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Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 27th Feb

999 replies

boys3 · 27/02/2021 17:45

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

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We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
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Frazzled2207 · 15/03/2021 16:19

sorry cases are just about 5,000 not 1,000

Wilma55 · 15/03/2021 16:21

It was 65 last Monday so not much difference

CarrotPuff · 15/03/2021 16:21

Do they retrospectively adjust the numbers then if PCR is negative?

Frazzled2207 · 15/03/2021 16:26

@CarrotPuff

Do they retrospectively adjust the numbers then if PCR is negative?
I think they still stand but could move categories, of which there are three, see below. I don't think they're double counted.

LFD without positive PCR (so potentially false positives or didn't get a PCR for some reason) - nearly 1000 new reported today

LFD with positive PCR

PCR (no LFD)

ancientgran · 15/03/2021 16:26

Sorry I didn't remember last Monday. It just sounded low to me.

JanFebAnyMonth · 15/03/2021 16:55

@CarrotPuff

Do they retrospectively adjust the numbers then if PCR is negative?
We had a definitive longer answer (which iirc was "yes" basically) on that somewhere upthread I think....anyone?
Frazzled2207 · 15/03/2021 17:01

I think we did too. Quite complicated tho!

PussyCatEatingEasterEggs · 15/03/2021 17:16

Barracker thanks for posting the link back to the first thread.

DH and I were musing about whether there will be a big push to get more vaccinations done in the UK over the coming weeks while supply is less of an issue as other countries don't want it

JanFebAnyMonth · 15/03/2021 17:38

Recording my LFT result via 119 (as I don't seem to be able to log in to my online account again - the call handler said they're hearing that a lot....) took a total of 17 minutes and 23 seconds, including the 10 menus I had to navigate. Numerous questions that had to be answered twice.

How do you complain about Test and Trace/ point out that people are not going to record their results if it's that hard?

sirfredfredgeorge · 15/03/2021 17:43

The only other care home criminal investigation I recall was in Belgium (?) when the visiting Santa Claus infected elderly residents

There was a story in Montreal I remembered where the staff deserted the home entirely and many died, and in looking for a reference www.nytimes.com/2020/04/16/world/canada/montreal-nursing-homes-coronavirus.html has quite a few cases mentioned.

Firefliess · 15/03/2021 17:51

Unconfirmed LFTs can retrospectively be changed to confirmed LFTs but the total number of cases each day remains the same. You can see the number of unconfirmed LFTs fall a day or two later - there were over 1000 on some days at one point, now they're all lower than 1000.

We can't tell from the figures how many of the unconfirmed LFTs were found to be negative by PCR and how many just didn't bother being retested. They all get included as cases.

JanFebAnyMonth · 15/03/2021 17:58

@sirfredfredgeorge

The only other care home criminal investigation I recall was in Belgium (?) when the visiting Santa Claus infected elderly residents

There was a story in Montreal I remembered where the staff deserted the home entirely and many died, and in looking for a reference www.nytimes.com/2020/04/16/world/canada/montreal-nursing-homes-coronavirus.html has quite a few cases mentioned.

That happened in Spain in their first wave didn't it?
Firefliess · 15/03/2021 18:10

@PussyCatEatingEasterEggs

Barracker thanks for posting the link back to the first thread.

DH and I were musing about whether there will be a big push to get more vaccinations done in the UK over the coming weeks while supply is less of an issue as other countries don't want it

Sadly I think they'll likely hold onto the vaccines they have and just stockpile them up for a few days until it's declared safe, rather than hand them over to us!

The precautionary principle is madness when dealing with a disease that's spreading fast right now - 30 blood clotting cases (involving one death I think?) out of 5m jabs, or 1.7 per million. In many European countries around 1 in 200 people are testing positive for Covid each week - which is 500 per million, of which around 150 die. So even if all the blood clotting issues were caused by the vaccine and they all died you'd still cause far more deaths by delaying vaccines for even just a week. Not to mention the knock on impact on transmission and damage done to public confidence in the vaccine....

Piggywaspushed · 15/03/2021 18:27

DH has had his jab (AZ). He takes warfarin. Will admit it does give me pause, largely because I don't fully understand the complexities of anti coagualants. But I do wonder whether ultimately specific warnings will be attached to certain vaccines and blood clotting. Warfarin users already are told not to use aspirin, for example.

Frazzled2207 · 15/03/2021 18:29

@JanFebAnyMonth

Recording my LFT result via 119 (as I don't seem to be able to log in to my online account again - the call handler said they're hearing that a lot....) took a total of 17 minutes and 23 seconds, including the 10 menus I had to navigate. Numerous questions that had to be answered twice.

