Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 28th Jan

[TheSunIsStillShining]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Thanks for the new thread, Sun. Not sure what Fate means. These threads have been so helpful all along. The odd blip and fall out, but in general balanced and thoughtful.

The OP link list would be a bit useless if we let AnyFucker do it

Data and Analysis Thread
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@MRex

The OP link list would be a bit useless if we let AnyFucker do it

Data and Analysis Thread
.

You don’t get many laughs on here but that’s a good one

How we choose to react to something is far more telling sometimes.

Thanks to all the data contributors and for those who have started this conversation and others that are carrying the torch. Thanks @TheSunIsStillShining.

Thanks for the new thread @TheSunIsStillShining
@MRex 🤣

re the LF tests ,as said above I think it's the swabbing that can be the problem as done correctly it's pretty unpleasant .

I posted this above and can see that accuracy declines when carried out by lay people but I'm not able to understand if the figures show a concerning decrease or just a negligible one .Can anyone help ?

Phase 4 evaluation
A further series of individuals were recruited from consecutive cases from COVID19 Testing centres with tests performed by self-trained individuals and the results were compared to the Phase 3b shown above. Performance was optimal when the LFD was used by laboratory scientists (156/197 LFDs positive [79.2%, 95% CI: 72.8-84.6%])] versus trained healthcare-workers (92/126 LFDs positive [73.0%, 95% CI: 64.3 80.5%]) and self-trained members of the public given a protocol (214/372 LFDs positive [57.5%, 95 CI:52.362.6%];p

@peridito - it's pretty much how it looks; lab scientists 79.2%, trained healthcare workers 73%, random 57.5%.
To be honest, those stats are way higher than the "it only catches 50% of cases" commonly banded about (if you aren't Jon Deeks with his own special figures).

Thanks for thread. Marking place .

Thanks MRex ,I just can't trust myself around digits!

I don't know if this is of any interest but ,DP and self ( both over 70 ) recently vaccinated at a SE London medical centre .He had his a week ago and had Pfizer ,mine yesterday was Astrazenica .

@MRex
Thanks for the laugh! :)

I might have missed it, sorry if it was talked about.
do we know if they are running the 65+ vaccinations like an actual trial for AZ*- i mean like they do in Israel?

*I keep seeing so many times mis-typed name, so rather just shorthand it :)

Thanks @Firefliess you’ve much more eloquently put what I’ve been thinking - additional LFT to identify asymptomatic individuals not otherwise tested = good (even if it does reduce positivity you’re still finding the same/possibly more cases) used in lieu of PCR (which we don’t believe is happening widely) = bad.

@TheSunIsStillShining - they're capturing everything and will produce reports. Here are the details:
"COVID-19 vaccine monitoring reports - GOV.UK" www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-vaccine-monitoring-reports. Sorry, I thought I posted before wondering about when the first report was due, but maybe got distracted.

Genpact is doing AI analysis of side effects too, which may be interesting.

Woohoooooo! Novovax slides in at 89% efficacy!

What's particularly good about Novovax is that it targets the protein rather than the spike, so it is priming the system to attack covid with totally dfferent antibodies than Pfizer, Moderna and Oxford AZ. If I were having my pick of vaccine, personally I'd love to be in a trial for one Oxford Astrazeneca and one Novovax, grab that virus in two places. (Yes, I know that kind of tweaking is a year away or more, I'm just excited.)

That’s great news on novavax!

Anecdota here but today I went for my first ‘dose’ of either placebo or the J&J Janssen for the trial I’m just starting on. It’s part of the trial to see whether two doses gives longer term immunity than the single dose.

• novovax

Amazing news re Novavax.

According to FT, the 89% efficacy is a blended result between the 95% efficacy against the old strain and the 85% efficacy against the new Kent strain.

The efficacy in South Africa was lower - 60% for people without HIV and a lower number for people with HIV resulting in a blended efficacy rate of 49%.

60% is still good but it does show that the South African strain is more problematic than the UK variant.

Checking in to new thread

The OP link list would be a bit useless if we let AnyFucker do it

Possibly the best one liner on MN...................ever!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

and followed up with

Novovax slides in at 89% efficacy

Way to go @MRex

BBC News - Covid-19: Novavax vaccine shows 89% efficacy in UK trials
www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-55850352

Very good news :)

[quote MRex]@TheSunIsStillShining - they're capturing everything and will produce reports. Here are the details:
"COVID-19 vaccine monitoring reports - GOV.UK" www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-vaccine-monitoring-reports. Sorry, I thought I posted before wondering about when the first report was due, but maybe got distracted.

Genpact is doing AI analysis of side effects too, which may be interesting.[/quote]
Thanks! I'll keep an eye on this.

@wintertravel1980

Amazing news re Novavax.

According to FT, the 89% efficacy is a blended result between the 95% efficacy against the old strain and the 85% efficacy against the new Kent strain.

The efficacy in South Africa was lower - 60% for people without HIV and a lower number for people with HIV resulting in a blended efficacy rate of 49%.

60% is still good but it does show that the South African strain is more problematic than the UK variant.

I was just reading this too

Do we know where we are with other the vaccines and SA variant in terms of any lab testing etc? I’m losing track and I can’t remember if we’d had good news for any

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