Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 4

[Barracker]

Welcome to thread 4 of the daily updates.

Resource links:
Worldometer UK page
Financial Times Daily updates and graphs
HSJ Coronavirus updates
Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Centre
NHS England stats, including breakdown by Hospital Trust
Covidly.com to filter graphs using selected data filters
ONS statistics for CV related deaths outside hospitals, released weekly each Tuesday

Thank you to all contributors for their factual, data driven, and civil discussions.

Thanks for the new thread.

Thanks, Barracker. Really appreciate this thread, it's keeping me sane.

Thank you.

Checking in.

Thanks for the new thread!

Thanks!

On a side note, I've always said the FT is among the most neutral / factual papers in the UK - I feel like their free-to-read analyses of the figures confirms it

By GlassofProsecco on the last thread:

Just as an aside, regarding testing - I'm an NHS worker & the only way we can be tested is if we are in a critical team & within the 1st 72hrs of symptoms.
*
That might explain a lot about the negative tests after this period.*

I might be late if the uptake but this must be why they quickly switched to focussing on the antibody tests?

Thank you for all you and your colleagues do 🙏

placemarking.

Thank you so much Barracker.

Autocorrect has had you in its memory for a while now!

I have a tiny obsession with this link helpfully included in past threads; it will be interesting to see how it compares over this weekend.

www.google.com/covid19/mobility/

Yay thread 4!!!!

Thanks, it's good to see the daily updates.

Yes that would follow re the antibody tests. Might also explain why China swapped to clinical diagnosis for a while.

Thank you.

I'll try to remember to include that link in the next OP NeurotrashWarrior

5275 confirmed cases in Scotland

1832 in hospital

48 died.

Thanks barracker

Many thanks, Barracker 💐
Brilliant factual, calm threads and our own volcano !

Great resources thank you 🙏

Thanks, Barracker - it's just so good to have somewhere to come for sensible discussion about this - even if the maths is often beyond me!!

Comparison of Sweden (no lockdown) with its neighbour Norway (in lockdown)

Clear difference in numbers & curves, but Swedish total even as a population % is still small compared to UK, France etc
WIll deaths level off at an "acceptable" level - or grow out of control ?

Retruning to that German study of their first area to be hit during carnival:

The v low death rate in that Heinsberg area study by Prof Streeck probably can NOT be fully replicated across a whole country

However, could be used as a guinea pig for what Germany can do in the approach to the summer months,
when cases are expected to be v low anyway

In Heinsberg, the virus was discovered very early, so appropriate countermeasures were initiated very early too

All contacts of the 65 corona cases identified so far were placed in 14-day quarantine, along with the original 65.
There were few elderly people in this group.

Schools, shops, gyms etc were closed at the beginning of March
Handwashing & hygiene was emphasised

As a result, COVID has been successfully kept away from the higher risk inhabitants.
i.e. those who produce most of the deaths

I didn't know that China had swapped to clinical diagnosis. Presumably that's the distinctive chest x-rays I keep seeing mentioned.

Placemark

Thanks! Silent follower I was looking for this!