Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 17th March

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

East of England

East Mids

West Mids; Yorks & Humber

Thanks for those @boys3. My area seems to be slipping even further down its regional table sadly.

@CarrotPuff

I work in NHS and we're very, very far from being back to normal on 12/04. The lack of forward planning is actually quite astonishing, especially for someone who's worked in private sector before. We still have to wear masks at all times/SD even though 95% of staff have had 2 vaccines already. And we still need to do LFTs twice a week. I would love to know how many positives we've had since January.

The roadmap says we will be broadly ‘back to normal’ from late June but there is no sign of the measures you list being eased. I wish someone official would come out and say how we actually get back to normal. Will we all be wearing masks and hand sanitising for ever?

I think wearing masks in for eg: A&E and ITU (they already did in operating theatres) is a great idea. Also nothing wrong with washing your hands more often ! Do we want to go back to our old sloppy ways ?

Hand washing or sanitising was normal practice before the pandemic, no?

Not to an extent when my children's hands are red raw when they come from school. Don't get me wrong, it's good that we're washing hands more, but there has to be a bit of balance.

I feel that I've derailed the thread though, so I apologise for that. It would, however, be interesting to know how many of the NHS staff tested positive on LFTs since vaccinations.

@PurpleWh1teGreen

Hand washing or sanitising was normal practice before the pandemic, no?

Not every time you went into a shop! And I know I am not the only person who has replaced their sometimes perfunctory hand wash with a proper two happy birthdays thing.

Handwashing still isn't normal in your average school! Bleurgh.

Just as an an anecdote, I know of an NHS worker who tested negative on 3 successive LFTs last week. Felt a bit fatigued so out of an abundance of caution booked a PCR test for herself (and I think other family members although that bit is unclear) and two family members have come back positive.

I never did find out how many of our roughly 20 LFT positives in my schools' sixth form came back positive/negative after PCR. Now the DFE has changed the rules on that that could be quite chaotic after Easter, if there are multiple linked positive LFTs.

@CarrotPuff

I work in NHS and we're very, very far from being back to normal on 12/04. The lack of forward planning is actually quite astonishing, especially for someone who's worked in private sector before. We still have to wear masks at all times/SD even though 95% of staff have had 2 vaccines already. And we still need to do LFTs twice a week. I would love to know how many positives we've had since January.

Exactly.

Measures to prevent spread are no longer being thought through, especially in hospitals.

Fair enough wear masks in shops, make extra effort in restaurants, but hospitals should be able to operate in the most efficient way possible, and with the current case numbers going into summer, that is no restrictions on their working practices whatsoever.

Sorry, no @Doomsdayiscoming, that won't work. I have to take DS into hospital next week, he can't be vaccinated. Some of the hospital staff, many of the patients and all of the children in the area will not be vaccinated. I'd like extra distance, extra cleaning, masks and open windows thanks.

Why does it make more sense to wear a mask in a supermarket than in a hospital or medical setting?

Deaths 10, positive 3423
1st 31.4m 2nd 5.2m

@Wilma55

Deaths 10, positive 3423 1st 31.4m 2nd 5.2m

The falling nicely at the moment. Over Christmas we saw quite a big drop on the bank holidays though and then a big rise afterwards. I'm thinking we might see that again, though on a much lower scale with Easter.

Delurking here briefly to ask: does anyone know (or have theories) why the take up in vaccination rates is so low in London? Obviously London is very diverse and has a large proportion of many different ethnic minorities, which we know may be hesitant (and understandably so). But many parts of the Midlands have diverse populations and the rates are still lower in London. Could it be supply issues? The hassle of getting to a vaccination hub if you don't want to go by public transport? I did wonder at the beginning if the population estimates they were using discounted the mass exodus out of London that was reported in the first lockdown, but I imagine that mostly related to young people so doesn't explain why there's still a significant minority (~15% going by @boys3's charts) in the older groups that haven't had it yet. Would love to here people's conjecture on this.

I don’t know but I wonder if Londoners have higher hesitancy rates relating to other vaccines too.

If it is to do with accessibility issues that’s dreadful. Anything in London must surely take it’s different transport mores into account.

I'm not convinced London has more problems with accessibility of vaccine sites compared with other areas - people in rural areas are much more likely to have to travel further, lack public transport etc. The BME population in London is quite a lot higher than other regions (when looking at entire regions), and there's also a much higher proportion of white but non-uk born people. They will be more influenced by the views of friends, families and governments in other countries. And the vast majority of other countries have more vaccine hesitant people than we do in the UK. There are also more people in London who've had Covid than other regions, some of them may (not entirely unreasonably) feel they don't need the vaccine at present. Whether the population is lower than realised does seem a possible issue but, as you say, would be unlikely to be significant in the older age groups.

Ah yes, the proportion of Londoners who’ve had COVID has been cited as a possible issue, hasn’t it?

Its a key question that you've raised @NotN0wBernard.

These are the highest and lowest English Council areas, excluding any in London.

Within the lowest group are a number of cities and towns that would have a far more diverse aged 50+population; so the likes of Nottingham, Slough, Luton, Leicester, Birmingham. But then also Oxford and Cambridge, Milton Keynes, Peterborough, Watford and Corby which - and happy to stand corrected - are probably relatively less so.

The highest group much more rural and likely much less diverse; a number also some of the least deprived council areas, but by no means all fit into this.

Although thinking about some of the wealthiest parts of the country - only a couple of council areas in the South East make that very highest take up list.

Gosh that’s interesting @boys3. Peterborough is quite diverse, Corby less so (unless you count the Scots and Irish ) but quite deprived, lots of manufacturing and rates have been high pretty consistently.

The first table seems pretty homogenous, the second much less so. Are people in Brighton, Camb and Oxford refusing because they’re of an ‘alternative’ mindset?

@boys3 Oxford and Cambridge have very high proportions of non-uk born people. See the spreadsheet you can download from here: www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/ukpopulationbycountryofbirthandnationality/july2017tojune2018. Which fits my theory that the BME thing is not so much about ethnicity but actually related to whether people trust and listen to the UK government, or get news more elsewhere in the world. Outside London only Slough and Leicester are higher. Peterborough, Corby and Watford less so, but all quite deprived areas.

Interesting point, the latest ONS release www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/ukpopulationbycountryofbirthandnationality/yearendingjune2020 has a really good map (scroll down to section 4 in the link) where Oxford and Cambridge are clearly standouts.

Not quite so sure that I can agree with Watford being relatively deprived :), in to the top third least deprived councils areas at the last count. Certainly more relevant for Corby and Peterborough (78th and 51st most deprived council areas)

Corby has had the highest covid rates and stubbornly refused to drop for some time. It is definitely not a middle class town. You have got Peterborough wrong in your mind's eye boys - very multicultural . High white immigrant population, too. Milton Keynes also very diverse. All three have quite a lot of gig economy workers.