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Ukraine Invasion: Part 56

1000 replies

MagicFox · 23/03/2025 11:54

The (free) world has gone mad. Slava Ukraini πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦

*

Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events

B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content

C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

OP posts:
Thread gallery
339
MissConductUS · 12/04/2025 14:37

notimagain · 12/04/2025 12:43

@MissConductUS

APKWS- that's the one I was thinking of - thanks.

It's a very promising system, especially since it comes as a kit that can be fitted to a Hydra missile in the field. The biggest drawbacks are the relatively short range of about 5km and the need for the pilot to lase the target until impact. Both are being addressed with a new purpose-built variant of the Hydra that has a larger rocket motor and an infrared seeker. Those mods would extend the range to 12-15km and add a fire-and-forget capability.

It's remarkable how much the war in Ukraine has altered military doctrine, tactics, and weapons systems.

And I heartily agree with you about the Gephardt. Nothing beats putting high velocity steel on the target, a lesson from military history that remains true today.

Llttledrummergirl · 12/04/2025 15:50

US envoy Witkoff proposes (kyivindependent.com/witkoff-proposes-giving-russia-control-of-four-ukraines-oblasts-to-speed-up-ceasefire-reuters-reports/) giving Russia 'ownership' of Ukrainian regions, Reuters reports.
U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff has told President Donald Trump that giving Moscow "ownership" of four occupied Ukrainian regions would be the fastest way to achieve a ceasefire, Reuters reported on April 11, citing two unnamed U.S. officials and five other undisclosed sources. [Jesus Christ. The evil of Putin and Trump!]

Not a deal then, capitulation. Watching them discussing vaccines on the news showed how incredibly thick they all are, this is just more of the same.
Stupid, cowardly, pathetic examples of men unable to do the right thing. Witkoff is a fucking halfwitkoff.

Ukraine - The Kyiv Independent

News, analyses, investigations, opinions, podcasts and more. On-the-ground reporting from Ukraine

https://kyivindependent.com/tag/ukraine/

MissConductUS · 12/04/2025 18:34

That link redirects to the main/splash page of the website, and the most recent article I could find that mentions Witkoff was this one;

https://kyivindependent.com/witkoff-putins-envoy-dmitriev-meet-in-st-petersburg/

so that article seems to have been taken down for some reason.

blueshoes · 13/04/2025 02:00

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-12-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • US Special Envoy to Ukraine General Keith Kellogg expressed support on April 11 for the deployment of an allied "reassurance force" in the rear areas of western Ukraine after a possible future ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia.
  • Russian state-owned and pro-Kremlin media amplified a Russian official's blanket rejection of any peacekeeping force in Ukraine on April 12.
  • Russian forces have resumed a more typical strike pattern in late March and early April 2025 after a temporary spike in the size of Russian long-range strike packages in mid-February and early March 2025.
  • People's Republic of China (PRC) military officials reportedly visited the frontline in Ukraine to glean insights for future warfare amid reports that at least 155 Chinese nationals are fighting in Ukraine.
  • Ukraine’s European partners announced additional military aid packages within the context of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group (the Ramstein format) meeting on April 11.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Kurakhove, and Russian forces recently advanced in Sumy Oblast and near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 13/04/2025 10:12

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚑️Reuters: Chinese military officers have been present behind Russian lines (kyivindependent.com/reuters-chinese-military-officers-have-been-present-behind-russian-lines-with-beijings-approval/) with Beijing’s approval.
More than 100 Chinese nationals fighting alongside Russian forces in Ukraine are acting as mercenaries and do not appear to have direct ties to Beijing, according to two U.S. officials cited by Reuters.
However, a former intelligence official told Reuters that Chinese military officers were present behind Russian lines, with Beijing’s approval, to observe and draw tactical lessons from the war.

⚑️Russians preparing for assault (kyivindependent.com/russians-preparing-for-assault-near-kharkiv-ukrainian-military-warns/)in Kharkiv Oblast, Ukrainian military warns.
In an official statement from April 12, "Khortytsia" reported that although no offensive actions were carried out by Russian troops in the Kharkiv direction over the last day, Russians are actively replenishing their units and getting ready to resume offensive operations in the region.

