Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 28th Jan

[TheSunIsStillShining]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Tea it was a really short bit on radio. Just a statement, on R4 I think. It stood out as it feels uncertain atm

Also on BBC news website live vivid link(to read)

Covid not vivid

@sirfredfredgeorge

On the over 80's, don't we have the situation where no-one who was in hospital or under treatment for anything else would've been vaccinated (Like Captain Tom), and also no care homes where there was an active outbreak would've had any vaccinations.

And those are the over 80's most likely to be exposed to the vaccine, and hence still very likely to become a case, as they were before vaccination. The community over 80's who have much lower chances of being exposed to the virus, are the ones who were vaccinated, and care homes where there was no virus - so only the care homes where it was introduced after vaccination would be seeing if vaccinated exposure made a difference.

Despite the propaganda not all care homes without an outbreak have had the vaccine. The home where I work still hasn't had the vaccine and hasn't even got a definite date, we have a perhaps, maybe, if logistics allow date. What is clear is that we won't have it before the 15th, we definitely didn't have it before the 31st Jan.

I can't believe any of their statistics, why would I?

@BigWoollyJumpers That's fantastic, but NI has a lot fewer elderlies than England, so I am not surprised! They will have few GPs as well though so I suppose it depends if it is in proportion.

That’s so disappointing ancientgran. I think there’s no doubt that vaccinations are happening at pace but I guess the easiest targets are happening faster. My DPs in the 65-69 category, no other factors, now booked in next week. My DMIL now able to book in as her job reclassified as social care, which is great but in honestly it’s a stretch! So it’s not good to think that there are those most at risk still left behind even now. I’d like an explanation!

I understand some groups are easier my issue is they have said, repeatedly that every care home in England that doesn't have an active outbreak has now had the vaccine (well some say offered) at least a week ago. I know it isn't true so how do I now trust anything else they say? I want to be able to trust my government, we should all be able to have confidence in what they say.

I agree about wanting an explanation.

I think there are more caveats in the wording than that www.england.nhs.uk/2021/02/nhs-confirms-covid-jab-now-offered-at-every-eligible-care-home-in-england/ but it would be helpful if they told us the size of the “small remainder”. I can’t see this being a complete lie, but that doesn’t make it less frustrating. It’s more the NHS that I am trusting than the government itself!

There are 21,723 care homes in the UK. A large number have to have two visits for people who couldn't get the jab on the first visit. It's really unfortunate to be in one that's not yet had the vaccine @ancientgran, but statistically most in care homes will be over 80, and the percentages vaccinated by 31st January are really high, so it seems unlikely that many homes have not been done. Especially considering some cannot be jabbed if they are unwell or on specific medications:
www.itv.com/news/london/2021-02-04/london-has-lowest-rate-of-covid-vaccinations-for-the-over-80s-in-england
South-west England 92.8%
North-east England/Yorkshire 90.5%
North-west England 88.9%
South-east England 88.8%
Midlands 88.7%
Eastern England 88.1%
London 74.9%

[quote TeaInTheGarden]@MarshaBradyo where did you see Sarah Gilbert please? Would like to watch![/quote]
She was on Andrew Marr this morning. Very clear answers while refusing to touch on political questions. On the subject of the benefit of a gap between vax and booster she said immunity does not fall off a cliff at 3 weeks and she expected to find that Pfizer was also better with a longer gap.

And interesting that she said several times that even waiting past the 12 weeks for the second AZ jab wouldn't be a problem if that's what happens.

Very quietly confident, I thought.

15845 / 373.

Quite a drop from last week which was 21088 / 587

And over 12m first doses!

Cases in my area are down on the dashboard, but up about 25% on Zoe (it is an area with lots of contributors). I assume Zoe is more up to date, but is it often wrong?

@lonelyplanet

Cases in my area are down on the dashboard, but up about 25% on Zoe (it is an area with lots of contributors). I assume Zoe is more up to date, but is it often wrong?

