Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 9th May

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
CovidMessanger has a been a great daily resource but will cease until further notice from May 10th. I hope the thread speaks on behalf of the very many posters and lurkers who have greatly valued this service when we say a huge thank you to littleowl for all her work in creating and sharing it.

I agree @MargaretThursday. I have 2 teens and work at their school.

@Frazzled2207 I am sure that happens. But I see more children meeting up with other children when schools are open because "they are already mixing anyway".

I think it might depend on the social demographics. In more deprived areas there are more likely to be problems with teenagers meeting up even if they are supposed to be working at home. Parents are more likely to be working out of the home and less likely to keep an eye on them.
Plus all year 11 and 13:have finished assessments now. Many schools are keeping year 11 s in until the end of term to do various things but if schools shut I don't think they will be doing much.

I get the impression that the majority of schools are booting Y11 and 13 out so they can get on with other things....like finalising the TAGs and actually marking something for Y7/8/9/10/12.....

The large groups they are rampaging in might be - what?- 20, maybe 30 kids?

There were 400 kids in our school today in an overcrowded, unventilated indoor social area.

They also meet up with kids form other year groups in school quite easily. I do think one issue is a dominance in public health/government/ SAGE/academia etc of people who went to small, selective fee paying schools. They make assumptions about teen behaviours out of school and assumptions about behaviour and space in schools based on very little evidence, in all truth. Much of what they say would be run off this thread as anecdata and yet it informs decision making and policy.

On older students:

www.expressandstar.com/news/uk-news/2021/05/24/almost-half-of-students-who-went-out-met-friends-or-family-indoors/

I think they are far more likely to be the mixers but perhaps not in Bolton and Bedford .

It's not an economic or political weighing up of pros and cons, just modelling of the likely scale of case rates in the light of what look to me to be very balanced assumptions about transmission, and updated already to show the impact of the Indian strain being a bit more infectious and/or a bit less affected by vaccines

But they're not bothering to actually model the health risks, 1.2 million inactive adults, being an inactive adult costs more than 10 QALYs, how many QALYs saved by a lockdown - nothing to do with economic or political benefits, I'm only talking about the health benefits, it's the continued myth that lockdown, isolation, closes do not have any harms to health, so you only need to look at the positive side nothing else.

Now it's not as simple as the QALY's above of course, because that inactivity can be reversed, so it's it's not that simple measure, but that does need to be included, and inactivity in the vulnerable is even more relevant as it specifically harms their ability to fight infection in small timescales.

kids "rampaging" in groups is entirely legal unless there's 31 of them surely?

Many schools are keeping year 11 s in until the end of term to do various things but if schools shut I don't think they will be doing much.

Are you sure? Round here and up round my parents (other end of the country) those that are still keeping year 11s in this week are in the minority, and none of those are planning on keeping them in after half term.

We finish year 11 this week too. I’m surprised if some are staying an extra half term?

Our Y 11 and 13 finish this week, but in a couple of weeks our sixth form bridging starts and lots of Y11 will be back.

Maybe it is schools with 6th forms that are getting year 11s in for bridging work?

Can't access the article, but the HSJ are reporting that England has hit a record low for deaths in hospitals. Unfortunately, positive as this is, I'm not really feeling it.

So so hope we don't see another rise.

purple, unfortunately, see the tweet I posted this afternoon from the Dep Editor of the HSJ, on growing numbers of hospitalisations in the hotspots.

Definitely not all schools with sixth forms, ours just get to come in for one taster day each in June.

“New” guidance for those in hotspots (listed therein) dated Fri 21st but obviously it didn’t get much publicity! Basically it says follow the rules and get tested.

www.gov.uk/guidance/covid-19-coronavirus-restrictions-what-you-can-and-cannot-do?fbclid=IwAR1E2wLCEyb4eILgyrLB_TZab-cxbf5cmpUgBPZYBstEsbnTZNecI0r9cr8#if-youre-in-an-area-where-the-new-covid-19-variant-is-spreading

Thanks for the reassurance on cancelling and rebooking. Now rebooked for next week. Much better as 10 days after that I'm planning to go and stay with a friend I've not seen in over a year (overnight!).

[quote JanFebAnyMonth]“New” guidance for those in hotspots (listed therein) dated Fri 21st but obviously it didn’t get much publicity! Basically it says follow the rules and get tested.

www.gov.uk/guidance/covid-19-coronavirus-restrictions-what-you-can-and-cannot-do?fbclid=IwAR1E2wLCEyb4eILgyrLB_TZab-cxbf5cmpUgBPZYBstEsbnTZNecI0r9cr8#if-youre-in-an-area-where-the-new-covid-19-variant-is-spreading[/quote]
pretty shocking that government can do this without letting the local councils or MPs know. They were all int he dark until this evening apparently. Yes it's be sensible but also advising against non-essential travel in and out. That's pretty shitty if you're going away for half term. Guidance not law though.

Oh I didn’t spot that, @Frazzled2207, I thought it was all just a rehash of the current guidance with greater mentioning of testing and outside.

So they released it on Friday but didn’t tell the councils concerned (or anyone else)?
Seriously??

@JanFebAnyMonth
yeah
tbh it could have been some office junior updating the guidance so perhaps the actual government didn't know either.
Local media is going pretty beserk on twitter this evening.

I’m not surprised!!

They had better not include Salford before Friday. I need to see my Mum.

@EducatingArti

They had better not include Salford before Friday. I need to see my Mum.

similar situation here (other gm borough). remember it's guidance not advice. Even if they do, if you need to see your mum, go.

Yes I will, but will feel worried about spreading new variant if they are advising against. I will do a lateral flow this week which will help and I will be 2 weeks post second vaccine on Friday too.

Just seen this janfebanymonth
!!!

Unbelievable!

“ If you’re in an area where the new COVID-19 variant is spreading
This new variant is sometimes referred to as the variant first identified in India. It is spreading fastest in:

Bedford Borough Council
Blackburn with Darwen Borough Council
Bolton Metropolitan Borough Council
Burnley Borough Council
Kirklees Council
Leicester City Council
London Borough of Hounslow
North Tyneside Council
The new COVID-19 variant spreads more easily from person to person. To help stop the spread, you should take particular caution when meeting anyone outside your household or support bubble.

In the areas listed above, wherever possible, you should try to:

meet outside rather than inside where possible
keep 2 metres apart from people that you don’t live with (unless you have formed a support bubble with them), this includes friends and family you don’t live with
avoid travelling in and out of affected areas unless it is essential, for example for work (if you cannot work from home) or education”

They seem to have forgotten to actually tell anyone about this!!

Gosh, puts my angstinfabout nuances of guidance into perspective. Let’s get back to basics, shall we:

The public cannot abide by guidance that no one knows exists!

Quite.