⚑️Russian strike kills at least 20 (kyivindependent.com/russia-kills-over-20-in-sumy-on-palm-sunday/) in Sumy on Palm Sunday.
A Russian missile strike killed at least 20 people in the city of Sumy on the morning of Palm Sunday, Sumy Mayor Artem Kobzar reported on April 13.
Videos are circulating on social media showing the aftermath of the attack on the city center. Bodies are seen strewn across the street, and several vehicles, including a bus, suffered heavy damage from the attack, with one car engulfed in flames.

⚑️US and Iran conclude (kyivindependent.com/us-and-iran-conclude-first-round-of-indirect-talks-in-oman-over-nuclear-program-negotiations/) first round of indirect talks in Oman over nuclear program negotiations.

⚑️Norway pledges around $940 million (kyivindependent.com/norway-pledges-almost-940-million-to-train-and-equip-a-ukrainian-brigade/)to train and equip Ukrainian brigade.

⚑️Germany's chancellor-in-waiting backs Ukraine’s NATO, EU path (kyivindependent.com/future-german-chancellor-backs-ukraines-nato-eu-path-but-only-after-war-ends/) β€” but only after war ends.

⚑️Trump extends Biden's sanctions executive order (kyivindependent.com/trump-extends-bidens-sanctions-executive-order-against-russia/) against Russia.
U.S. President Donald Trump has extended the national emergency and the associated sanctions against the Russian government for a further year, according to a document from the U.S. Federal Register.

⚑️Ukraine works to repair Chornobyl (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-works-to-repair-chornobyl-containment-structure-damaged-in-russian-drone-strike/) containment structure damaged in Russian drone strike.

⚑️Explosion rocks (kyivindependent.com/explosion-rocks-thermal-plant-in-russia/) thermal plant in Russia.
A fire broke out at a substation after an explosion occurred at a thermal power plant in the Russian city of Orenburg, leaving many local residents without power, the local Emergency Services Ministry reported on April 13.

⚑️Ukrainian F-16 pilot Pavlo Ivanov killed (kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-f-16-pilot-pavlo-ivanov-killed-during-combat-mission/) during combat mission.
Pavlo Ivanov, a 26-year-old Ukrainian F-16 pilot, was killed during a combat mission on April 12, Ukraine’s Air Force reported.

⚑️'There’s a point at which you have to either put up or shut up (kyivindependent.com/theres-a-point-at-which-you-have-to-either-put-up-or-shut-up-trump-says-on-russia-ukraine-talks/)' β€” Trump says on Russia-Ukraine talks.
"I think Ukraine-Russia (talks) might be going OK. And you’re going to be finding out pretty soon," Trump said on April 12. [what does he mean?]

⚑️Russian drone attack kills 1 (kyivindependent.com/russian-drone-attack-kills-one-injures-two-in-kherson-oblast/), injures 2 in Kherson Oblast.

These parents and children were killed by Russia after Kyiv agreed to 30-day ceasefire (kyivindependent.com/these-civilians-were-killed-by-russia-since-ukraine-agreed-to-30-day-ceasefire-and-russia-didnt/)
One month ago, Ukraine agreed to a full 30-day ceasefire in the U.S.-mediated talks in Jeddah, and Russia did not.

Ragnar Gudmundsson
WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA - APR 13, 2025
β–  Fewest engagements in close to a month without a significant drop in casualties
β–  Massive equipment losses, including heavy losses of APVs & tanks, as well as drones
β–  Strikes on both sides above average, most Russian airstrikes since March 2024

Ukraine Invasion: Part 56
Ukraine Invasion: Part 56
Ukraine Invasion: Part 56
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 13/04/2025 10:18

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

The most likely direction for a Russian breakthrough is the Sumy region, but the chances of success are slim, The Telegraph reports.
According to the publication, Putin’s efforts to seize more territory are likely to fail. Russia has already lost around 3,000 tanks and 9,000 armored vehicles, and new assaults are mostly carried out by infantry lacking proper training and coordination.
The article notes that even minor gains won’t bring strategic benefits. Ukraine’s growing drone capabilities make it difficult for Russia to concentrate enough forces to achieve a real breakthrough.

Russia may be considering the deployment of nuclear weapons in space, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte told Welt am Sonntag.
Rutte noted that Moscow’s current space capabilities lag behind the West, which is why developing nuclear weapons in space could be an attempt to boost its position. He warned that such actions would violate the 1967 Outer Space Treaty and pose a serious threat.
He said NATO countries are preparing for new space-related challengesβ€”sharing intelligence, forming national space commands, and developing smaller, more agile, and secure satellites.
β€œIn recent years, space has become more crowded, dangerous, and unpredictable. The competition is intensifyingβ€”not just commercially, but in ways that affect our security,” Rutte said.
For the first time, he also announced the expansion of NATO’s satellite surveillance of the Arctic, citing growing military activity by Russia and China in the region.
β€œSatellites can help us track movements on land and sea and ensure secure communication for our forces,” he added.

