Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 16

[BigChocFrenzy]

Welcome to thread 16 of the daily updates

Resource links:

Uk dashboard deaths, cases, hospitals, tests - 4 nations, English regions & LAs
MSAO Map of English cases
[[https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/909430/Contain_framework_lower_tier_local_authority__14_August_2020.pdf
Slides & data UK govt pressers
UK added daily by PHE & DHSC
R estimates UK & English regions
PHE Surveillance report infections & watchlists every Thursday
ONS England infection surveillance reports
ONS UK death stats released each Tuesday
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK
Daily ECDC country detail UK
WHO dashboard
Worldometer UK page
Plot FT graphs compare countries deaths, cases, raw / million pop
Covidly.com world summary & graphs
Plot COVID Graphs Our World in Data test positivity etc

We welcome factual, data driven, and civil discussions from all contributors 📈 📉 📊 👍

going back to the article on deprivation links, or not, the LSOAs for the most recent week show a mixed picture.

Tables by region - and with some regions needing more than one table.

Region
LA;
LA LSOA code (will use @MRex's excellent link next time round);
LSOA population (ONS most recent estimate published last October)
LSOA population % between 15 and 34; highlighted if 30% or higher
LSOA cases for wk 34 from PHE file
LSOA rate per 100,000

Deprivation Decile ; where 1 is the most deprived decile and 10 the least deprived. Colour coded so 1 in red; 10 in green etc

Overall deprivation and each individual deprivation domain shown.

East of England first up

London - 2 tables

East Midlands and North East

North West 3 tables Manchester; Bolton; Oldham + Pendle

A high school in the next town from ours in Essex is shut tomorrow due to 5 teachers testing positive...

North West 3 more tables covering the rest of the region

Swathes of Green in Trafford if memory serves

South East - lots of low deprivation; ditto ish for South West

West Mids; Brum has its own table

Sorry not Essex, Suffolk. Well it's on the bloody border!

Yorks & Humber - table for Bradford and table for Leeds

finally table for rest of Yorks & Humber region

MXT which school is that in Suffolk please?

South Suffolk, not sure on the exact name, it's just one my friend's DC's go to.

Samuel Ward in Haverhill.

Thanks - Suffolk has had v low numbers so that surprises me.

I do wonder sometimes whether low numbers in places like Suffolk, Lincolnshire, Norfolk are due to inaccessibility of testing which maybe means some people lie low for a while rather than try and get to a testing centre. But that may be nonsense.

There is a drive-through testing place in Ipswich although (as has been in the press) my SIL when she needed a test was sent (ironically!) to Haverhill, which is quite a drive away.

The massive testing drive through facility at Stansted airport isn't exactly miles from Haverhill & with Suffolk in general.

I know there are jitters in Lincoln because it has a large student population compared to its size, and one testing centre which is drive through and miles out of town so not ideal for students! At the moment , Lincoln has very few cases.

Haverhill is Matt Hancock's constituency!

Stansted is over an hour’s drive away - not great if you’re feeling unwell!

Piggy, you’re right!

Once again Thankyou !!!

@Piggywaspushed

I do wonder sometimes whether low numbers in places like Suffolk, Lincolnshire, Norfolk are due to inaccessibility of testing which maybe means some people lie low for a while rather than try and get to a testing centre. But that may be nonsense.

I think you might be right. I know of more than one person in Such a rural area Who hasn’t bothered getting tested because they don’t want to drive more than an hour, no home tests available. The 3 I know wfh but I suspect they’ve still being going shopping, etc and I know their spouses are still out and about.

My friend's DH has to get tested now because of a positive case at Northampton CC where he works. It's all beginning to feel a bit chaotic.

Anyone else follow RP131 on twitter - does v good graphs. He’s hypothesising (I think) that interventions currently make little difference and the passage of the virus is just about time rather than anything we do or don’t do.

I may have interpreted that wrong as feeling quite Sunday evening ish so be interested in what others think about what he is saying. Seems to be some idea that there is multiple testing of individual cases going on ?