Our purple area is turning dark purple as the new strain pushes through London, Essex, Sussex and Surrey. Kent is starting to look better though; MSOAs of blue that were purple with reductions spreading from the original points of infection. I can't find anything with more up to date information on it's behaviour than commenting about the structure of this variant, has anyone else?
In absence of information I've tried looking at the patterns to make some deductions. It looks like 4-5 weeks from the start in an area to its peak, a few weeks flat and then dropping for an unknown time. It's not dissimilar in timeframe to the NW individual areas Bury, Blackburn, Bolton, Liverpool etc though they increased for more like 6 weeks then dropped instead of flattening. While the new strain seems more transmissible, that suggests the timeframe of infection remains the same and possibly modes of infection are similar, largely through a few superspreaders and close unventilated proximity. What so others of you think of the numbers?