Ukraine has received the technical documentation for the production of the FrankenSAM system and can now manufacture these systems independently.

[Sumy strike] Rescuers and police arrived at the scene within minutes. There are many victims. According to preliminary data, 21 people were killed and at least 20 others injured. People were wounded right on the street, in cars, public transport, and in their homes, the State Emergency Service reported.

The EU is weighing a proposal to create a joint defense fund to purchase and own expensive military equipment together, Reuters reports.
The idea, which has drawn interest from European finance ministers, aims to strengthen Europe’s security in light of a possible future Russian threat and growing recognition that the EU cannot fully rely on the U.S. for defense.
The proposal, developed by the Bruegel think tank, suggests forming an intergovernmental fund involving EU and non-EU countries. The fund would have paid-in capital, borrow on the market, and jointly acquire strategic assetsβ€”such as satellite-based systems, air defense, transport aircraft, and even nuclear deterrence capabilities.
Non-EU participation is considered crucial, as it would allow countries like the UK, Norway, Canada, and Ukraine to join the initiative.
The fund, possibly named the β€œEuropean Defense Mechanism,” would help highly indebted countries by placing the financial burden on the fund itself, not individual national budgets.
...However, countries like France, Germany, and Belgium stressed the need to explore existing toolsβ€”such as the European Investment Bank, the European Defense Fund, and the ReArm Europe initiativeβ€”before launching a new one.

Estonian authorities have discovered around 40 violations on the detained tanker linked to Russia’s β€œshadow fleet,” ERR reports.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 13/04/2025 10:21

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

None

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 13/04/2025 10:23

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The U.S. wants to take control of Gazprom’s gas pipeline in Ukraine, according to Reuters.
This is one of the demands in the latest version of the U.S.-Ukraine agreement on mineral resources. Washington is pushing for the pipeline β€” formerly used to transit Russian gas to Europe β€” to be transferred under the management of the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation.
πŸͺ Subscribe to Live: Ukraine (t.me/liveukraine_media)

According to BBC sources, the F-16 fighter jet piloted by 26-year-old Pavlo Ivanov was likely shot down by a Russian missile on Saturday.
The circumstances are still under investigation.
However, the source ruled out the possibility of β€œfriendly fire.” According to them, there were no Ukrainian air defense systems operating in the area where Ivanov was carrying out his mission.

The number of missiles launched has halved. Since the beginning of the year, Russia has launched 296 missiles. Ukrainian air defence has shot down 35% of them.
In 2024, during the same period, the Russians launched 639 missiles.

According to BBC sources, the F-16 fighter jet piloted by 26-year-old Pavlo Ivanov was likely shot down by a Russian missile on Saturday.
The circumstances are still under investigation.
However, the source ruled out the possibility of β€œfriendly fire.” According to them, there were no Ukrainian air defense systems operating in the area where Ivanov was carrying out his mission.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 56
Ukraine Invasion: Part 56
DuncinToffee · 13/04/2025 10:56

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦: 21 killed, 83 injured in a Russian ballistic missile attack on Sumy

DuncinToffee · 13/04/2025 11:07

Area of Sumy attacked by fascist Russia today with (probably) Iskandar-M quasi-ballistic missiles. Three theaters, a university hospital clinic, a conference center, a gym, and a concert hall nearby. No military targets within Iskandar-M's 30-70m accuracy range - pure terrorism.

https://bsky.app/profile/euanmacdonald.bsky.social/post/3lmorltb2u22d

Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social)

Area of Sumy attacked by fascist Russia today with (probably) Iskandar-M quasi-ballistic missiles. Three theaters, a university hospital clinic, a conference center, a gym, and a concert hall nearby. No military targets within Iskandar-M's 30-70m accur...

https://bsky.app/profile/euanmacdonald.bsky.social/post/3lmorltb2u22d

Igotjelly · 14/04/2025 07:27

So Trump thinks the Russians made a mistake with their attack on Sumy (as in they didn’t really mean it). They sure seem to make a lot of mistakes, really ought to be more careful.

notimagain · 14/04/2025 07:38

Igotjelly · 14/04/2025 07:27

So Trump thinks the Russians made a mistake with their attack on Sumy (as in they didn’t really mean it). They sure seem to make a lot of mistakes, really ought to be more careful.

