just wanted to check in and say that IQ you are really in my thoughts at the moment. I think I have mentioned before that with DS my due date was 15th March. He ended up being born at 42+2 (but that's because they got my dates a bit wrong I think). I remember having "tightenings" regularly for the 2 weeks before he was born. Sometimes they were so uncomfortable I would be up leaning over the side of the bed in the middle of the night....anyway they would start up like clockwork at about 7pm and carry on all night then by the next morning they would go away. So frustrating! I too was 1-2cm dilated and "good to go" for about a week before I was finally induced, and all the midwives were convinced that they would be seeing me the evening after I had seen them.
Anyway what I am trying to say is that I have so much empathy for the incredible frustration of the last few days/weeks. I think my long long latent stage was due to the fact that DS was a wriggler and my body was trying to get him into a good position. All I can say, and I am sure you will think that I am being VERY unhelpful, is that there is a difference between the tightenings and the contractions when they start and you will know that something has changed.
And don't worry about a thing. Your body knows what it is doing, ignore OBEM - they only show what makes good telly and an active. straightforward birth is a bit dull to watch
Just remember that whatever happens you have a choice so if you feel, for example, like you want the reassurance of beeping machines then ask for it - or if you want to be left alone in a dark corner with some beanbags and silence, make sure you (or your DH) tells them that's what you want. The key is that you feel confident. Your birth, your choice 
Sorry for such an essay - I am just reliving what was going on 2 years ago 
Really looking forward to your good news whenever your little girl decides she wants to make an appearance!
As for me, well I'll be 16 weeks on Sunday - where has that time gone?? I have started feeling the little nudges and flutterings already which is nice, and bizarrely the odd braxton hicks (as I said I had so many of these I am in no doubt of what they are!). MW says nothing to worry about but freaked me out a bit!
Manda I can really relate to what you are saying re "bonding" etc, I feel really disconnected from this pregnancy in a way, and I feel a little bit sorry for the poor baby already. I have just booked on to a pregnancy yoga class in an effort to do something for me and this baby in the hope that I can start to feel a bit more connected. Watch this space....
sorry I have been awol.
Take care ladies, lots of love xx