I don't think Zoe is so great on a granular, local level. Can be a bit erratic. The national picture seems to be accurate in my view.

Zoe isn't really all that good at a local level as it works on self reports so the smaller the number of reports the less accurate predictions are.

Encouraging numbers today Sunday/Sunday

@MRex

There are 21,723 care homes in the UK. A large number have to have two visits for people who couldn't get the jab on the first visit. It's really unfortunate to be in one that's not yet had the vaccine *@ancientgran*, but statistically most in care homes will be over 80, and the percentages vaccinated by 31st January are really high, so it seems unlikely that many homes have not been done. Especially considering some cannot be jabbed if they are unwell or on specific medications: www.itv.com/news/london/2021-02-04/london-has-lowest-rate-of-covid-vaccinations-for-the-over-80s-in-england South-west England 92.8% North-east England/Yorkshire 90.5% North-west England 88.9% South-east England 88.8% Midlands 88.7% Eastern England 88.1% London 74.9%

But it isn't 100% which is what they have stated, they have been very clear about it. I believe it is England that is supposed to have 100% of care homes done so not that many homes. If you have some residents who aren't eligible the other residents will still be able to have it, I'm not saying 100% of people in care homes have been done and that isn't what the govt has said either.

Does it make you question other statistics? I have no confidence in their claims because I know they aren't telling us the truth about this so why would I assume they are telling the truth about anything else?

@ATieLikeRichardGere

I think there are more caveats in the wording than that www.england.nhs.uk/2021/02/nhs-confirms-covid-jab-now-offered-at-every-eligible-care-home-in-england/ but it would be helpful if they told us the size of the “small remainder”. I can’t see this being a complete lie, but that doesn’t make it less frustrating. It’s more the NHS that I am trusting than the government itself!

Nadhim Zahawi said all care homes except where there is an active outbreak, which is what your link says. We don't have an active outbreak so we aren't in that "small remainder".

@ancientgran It's never going to be 100% of people vaccinated, as some will refuse. They've not given the statistics of the numbers offered and/or numbers declined, not for care homes or the general population. It may be that that data is harder to collect (ie when exactly do you class someone as having been offered and declined? You've got people with appointments booked, people who've not responded to letters, people who booked appointments but failed to turn up, etc, etc) Or it may be they don't want to give any oxygen to anti-vaccers by drawing any attention to their existence. But it does make it hard to know how many people in the groups that should have been done - like those in your care home - are really still waiting.

I understand exactly what you're saying @ancientgran. I have to say, It's not the first time I've thought you can't believe everything they say....

Looking at covid messenger there are more counties rising again. I'm still concerned about Lincolnshire. Some areas in East Lindsey look to be rising quite fast.

@ancientgran - your home fits as one that missed jabs when the team were in your area because of having active outbreaks. The care home management team need to ensure they're following up, but it's only 7th February. I understand you're worried, but I don't think that means other figures are incorrect, nor that information is inconsistent, and I do think that your care home won't be done very soon.

I mean, and I DO think that your care home WILL be done very soon.
(I went back to take out a double negative and failed!)

[quote Firefliess]@ancientgran It's never going to be 100% of people vaccinated, as some will refuse. They've not given the statistics of the numbers offered and/or numbers declined, not for care homes or the general population. It may be that that data is harder to collect (ie when exactly do you class someone as having been offered and declined? You've got people with appointments booked, people who've not responded to letters, people who booked appointments but failed to turn up, etc, etc) Or it may be they don't want to give any oxygen to anti-vaccers by drawing any attention to their existence. But it does make it hard to know how many people in the groups that should have been done - like those in your care home - are really still waiting. [/quote]
He didn't say 100% of people in care homes, he said 100% of care homes. Obviously in the home some people might not want it, might not be able to have it due to allergies or something but the point for me is that the person in charge of the vaccinations quite clearly stated that 100% of homes where there wasn't an active outbreak had been done and they haven't, therefore I don't trust what they say because I know that isn't true.