**ocks to that.

If the MSM reports are correct it looks like it was a deliberate "double tap" using anti-personnel sub- munitions on a busy area

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 14/04/2025 09:02

Live:Ukraine:

❗️Trump has extended the sanctions imposed on Russia by Biden since 2021.

The U.S. President extended for one more year the executive orders issued by Biden that declared a national emergency in relations with Russia and allowed for the imposition of sanctions against the Russian Federation.

β€œThe harmful foreign activities of the Russian government… continue to pose an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security, foreign policy, and economy of the United States.

For this reason, the national emergency must continue in effect beyond April 15, 2025,” the statement reads.

The message also mentions that Russia continues to threaten free elections and democratic institutions in the U.S. and its allies.

πŸ”Ή President Zelensky has shared a video showing the first moments after the Russian strike on Sumy.

He called on the international community to respond firmly to the attack, stating that β€œRussia wants exactly this kind of terror and is dragging out this war.”

β€œWords have never stopped ballistic missiles or air bombs. What’s needed is the kind of treatment Russia deservesβ€”as a terrorist. I thank everyone who stands with Ukraine and helps us defend lives,” Zelensky emphasized.

πŸ”Έ Russia struck Sumy with cluster munitions, according to the head of the regional administration, Volodymyr Artiukh.

This tactic was meant to maximize casualties, he said. The largest number of victims were in a trolleybus:

β€œIt was a death trolleybus. Unfortunately, there were many people inside, including children. As of now, 21 people have been killed and 84 injured, including seven children.”

πŸ”Ή β€œThis crosses every line of decency.” That’s how Trump’s special representative, Keith Kellogg, reacted to Russia’s strike on civilians in Sumy.

β€œAs a former military commander, I understand what targeting means β€” and this is wrong. That’s why President Trump is doing everything he can to put an end to this war,” he wrote.

πŸ”Έ In Sumy, the death toll from the Russian attack has risen to 34, including two children.
Additionally, 117 people have been reported injured.

πŸ”Ή European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, following the Russian missile strike on Sumy, called for decisive measures to urgently achieve a ceasefire in Ukraine.

β€œUrgent and determined steps are needed to achieve a ceasefire. Europe will continue to engage with partners and maintain strong pressure on Russia until the bloodshed ends and a just and lasting peace is achieved on Ukraine’s terms,” said the President of the European Commission.

πŸ”Έ Poroshenko reveals how Trump once asked him, β€œWhose is Crimea?”

The former president of Ukraine recounted how, during one of their meetings in Trump’s first presidential term, the U.S. leader asked him whether he could get an honest answer to a question. Poroshenko said β€œyes.” Trump then leaned in and asked, β€œTell me, is Crimea Russian?”

Poroshenko replied that Crimea is Ukrainian and asked what prompted the question. Trump responded that a Russian friend had told him the peninsula should belong to Russia, Poroshenko said.

β€œHe’s not easy to deal with,” Poroshenko added about Trump. β€œBut now is the time for diplomacy.”

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ On behalf of the United States, Secretary of State Marco Rubio expressed condolences to the victims of the Russian attack on Sumy.

β€œThis is a tragic reminder of why President Trump is dedicating so much time and effort to ending this war and achieving lasting peace,” he wrote.

πŸ“Œ The Russian strike also drew a reaction from Richard Grenell, Trump’s close special envoy for special assignments.

β€œAn attack on the holy day of Palm Sunday?! Dear God,” he wrote in response to a post by the U.S. news agency AP about Russia’s attack on Sumy.

πŸ”Ή β€œIt was terrible.” Trump reacted to the Russian strike on Sumy and the dozens of casualties.

β€œThey [the Russians] told me it was a mistake, but I think it’s horrible β€” this whole war is horrible… Millions of people are dead who should be alive,” said the U.S. President.

He added that if β€œthe election hadn’t been rigged, the war wouldn’t have started β€” Putin would’ve never launched this war.” Trump emphasized that this is Biden’s war, not his.

β–ͺ️Russian forces struck Sumy with two ballistic missiles in broad daylight on April 13, killing 34 people and injuring 117.

πŸ”Έ β€œRussian narratives dominate in the U.S.” Zelensky invited Trump to Ukraine so he could understand what Putin is doing.