How do you complain about Test and Trace/ point out that people are not going to record their results if it's that hard?

Blimey. I am doing mine religiously but admit I haven’t registered them.
RoseWineTime · 15/03/2021 18:39

Warfarin users shouldn’t use aspirin as they are both anticoagulants! Taking both could lead to severe bleeding.

Firefliess · 15/03/2021 18:50

@RoseWineTime

Warfarin users shouldn’t use aspirin as they are both anticoagulants! Taking both could lead to severe bleeding.
... The AZ vaccine, in contrast, has no known impact on blood, clotting or anything else likely to cause blood clotting
FleeingBlue · 15/03/2021 18:52

What I find baffling about countries in the EU that have suspended use of AZ is that according to UK Yellow Card reports, Pfizer has a very similar incidence of blood clots post vaccination. So why single out AZ?

www.sciencemediacentre.org/expert-reaction-to-reports-that-ireland-has-suspended-the-use-of-the-oxford-astrazeneca-vaccine/?cli_action=1615833894.065

An extract:- "The publicly available information on the AstraZeneca vaccine lists a total of 35 cases of thrombocytopenia reported on “Yellow Cards” in the UK up to 8th March 2021. This is a very small proportion of the yellow card reports which total over 54,000 in the context of nearly 10 million vaccinations delivered. For the Pfizer vaccine there are a total of 22 reports of thrombocytopenia out of 33,000 reports and well over 10 million vaccination doses. It is clear that the proportion of reports for this bleeding disorder is not different in the two vaccines."

MRex · 15/03/2021 18:53

@JanFebAnyMonth - yes, Spain found at least one fully abandoned care home. In Australia everyone except one carer left one home.

@Firefliess - thanks for the maths of vaccine delay, that's pretty stark.

Firefliess · 15/03/2021 18:57

Nice bit of analysis on Twitter of the impact of vaccination on cases in the older age groups twitter.com/JamesWard73/status/1371522265658056707?s=19

tangoboxing · 15/03/2021 19:03

thrombocytopaenia is not blood clots. It's low platelet levels which can lead to a bleeding disorder & can be associated with loads of different things including autoimmune disease, inflammatory disorders, infection & very rarely vaccination (e.g. MMR vaccine).

I keep seeing it conflated with thrombosis (i.e. 'blood clots' ... the opposite!) which is not associated with vaccination with AZ or anything else.

Firefliess · 15/03/2021 19:07

@tangoboxing

thrombocytopaenia is not blood clots. It's low platelet levels which can lead to a bleeding disorder & can be associated with loads of different things including autoimmune disease, inflammatory disorders, infection & very rarely vaccination (e.g. MMR vaccine).

I keep seeing it conflated with thrombosis (i.e. 'blood clots' ... the opposite!) which is not associated with vaccination with AZ or anything else.

Thanks for that explanation. The press are definitely reporting that the concern is about blood clotting disorders though!
PussyCatEatingEasterEggs · 15/03/2021 19:14

@Piggywaspushed

DH has had his jab (AZ). He takes warfarin. Will admit it does give me pause, largely because I don't fully understand the complexities of anti coagualants. But I do wonder whether ultimately specific warnings will be attached to certain vaccines and blood clotting. Warfarin users already are told not to use aspirin, for example.
Piggy DH was on Clopidogrel, which is another blood thinner, for a year after he had his last stent - he was told not to take either Aspirin or Ibuprofen. I know if someone ODs on Warfarin or has an adverse reaction it can be reversed with Vitamin K (administered by A&E) thanks to my dad being allergic to it and a lovely Blush cardiologist Dr Newall
FleeingBlue · 15/03/2021 19:23

@tangoboxing

thrombocytopaenia is not blood clots. It's low platelet levels which can lead to a bleeding disorder & can be associated with loads of different things including autoimmune disease, inflammatory disorders, infection & very rarely vaccination (e.g. MMR vaccine).

I keep seeing it conflated with thrombosis (i.e. 'blood clots' ... the opposite!) which is not associated with vaccination with AZ or anything else.

Thanks for the explanation of the difference - the press is widely reporting countries are suspending due to 'blood clot deaths', I wish someone would correct them!

Still baffled why AZ is singled out though.

TheChineseChicken · 15/03/2021 19:41

But it is cases of blood clots, isn’t it? DVT and PE. I have heard thrombocytopenia mentioned anywhere in the press

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