Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 26

[BigChocFrenzy]

Welcome to thread 26 of the daily updates

Resource links

UK:
Uk dashboard R, deaths, cases, hospitals, tests - by postcode, 4 nations, English regions, LAs
Interactive 7-day rolling cases map click on map or by postcode
UK govt pressers Slides & data
SAGE Table Interventions with impacts and R
Imperial UK weekly tables & extrapolations LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots
School statistics Attendance - Tuesdays
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports
UK testing and NHS England track & trace - Thursdays
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports
ONS England, Wales & NI Infection surveillance report - Fridays
ONS Datasets for surveillance reports
Our World in Data UK test positivity
R estimates & daily growth UK & English regions - Fridays
Modelling real number of UK infections February in first wave

England:
NHS England Hospital activity
NHS England Daily deaths
PHE COVID Clinical Risk Factors Non-respiratory by region, area, district etc
MSAO Map of English cases
Cases Tracker England Local Government
PHE surveillance reports Covid, flu, respiratory diseases - Thursdays
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England

Scotland, Wales, NI:
Scot gov Daily data
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths
NI Dashboard

Miscell:
Zoe Uk data
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK
Worldometer UK page
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment
Local Mobility Reports for countries
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery
NHS Triage Dashboard Pathways - triages of symptoms
NHS Triage Dashboard Progression - # people pillar 1&2, # triages

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
📈 📉 📊 👍

Proximity interval is calculated by the consequent "handshake" number*8s (approximately)

Thanks!

Re protests: Attending a properly organised protest is one of the exceptions in the legislation for all three alert levels
(Eg From the tier 3 regulations:
Exception 11: protests
(12) Exception 11 is that the gathering is for the purposes of protest and—
(a)it has been organised by a business, a charitable, benevolent or philanthropic institution, a public body or a political body, and
(b)the gathering organiser takes the required precautions in relation to the gathering (see paragraph 10).

www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2020/1105/schedule/1/made

@ceeveebee
There's a difference between moral and legal.

Banning protest would be immoral imo

Thank you

Retaining the right to protest is essential
Even in a pandemic

There are things even more important than Covid

We'll have to agree to disagree.
I think it's more immoral to hold mass in person gatherings, travelled to on busy public transport, in a densely populated city highly vulnerable to fast and easy spread of Covid.

It's particular immoral considering what happened in March and April is still so recent. Everyone knows how at risk London is.

A densely populated city of millions, many in high risk groups - elderly, BAME, huge deprivation.

I'll find the independent article I posted a while back. About the ONS data on the London borough of Newham. The most overcrowded housing in the UK. A wet dream for a virus.

@BigChocFrenzy

Retaining the right to protest is essential Even in a pandemic

There are things even more important than Covid

In principal I agree, but let's be fair. Protesting against covid, restrictions, tiers in the middle of a pandemic doesn't count as such in my book.

They want to protest? Why then do it where no-one will notice (due to protest fatigue)?
Why no protests in the shires (perhaps in Piers Corbyn's local area)?.

We have one of the highest death rates in the world. We have had to make unwanted changes to our lives. People are under all sorts of restrictions and local lockdowns.

It is morally wrong to say mass gatherings should continue as normal under such extraordinary circumstances.

People want to protest? Do what the rest of us have had to do. Made adjustments. Do it online.

Ok so basically we might as well have no restrictions whatsoever. No tiers. Nowhere closes, everyone does what they want, Covid runs wildly out of control but it doesn't matter because anyone breaching guidelines can say it was a protest.

And in Manchester all Andy Burnham has to do is say he's protesting against Covid. Boom. No tier, no restrictions.

In principal I agree, but let's be fair. Protesting against covid, restrictions, tiers in the middle of a pandemic doesn't count as such in my book.

I know what you mean, but limiting what you can peacefully protest about because some people don’t feel it is valid means banning freedom of protest.

My view is all protests should have to be conducted in a ‘COVID secure’ manner and follow the current laws as they apply to other things though.

@SheepandCow

They want to protest? Why then do it where no-one will notice (due to protest fatigue)? Why no protests in the shires (perhaps in Piers Corbyn's local area)?.

We have one of the highest death rates in the world. We have had to make unwanted changes to our lives. People are under all sorts of restrictions and local lockdowns.

It is morally wrong to say mass gatherings should continue as normal under such extraordinary circumstances.

People want to protest? Do what the rest of us have had to do. Made adjustments. Do it online.

The media is still very London-centric. They are much more likely to cover something in London.

Not really @cathyandclare
They're more likely to cover it if it's a novelty. There's a protest every other day more or less in London.

They want to draw attention to their cause?
Mass gather in the shires.

You have to leave the window open to protest against new laws. It’s an important part of democracy.

People should wear masks and try to SD but otherwise they can’t be banned

@SheepandCow

Ok so basically we might as well have no restrictions whatsoever. No tiers. Nowhere closes, everyone does what they want, Covid runs wildly out of control but it doesn't matter because anyone breaching guidelines can say it was a protest.

And in Manchester all Andy Burnham has to do is say he's protesting against Covid. Boom. No tier, no restrictions.

Except that it has to be organised by a business, a charitable, benevolent or philanthropic institution, a public body or a political body, and the gathering organiser has to take the required precautions in relation to the gathering.

People need the right to protest, even if it's irresponsible. What they don't have the right to do, is to travel there without masks and gather in close proximity without masks. Piers Corbyn got a £10k fine for not properly organising the last protest and presumably will for this one too.

Also much of the media is now based in Salford, Greater Manchester.

www.google.com/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/coronavirus-deaths-uk-housing-overcrowding-newham-london-a9646301.html%3famp

www.google.com/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/coronavirus-london-infection-rates-borough-thames-north-south-b1055631.html%3famp

www.google.com/amp/s/www.standard.co.uk/news/london/london-hit-hardest-coronavirus-deprivation-ons-a4467196.html%3famp

Perhaps, on a data thread, we should try to find actual data about the risk of transmission from outdoor protests rather then simply express opinions?

Are you in the media?

@ceeveebee

Perhaps, on a data thread, we should try to find actual data about the risk of transmission from outdoor protests rather then simply express opinions?

This! Please. Thank you.

BLM protest report:
www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/06/30/black-lives-matter-protests-did-not-cause-an-uptick-in-covid-19-cases

What a world we live in where the right to mass gather protest in person, travelled to on busy public transport, during a pandemic trumps the right to life, the right to health (risks of Long Covid), and the right to a functioning economy.

Again. Why 'protest' somewhere where protests are so commonplace no-one notices. If you want to draw attention to your 'cause' why not do it somewhere it would be noticed (because of being so unusual)?

@ceeveebee I'm sure Andy Burnham can very easily sort something out so that he can legally say he's 'protesting'.

@ceeveebee

Perhaps, on a data thread, we should try to find actual data about the risk of transmission from outdoor protests rather then simply express opinions?

... whatever the risk, the right to protest is more important than Covid

It is fundamental to democracy

No stats, other than the BLM protests in summer did not cause any discernable spike