β€œHow can anyone witness our losses and suffering, see what the Russians are doing, and still believe they’re not the aggressors, that they didn’t start this war? This speaks to the enormous influence of Russia’s information policy on America β€” on U.S. politics and politicians,” he emphasized.

However, he added that Kyiv respects the U.S. position, but before any decisions or negotiation formats are made, Ukraine is asking Washington to look at the murdered Ukrainians and the destroyed civilian infrastructure.

πŸ”Ή Zelensky believes that Trump’s β€œpeace through strength” approach only works one way β€” against Ukraine.

The U.S. halted military aid to Ukraine and suspended intelligence sharing with it. Only then did it propose a ceasefire. In contrast, Russia received such a proposal without any prior pressure.

β€œIt turns out that β€˜peace through strength’ works only in one direction β€” ours. And I believe that’s an unfair approach,” the Ukrainian president stressed.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 14/04/2025 09:13

United 24 Media:

πŸ”Ή President Macron stated, β€œRussia alone started this war. And Russia alone chooses to continue it β€” with blatant disregard for human lives, international law, and diplomatic efforts.”

Following the deadly missile strike on Sumy, Macron called for strong measures to enforce a ceasefire.

πŸ”Έ British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, commenting on today’s Russian strike on Sumy, said that Putin must agree to a complete and immediate ceasefire without any conditions.

πŸ”Ή Russia continues its terror. In Semenivka, Novgorod-Siverskyi district of the Chernihiv region, the occupiers struck the city hospital with drones. The dental and intensive care units were heavily damaged, reported the head of the regional military administration, Viacheslav Chaus.

According to the police, a 49-year-old nurse was injured in the attack.

β€œAnd this is on a major church holiday, Palm Sunday. There is nothing human about Russian criminals,” Chaus added.

πŸ”Έ The United States expresses its deepest condolences to the victims of today’s horrific Russian missile attack on Sumy, said U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

β€œThis is a tragic reminder of why President Trump and his administration are spending so much time and effort to end this war and achieve a lasting peace,” Rubio stated.

❗️Russia launched a drone attack on Odesa. According to preliminary reports, four people were injured. Civilian infrastructure and vehicles were damaged, and a fire broke out as a result of the strike.
❗️The number of victims of the night drone attack on Odesa has risen to 7.
Enemy UAVs damaged civilian infrastructure, including a warehouse, service station, medical facility, and several vehicles.

πŸ”Ή Germany is willing to send Taurus missiles to Ukraine, said Chancellor-elect Friedrich Merz. He will take office next month.

Merz called Russia’s missile strike on Sumy a β€œserious war crime.” He said Ukraine needs strong support to continue the fight. Ukraine has long asked for Taurus missiles. Merz said he would agree to supply them if other European countries support the decision. Britain, France, and the U.S. already provide cruise missiles.

Merz said the Taurus could be used against targets like the Kerch Bridge. It is not clear if his coalition partners from the SPD will support the move.

He also commented on U.S. President Donald Trump’s efforts to reach a peace deal. Merz said Putin doesn’t respond to peace talks or weakness. The Sumy attack proves this, he added.

β€œAt some point, Putin must admit that this war is hopeless. And we must help Ukraine,” Merz said.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 56
Ukraine Invasion: Part 56
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 14/04/2025 09:23

Kyiv Independent:

⚑️Russian ambassador to UK doesn't deny tracking British nuclear submarines.

β€œI am not going to deny it, but I wonder whether we really have an interest in following all the British submarines with very old outdated nuclear warheads... all these threats are extremely exaggerated,” Ambassador Andrei Kelin told the BBC.

⚑️Turkey to hold Black Sea security meeting with Russia and Ukraine.

The meeting will focus on upholding peace in the Black Sea after a potential ceasefire, sources from Turkey's defense ministry told regional media outlets.

⚑️Sumy governor organized military award ceremony on day of deadly Russian attack, official claims.

The event, allegedly planned by Sumy Oblast Governor Volodymyr Artiukh, posed undue risk to civilians and military personnel, Konotop Mayor Artem Semenikhin claimed.

⚑️Ukraine's intelligence reveals Russian brigades responsible for Sumy attack.

Russia's 112th and 448th missile brigades attacked the city of Sumy with two Iskander-M ballistic missiles, Ukraine's military intelligence (HUR) reported.

⚑️'They are not afraid' β€”Zelensky calls for increased international pressure after Russian attack on Sumy.

