Farage is on record saying - before the referendum - that if the vote was close and Remain won, there would be unfinished business and the fight would go on.
So yes, I do think it's clear that we would have exactly the same rancorous divisions if the vote had tipped the other way.
As for who is to blame, I blame both campaigns for resorting to over-simplified sound bites, manufacturing fear and failing to grasp and address the full complexities of the situation and treat the electorate respectfully.
I especially blame the Leave campaign for the company it kept, the lies it told and the laws it broke.
I also blame Leave for not thinking through and sharing in detail how they thought leaving would work. Remain didn't have to consider this complication!
I don't blame either of the main political parties because neither had a unanimous view, but that is the main reason we have had the paralysis we have seen for the last three years and more.
David Cameron was over a barrel so I don't award him the lion's share of the blame.
And I don't blame voters, of whom I am one, because we were poorly informed, though I do blame those whose vote was influenced by racism or greed (like those whose offshore tax havens were coming under EU regulation in 2020).
It's a huge mess and it's going to get worse before it gets better. The repercussions are likely to rumble on for a decade or more.
Above all, I blame the tabloid press and its unelected barons who peddled inflammatory nonsense about bananas, bulbs and Brussels until it started to become received 'truth'.