3 week plateau, 3 week falling, then schools open?

[AlmostThereKeepMoving]

The figures being released are promising.

I’ve said all along that there is absolutely no chance the schools will keep closed until the end of July!

I think it’s looking like they will reopen after May half term.

Ladies step away from the phones... we are all stressed but let’s not turn on each other.

Jesus, give it a rest starlightgazers

Jesus, we haven’t reached the peak, how many more times people!
Stop asking the same stupid questions when the experts are clearly telling us every day at the press conference, they can’t say yet as they do not have a crystal ball!
We should be focussing our questions on holding the government to account on PPE and testing so our NHS staff are protected and more lives are not lost.
So many selfish people it sickens me!

JellyBelly78

So true.

Bad news from Singapore. It was a poster child in containing the outbreak. Now, after relaxing the rules it has seen over 140 new cases.
www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/08/singapore-coronavirus-increase-revives-fears-of-post-lockdown-surge
So unless the borders are closed completely, including a ban on imports of food and PPE equipment (so that the drivers cant bring the virus from abroad) for God knows how long, we need to have a discussion on how to end lockdown in a manageable manner.
It will not be 'safe' in September! Or january 2021.

Having discussion doesn't mean we are opening up everything tomorrow as some posters seem to think.

In London it will increase the people using public transport, many of our teachers and other school staff travel in tube and bus. Unless they do a delayed start for different groups, keeping social distancing might be hard if all have to reach school by start time.

My school has been open today as part of its Easter holiday childcare provision. My friend, whose turn it was to staff it, said it was point-blank impossible to police social distancing. And that was with just 6 kids.

There’s lots of people saying “well if they open the schools too early I’ll keep my child at home”
My huge worry is, if they open the nurseries/schools too early, I will surely have to return to work as can’t see my bosses allowing me to keep my job and being furloughed when facility’s are open for childcare again but I am refusing to use them.
I would love to be in a position to say “nope I don’t feel it’s safe to send my young children back to nursery” but as a lone parent I need my working income to support my family.
So I really hope they do not start opening schools or nurseries too early.
As unfortunately it will be the poorer percentage of people that have to return to work and put their children/anyone their child comes into contact with, at risk, as they don’t have savings/a partner/anything financially to fall back on if they lose their jobs

I don't see how they can open schools at all until they're prepared to say that social distancing is over and done with.
And they're clearly not going to say that any time soon, so...

There's a balance to be had in all things. If you think China 3 months (apparently,) to get on top of their Corona, in theory we shouldn't be going back until the end of June. If they go back to school and break the lockdown too early then it will defeat the purpose. It will just get worse again and then we'll be worse off.

So you want your kids to go back to school with a death rate of 2-4%?
You understand that mean between 2 and 4 of every 100 in the school will die?

I’m fairly sure that’s not what they meant at all.

Where is the statistic that shows the death rate for covid in school aged children is 2-4%? It is no where near that level.
Any death is terrible but the risk to the health of our children is extremely extremely low. The risk associated with them going to school is more for the health of teachers and other adults (us, our parents, elderly people) that a child may transmit the virus to. Delaying a return to school will have very little to do with the health of kids, it will be about the health of the wider population. The 'I'll do anything to keep my kids safe' brigade aren't really getting the point of closing the schools. It's not about the health of the kids...but to protect more vulnerable members of society.

I understand why children aren't at school but I also don't want my child to return too soon.

Why are people so concerned about getting their precious children back to school?

Because they need to go back to work?

Because they need to go back to work?

Any sort of ‘work’ they’ll get before those vulnerable members of staff (who have been told it’s not safe to come back within 12 weeks) return, will simply be childcare.

If schools go back too soon for you, then don't send your kids. It's not compulsory.
H ed can be so fulfilling if that's something that people want to look at.
It doesn't work for everyone and has it's challenges, but so rewarding.
We all have choices, they just might be different from somebody else's but that doesn't matter.
As usual, do what's best for your family.

That's general btw, not to anyone in specific. Mine is back in September, but not sure I'd be sending her any sooner if the case was different.

@WestWasnt that is exactly what they mean. That is how a percenAge works.

Any sort of ‘work’ they’ll get before those vulnerable members of staff (who have been told it’s not safe to come back within 12 weeks) return, will simply be childcare.

Not sure I understand what you mean. I need to go back to work because I need money, surely many parents need to go back to work because they need money?

@WestWasnt that is exactly what they mean. That is how a percenAge works.

Surely they meant the number of deaths we have at the moment would be 2-4% higher if we hadn’t closed the schools. That’s very different to saying 2-4% of all school communities would die if we opened them again.

My DC were homeschooled for 4 years and ds has just gone to college to do his A levels so it is not that I cant wait to get shot of him, just we would both like some normality back into his education which is being seriously compromised in what is a relatively short course.

Where is the statistic that shows the death rate for covid in school aged children is 2-4%? It is no where near that level.
Any death is terrible but the risk to the health of our children is extremely extremely low. The risk associated with them going to school is more for the health of teachers and other adults (us, our parents, elderly people) that a child may transmit the virus to. Delaying a return to school will have very little to do with the health of kids, it will be about the health of the wider population. The 'I'll do anything to keep my kids safe' brigade aren't really getting the point of closing the schools. It's not about the health of the kids...but to protect more vulnerable members of society.

Exactly this!

Discount any child mortality from this for a moment. My daughters school has over 150 staff at least half of those are 50+ so that on its own is 6 deaths at a minimum average. Before you count in children carrying the disease home.