sure they updated it?

2,439 yesterday; 2,493 today! Just 3.3% up on last tuesday, which I'll take at this point.