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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Original poster

To think the Tories have it in the bag.

200 replies

Littlefluffyclouds81 · 27/04/2015 12:12

I hope IABU.

To be fair, this is only based on the West Country (I do quite a lot of driving so I'm including Cornwall, Devon, Somerset, Wiltshire, Dorset, bristol and bath). Driving around, I'd say the amount of stake boards and posters I've seen roughly represent these proportions:

Conservative: 60%
Green: 15%
UKIP: 15%
Lib dem: 8%
Labour: 2%

They have it sewn up, don't they? My mum is involved in politics and her prediction is a Tory/UKIP coalition Shock

If that happens I'm emigrating.

OP posts:
SoupDragon · 27/04/2015 12:14

And how many had no board at all?

Thereyouarepeter · 27/04/2015 12:15

Ukip will only get a handful of seats so they will probably need more than them for a majority. They will probably need the lib Dems again and I think that's unlikely to happen again!

Psipsina · 27/04/2015 12:15

I heard on R4 that Labour are something like 4 points ahead and the tories would be hard pushed to turn this round in the next 10 days.

If your Ma is right then I'm coming with you

kinkyfuckery · 27/04/2015 12:16

Are we all supposed to be advertising our political persuasion outside of our homes??

Original poster
Littlefluffyclouds81 · 27/04/2015 12:16

Well quite a few to be fair. And I'm hoping that the high amount of Tory boards represents the fact that wealthy landowners with a dozen boards in their fields are all going to be Tories!

OP posts:
Samcro · 27/04/2015 12:17

i don't have a board, or poster
I am not voting tory.
as for the tory and ukip together
won't happen.
but omg if it did. god help disabled people

Sallystyle · 27/04/2015 12:18

DH's nan was here yesterday saying how Labour had it in the bag.

I hope she is right, but I think the Tories will get in. A coalition with UKIP would make me want to move as well.

There are tons of Labour and Green flags in my small area though.

Original poster
Littlefluffyclouds81 · 27/04/2015 12:18

That's interesting psipsina, I think I was actually being a bit generous in giving labour 2% as I've only seen one labour board! Hopefully that's not a national thing...

OP posts:
PenguinsandtheTantrumofDoom · 27/04/2015 12:19

I think the Tories are in trouble if they get most seats but not a governing majority. Can't see the Lib Dems joining up again. Doubt UKIP would be enough (plus potentially disasterous for future elections ). My prediction in that scenario is that it'd be Ed who gets a coalition together and into power.

applecatchers36 · 27/04/2015 12:19

They may have lots of fields & lot's of land & hence posters but doesn't necessarily translate to lot's of votes e.g. Might represent one household...

ShatnersBassoon · 27/04/2015 12:20

That's just a poll of people who like to publicise their preference. Come up north for a little tour around and you'll see a lot more red. I don't have a poster, but I'll be voting.

blue42 · 27/04/2015 12:20

I find it quite amusing how people feel an increasing need to festoon their houses with their political affiliations the closer we get to ballot day. There's a guy in our village who started out with one Labour poster in an upstairs window. In the last three weeks he's added three more posters, all in different windows, and a big sign on his lawn, just to make sure we all get it.

I'm tempted to sneak out at night and spray paint "Vote Lib Dem" on his roof to a) see how long it takes him to notice, and b) watch him explode with anger when he does.

PekeandPollicle · 27/04/2015 12:21

Most of hte placards round here are Libdem or Labour (Tory constituency) so I'm hoping...

mummymeister · 27/04/2015 12:21

Hope so Littlefluffy. I don't have a board out but know how I will be voting and it wont be for Minibland or Cleggy. I wont move if any one else gets in and neither I suspect will many others because very few people do (despite lots of people saying they will few of us could afford to close up our businesses and just go!)

Original poster
Littlefluffyclouds81 · 27/04/2015 12:22

Shatners I'm going to Alton towers at the weekend so I'll be able to extend my (very unofficial) survey then.

OP posts:
Needadognow · 27/04/2015 12:23

If it's labour im off. Along with many other high rate tax payers. Good luck.

derxa · 27/04/2015 12:24

Farmers are quite often Conservative and put boards in their fields. I know my dad does. This doesn't mean it's a true representation of the electorate though. Thank God.

ouryve · 27/04/2015 12:24

By your logic, and using the same methods applied to my own observations around Durham & Sunderland, Labour are assured of an unanimous majority, OP.

mummymeister · 27/04/2015 12:25

Penguins despite all the crap being spouted at the moment anyone will go into coalition with anyone else if they thought it gave them the merest sniff of power because that, after all is what it is all about. Power. would personally love to see a Scottish nationalist/UKIP/others coalition. but mainly just someone, anyone with a bit of get up and go. this has to be the dullest election I have ever remembered and the one where the news have nothing better to talk about. call an election, vote on it in a fortnight gets my vote every time.

Original poster
Littlefluffyclouds81 · 27/04/2015 12:25

Blue42 there's a house down the road from me that has a gigantic Tory flag on his shed roof. There's just so much....space...on those blue boards. The temptation to enhance them with a marker pen is getting greater...

OP posts:
Erudite · 27/04/2015 12:28

I think we will have a Tory/Lib dem coalition again.
Clegg is clear he will not do a deal with any party getitng into bed with the SNP or any party coming second who tries to form a Govt.

Do the maths.

blue42 · 27/04/2015 12:28

Littlefluffy, go for it! It's an election, surely that's all part of the fun Grin

happybubblebrain · 27/04/2015 12:28

Goodbye Needadognow. We won't miss you.

PenguinsandtheTantrumofDoom · 27/04/2015 12:32

I don't agree with that Mummy. I think the price Lib Dems look like paying for joining up with the Tories will be (if it happens) a real warning to those considering coalition. Labour joining up with the SDP could boot them out for a generation if it went badly.

OrlandoWoolf · 27/04/2015 12:32

I would suggest that a nationally conducted opinion poll with appropriate weightings might be statistically more reliable than counting boards.