Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 9th May

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
CovidMessanger has a been a great daily resource but will cease until further notice from May 10th. I hope the thread speaks on behalf of the very many posters and lurkers who have greatly valued this service when we say a huge thank you to littleowl for all her work in creating and sharing it.

That's a good point @lurker. As vaccination has focused on those most at risk, and also gives more protection against serious disease, we would expect to see a growing proportion of hospital admissions being people who happen to have Covid rather than those admitted primarily because of it. Still causes problems for the hospitals who need to isolate infected patients, but should mean that a falling proportion of hospitalised patients die.

It's reassuring that a lot have been discharged quite quickly, though we've had people in 30s and 40s hospitalised in each wave and perhaps they were also mostly discharged after a short period. It isn't only the clinically vulnerable of course, lots who perhaps only need oxygen.

For some areas it's a double whammy of those most at risk of catching the disease due to occupation and/or living in multi-generational households and being more likely to be more seriously unwell due to underlying health conditions like diabetes.

And for some a triple whammy of vaccine reluctance.

Most of the increase is cases in Scotland, only a small rise in England and Wales and NI are dropping

Govt says (in Commons) that it wants to stop giving top down rules and let people use their judgment.

I think we know how that will go...

@JanFebAnyMonth

Govt says (in Commons) that it wants to stop giving top down rules and let people use their judgment.

I think we know how that will go...

I’m sad to say that statement unnerves me.

@JanFebAnyMonth

Govt says (in Commons) that it wants to stop giving top down rules and let people use their judgment.

I think we know how that will go...

Was that today Jan?

@JanFebAnyMonth

Govt says (in Commons) that it wants to stop giving top down rules and let people use their judgment.

I think we know how that will go...

Translated as "we don't want the blame for lockdowns or rising cases."

@MRex

a bigger number of patients had only recently become eligible for the jab The implies there are a lot of hospitalisations in age 35-44.

So this could be for a couple of reasons that I can think of:

• The older age groups aren’t being hospitalised, because they have had their jabs
• The Indian variant spreads to/affects younger age groups more than older ones
• How do the cases by age compare to hospitalisation? Is it just that there are more cases in the younger people or are there similar numbers but the younger ones are more often hospitalised? Related to my first point.

As vaccination has focused on those most at risk, and also gives more protection against serious disease, we would expect to see a growing proportion of hospital admissions being people who happen to have Covid rather than those admitted primarily because of it

The rates are really too low for there to be significant numbers of this, the 25-60 year olds simply don't use much healthcare to coincidently have covid when the rates are this low, So I think the majority of these must be admitted for covid - it's possible though that the admittance is not the same as previously and they're being admitted when wouldn't've before?

From BBC website
Downing Street says the government has been upfront about the "extra risk" posed by the so-called Indian variant after local authorities said they were not consulted about new guidance for eight hotspot areas in England.

The prime minister's official spokesman says ministers want to move away from "top-down edicts" as lockdown restrictions ease, saying it was for individuals to make a judgment on how to behave.

The new guidance was "not statutory", the spokesman says.

"Throughout we have been clear that people in these areas should recognise the extra risk posed by the variant and exercise their judgement."

Downing Street said there would be no extra financial support for the hospitality sector, local authorities or other businesses in the Covid hotspot areas beyond what is already available.

The spokesman also says posters and social media messaging had been shared with local authority areas impacted by the new guidance.

Bit of a strange question on the vaccination data on the dashboard - overall for England the uptake for open dose is 72.1%. But when you look at it by region, every single region is below 70%. Surely that can’t be right from a mathematical perspective?

Open dose was meant to say one dose

@ceeveebee Travelling Tabby site has most regions over 72.1, London bringing down the average considerably.

@ceeveebee

Bit of a strange question on the vaccination data on the dashboard - overall for England the uptake for open dose is 72.1%. But when you look at it by region, every single region is below 70%. Surely that can’t be right from a mathematical perspective?

I’ve wondered this. Someone on Twitter said that there is a lag on the regional breakdown. So they get the National figure quickly but it takes a few days to work out where they all come from apparently

That all said Richard on Twitter somehow seems to have more up to date stats than the government website

@ceeveebee I think we’ll find that percentages for regional and all geographies below that are calculated on the NIMS population estimates, whilst the national level is ONS population estimate based.

Government is now changing the guidance for “local lockdown” areas to clarify that in fact they are not local lockdowns at all and please are free to come and go. No sign of an apology for a monumental cockup. On another threat is a cafe owner in Bolton that had no customers this morning due to the new “guidance”. Is disgraceful.

People are free

@sirfredfredgeorge

As vaccination has focused on those most at risk, and also gives more protection against serious disease, we would expect to see a growing proportion of hospital admissions being people who happen to have Covid rather than those admitted primarily because of it

The rates are really too low for there to be significant numbers of this, the 25-60 year olds simply don't use much healthcare to coincidently have covid when the rates are this low, So I think the majority of these must be admitted for covid - it's possible though that the admittance is not the same as previously and they're being admitted when wouldn't've before?

Apart from maternity related reasons of course. I doubt I'm that unusual in the only two times I've spent a night in hospital in my life were being born, and having DC1.

@ceeveebee

Bit of a strange question on the vaccination data on the dashboard - overall for England the uptake for open dose is 72.1%. But when you look at it by region, every single region is below 70%. Surely that can’t be right from a mathematical perspective?

Where I live, Tendring, 76.6% of adults have had their first dose (and 54.7% have had both). There must be areas with a similar uptake.

I can’t believe the end result of this comms shambles is that very risky local areas are basically saying “Flock here, people from far and near!” Of course I realise it’s awful for business owners though. But another lockdown would be even worse.

I suspect the increased hospital figs in Bolton are just because the rates are so very high. A smaller proportion of younger people will get hospitalised than older ones but a small proportion when the rates are so high is still a significant number. It does seem to show that vaccines are more or less working though.

@JanFebAnyMonth

I can’t believe the end result of this comms shambles is that very risky local areas are basically saying “Flock here, people from far and near!” Of course I realise it’s awful for business owners though. But another lockdown would be even worse.

assume you mean another national lockdown. I think the government now realised that local lockdowns don't really work as people can easily just cross borders. Guilty myself as I live in greater manchester and for a large chunk of last year could do quite a lot more by heading all of half a mile down the road to Cheshire so that's what everybody did. Because the rates in Cheshire were actually higher than they were in our local area so made no sense. The only lockdowns that actually work are the national ones where nobody is going anywhere and everything is closed.

With the same places being affected all the time too it's quite unpleasant and unfair to be known as the place that's always in some kind of lockdown. So many businesses have suffered - even when open- and not been properly compensated. There will be a stigma attached to Bolton for a long time and that is/will be devastating.

This time round ,there is a hope that a combination of surge testing and surge vaccinations, neither of which really happened last year, can really help stabilise the situation. Of course if the government decides that that is not enough, by that point it will be far too late to have stopped the spread and we'll be in real trouble. Hopefully with vaccines going into arms like the clappers there is a chance things will stabilise in the next few weeks.

Yes of course (local vs national lockdowns) @Frazzled2207.

Here’s hoping....