Daily stats, numbers, data thread 28 Dec

[PatriciaHolm]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#table
School statistics Attendance explore-education-[statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak]]
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths [[public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
NI Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9]]
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Oh isn't it? I thought the hospital admissions were submitted daily. Thanks for that.

This article was posted on the previous thread: www.theguardian.com/world/2020/dec/27/63-of-doctors-in-survey-say-they-have-not-had-covid-vaccine

There's a quote in there from Dr Julia Patterson, the lead for EveryDoctor, a network of grassroots medics in the NHS “Vaccines stop people from passing viruses on. We have limited vaccines available. Who is most in need of a vaccine? The people who are forced to mix with others. And those people are the frontline healthcare staff looking after Covid-19 patients, who encounter Covid-19 continually.”

Is there any evidence yet that this vaccine 'stops' (or even decreases) transmission? I'm not at all disputing that HCPs should be getting the vaccine but the article seems to be based on this assumption, that it'd stop spread, but afaik this hasn't been proven yet?

@Quarantino
No, there is not (afaik). I've asked around my biochemist friends and they said that the trials are not set up to monitor this, although everyone agrees that it's the next priority to check.
What is known though that flu vaccines given to children reduce older age group flu admissions. So there seems to be a correlation in general. Which is what many ppl saying the above base their theory on.
First priority was to reduce ifr with a vacc.

Robert Halfon has just said on PM that he'd like teaching staff prioritised for vaccination along with hcps.

(He's on an education select committee. No idea where Gav is.)

PHE death figures haven't been updated over the holiday period so tomorrow and Wednesday we need to be prepared to see a depressing catch-up number for deaths that occurred outside of hospitals.

Btw - if anyone finds good info on transmissions and vacc pls do share!

Interesting thread -thank you OP for gathering all those data sources! And heartening to see reasoned and intelligent debate.

Thanks for the new thread.

Prof Oppenshaw on R4 just saying new variant seems not to result in more serious illness but higher viral load (is this possible??). And spreads further in children and young people.

@wintertravel1980

While the new strain seems more transmissible, that suggests the timeframe of infection remains the same and possibly modes of infection are similar, largely through a few superspreaders and close unventilated proximity.

Yes, I fully agree - it appears this way. The patterns seem very similar to what we have seen in the North even though the growth in the South has been more rapid.

Both Kent and London still look like a mixed bag but the areas hit first (Swale/Thanet/Havering/Barking and Dagenham, etc) seem to be finally going down. Numbers in less impacted boroughs are still climbing.

I'm in one of those areas hit first, and in the last 10 days have heard of more people I know with it than throughout the whole of the pandemic prior. I'm not feeling too confident sadly

And just to prove me wrong, NHS Digital have just updated England hospital admissions!

22nd 2,203
23rd 1,908
24th 1,795
25th 1,952
26th 2,298

Now at 20,426 beds occupied by covid patients as at 8am today, 28th, up from 17,709 a week ago.

So, now the most ever; previous high was 18,974, on April 12. (England numbers)

And more regionally; London's number of occupied covid beds has increased 47% in a week.

'And more regionally; London's number of occupied covid beds has increased 47% in a week.'

It's horrifying. Yet all over Twitter there's people questioning it with lots of comments like 'my hospital is quiet!'

I'm not into scaremongering but I do think the msm should really be ramming it home that the tiers are for a reason and until vaccinated people need to comply. The Brexit deal was a relief but they need to move back onto the pandemic and try to convince deniers that it isn't exaggerated.

@TheSunIsStillShining

Btw - if anyone finds good info on transmissions and vacc pls do share!

Might help? (Written by an immunologist). mobile.twitter.com/andrew_croxford/status/1339156242032447489

That’s positive stuff.

.

Thanks for that, coffee - I'm no medical scientist but that all sounds sensible!

Does anyone know why we have such high cases compared to other European countries? For example, Spain's daily cases is just over 8,000 today but their numbers were so high in summer. Is it label of tourists? Are they on lock down?

Do we still have any of the Italy/Netherlands/French residents on this thread who can share what it is like where they are? There was one in France who gave great updates (someone Dragon I think?!)

It's more transmissible with this new variant @NoGoodPunsLeft, it's really just that simple but probably proves it started here (and at a similar time a similar variant in Wales and another similar variant in South Africa). It's very concerning, I'm hearing troubling anecdata about how easy it's been to catch and really want to read some science that might be more calming.

@NoGoodPunsLeft
If you look back at the data France did have a period of around 40-50k, other countries have also had spikes way above their original numbers.

I don't think the numbers are accurate- for France at least!

Cases dropped just before Christmas. I would expect and increase very soon.

Ah yes, it did look very much like cases dropped for countries giving over capacity for genome testing. This might be fine, or it might have been a bad idea.

'If you look back at the data France did have a period of around 40-50k, other countries have also had spikes way above their original numbers'

Yes France 40k in Nov, Italy 30k. Are we not just a month behind them as we have been throughout?

www.theguardian.com/world/live/2020/nov/04/coronavirus-live-news-seven-us-states-report-record-hospitalisations-france-suffers-highest-deaths-since-april

Placing marking as used to follow these threads.