To wonder which way the vote will go?

[ManchesterBeatrice]

There'll be a general election this year and there's been such a lot of chat everywhere about the Torys losing.

I'd love to think this will be the case, but was thinking where will the votes go! I've always voted labour, and will again, but is there a chance the Torys might get back in?

Maybe there's a big set of silent voters who'll vote them back!

Is the consensus here that they will lose? And if so, to labour?

@TrudyProud I agree with you about labour but if you vote green in a conservative district then you may be effectively voting them back in

I'm not confusing anything - I know that popularity for the tories has plummeted.

I'm just totally astonished that anyone thinks the lib dems could gain that many mps. They have 15 rn.

They lost a lot of support after the tory coalition, and then throwing Tim Farron under the bus.

I will eat my hat if they get anything like 44 seats, from their current 15.

Its a bit of an urban myth that polls predicted a Remain win. Some had Remain some had Leave , all within the margin of error. I don't recall a single poll near the 17 or 19 elections predicting a Labour win. People have selective memories perhaps. May was 20 pts ahead when she called the election.

Quite.
The story of 2017 was how remarkably badly the Tories campaigned and then did in the election.
If May was still PM in 2019 it is possible that Corbyn would have won, but she wasn't and she didn't. At no point while Johnson was PM was Corbyn ahead in the polls.

They do when it’s the best way to eject a Tory.

I agree with this, also in my 60s and have never voted Tory. Getting sick of being told I robbed my own kids, it's fucking nonsense.

The polls mostly predicted a narrow victory for Remain, well within the margin of error IIRC.

While the polls in 2019 mostly didn't predict as big a majority for the Tories as actually occurred, and some predicted a hung parliament (whereas we only got a born-to-be-hung parliament!), I don't think that any predicted an absolute majority for Labour.

But I agree that we shouldn't be complacent about defeating the Tories.