3 week plateau, 3 week falling, then schools open?

[AlmostThereKeepMoving]

The figures being released are promising.

I’ve said all along that there is absolutely no chance the schools will keep closed until the end of July!

I think it’s looking like they will reopen after May half term.

[AvalancheKit]

Lockdown will run for 36 weeks and there will be a phased lift.

The nightingale hospitals will stay in situ ready to be used again if a breakout recurs over Winter 20/21.

The economy will go into recession, but it won’t be anywhere as bad as most are saying.

The ‘flattening of the curve’ is an analogy that is playing out across everything : COVID-19, the economy, consumption, pollution. It is uncanny.

[Quartz2208]

@AvalancheKit yes from China. The cdc figures I have seen broadly follow the same unless you have seen different ones that will make a difference to the calculation but most I have seen follow the same pattern

[flowerycurtain]

@AvalancheKit how on earth can our economy cope with lockdown for 26 weeks. 3 times as many people as the government expected have been put on furlough. The financial cost to this is staggering.

I'm not saying it's right I just cannot see how it's affordable.

[AvalancheKit]

The UK is richer than you think. The cost of furloughed employees is about £110Bn for 36 weeks. That is about the same tax that is raised in 57 days by central government. That is a small investment to keep the wheels from rusting up. Other countries should take heed. The 36 weeks will allow a phased return over time, to benefit society overall, but ultimately designed to protect the vulnerable, the NHS and minimise deaths. This may well be a test run for Winter 20/21. I would not plan on flying anywhere soon. Transport will be limited to trade for some time to come. But there are positives out there.

[Tootletum]

Hope so. Yes we're seeing young people die. 0.1% of them.

[riceuten]

Who said anything about opening in 3 weeks?

The Sun, for one. And many other people, more in hope than anything else

[riceuten]

Agree with Refraction on why September

Because the scientific and HR concensus is that we will have flattened the curve by then, and there will be sufficient staff available to teach children. This may not be what you want to hear but is the most likely outcome.

[WestWasnt]

I certainly wouldn’t listen to anything The Sun say. I am hoping things have slowed enough for schools to go back at the end of next month though.

[ChardonnaysPetDragon]

Hope so. Yes we're seeing young people die. 0.1% of them.

0.1% of young people or 0.1% of all victims?

[WestWasnt]

0.1% of young people or 0.1% of all victims?

I’m sure it’s a percentage of victims not all the “young” people in the country, which is of course a huge difference. That’s not to say that every death from this virus, and other knock on effects, aren’t absolutely tragic.

[starlightgazers]

I’m sure it’s a percentage of victims not all the “young” people in the country

So if you're sure, you have a source for that (dodgy) statistic then?

[WestWasnt]

No I don’t have a source, I don’t know where it came from, but when I read it on here I was as sure as I can be that they won’t have meant all young people, god knows what they mean by “young” anyway.