"This Friday marked exactly one month since Russia spurned the U.S. proposal for a full and unconditional ceasefire. They are not afraid. ... Only pressure – only decisive action – can change this."

⚑️EU foreign ministers to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine, new sanctions against Russia, media reports.

European Union foreign ministers will meet in Luxembourg on April 14 to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine, including a possible monitoring mission under the "coalition of the willing," a senior EU official told European Pravda on condition of anonymity.

⚑️'The security of the world is at stake,' Trump should visit Ukraine, Zelensky says.

"The security of the world is at stake" if Russia advances further, and U.S. President Donald Trump should visit Ukraine to witness Russia's war, President Volodymyr Zelensky said in an interview with CBS News released on April 13.

⚑️ Hungary should decide on Ukraine's EU bid via referendum, Orban's rival says.

Hungary should hold a referendum on Ukraine's accession to the European Union, opposition leader Peter Magyar said on April 13, pledging to restore Hungary's credibility within NATO and the EU, Reuters reported.

⚑️ Russian attacks kill 40, injure 141 across Ukraine in deadliest day in months.

The worst death toll resulted from a Russian ballistic missile strike on Sumy, where 34 people were killed, including two children, and at least 117 were injured, according to the State Emergency Service.

Elsewhere in the country, Russian forces launched 62 Shahed-type drones overnight, of which 40 were shot down, Ukraine's Air Force said.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 56
blueshoes · 14/04/2025 14:53

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-13-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said that ongoing US-Russian negotiations are unlikely to result in "lightning-fast results," contrary to US President Donald Trump's stated objective of achieving a general ceasefire and lasting peace agreement in Ukraine in the near future.
  • Any future general ceasefire or peace agreement must include robust monitoring mechanisms, given the Kremlin's ongoing efforts to portray Ukraine as violating the long-range energy infrastructure strikes ceasefire without providing evidence of these strikes and despite the lack of public details about the ceasefire’s terms. It remains unclear what monitoring mechanisms the West could leverage to enforce and monitor a future general ceasefire or if the Kremlin would accept any such mechanisms.
  • Russian officials continue to weaponize the vague terms of the current ceasefire on long-range strikes against energy infrastructure and ongoing ceasefire negotiations in an effort to falsely portray Ukraine- and not Russia- as unwilling to engage in constructive dialogue.
  • Russian forces conducted a devastating ballistic missile strike against Sumy City on April 13, causing more than 100 casualties.
  • Ongoing milblogger complaints about the Russian military's conduct of the war in Ukraine reinforce ISW’s assessment that Russian tactics will degrade Russia’s manpower and materiel resources and contribute to slowing Russian advances along the frontline.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Toretsk and Russian forces recently advanced near Kharkiv City, Borova, and Chasiv Yar.
* *
MissConductUS · 14/04/2025 17:53

There's not much new here, but I thought it was a good analysis of how Putin has backed himself into a corner with the war and why he doesn't want it to actually end.

Putin Can't End the Ukraine War Because His Political Survival Now Depends On It

He's over promised and under delivered to an extent that he may not be able to spin his way out of. It's much worse than the drubbing the Russians took in Afghanistan.

Putin Can't End the Ukraine War Because His Political Survival Now Depends On It

While the Kremlin postures as a serious participant in ceasefire negotiations, the reality is that Putin can no longer afford to make peace....

https://www.thelowdownblog.com/2025/04/putin-cant-end-ukraine-war-becaus-his.html

notimagain · 14/04/2025 19:07

Ooooh...if they can get that to work that'll make somebodies eyes water

WinterMorn · 14/04/2025 20:25

That article was a very good read, thank you @MissConductUS

MissConductUS · 14/04/2025 21:03

notimagain · 14/04/2025 19:07

Ooooh...if they can get that to work that'll make somebodies eyes water

I see from the SkyRanger website that they're sold as kits for assembly in the field, which is perfect for Ukraine. And the skins are fabric or composite material, not sheet metal, so a low radar cross section as well. Fly these at night at low altitude and the Russians will never see them coming.

Call it "off the shelf stealth". 😁

blueshoes · 14/04/2025 22:52

@MissConductUS thanks for sharing the article. It is not new but cannot be said enough.

Putin may play the long game but the Ukraine invasion has lit a long fuse and his time will also eventually run out.

blueshoes · 14/04/2025 23:16

Call it "off the shelf stealth". 😁

Nice one!

Nicknamed "night witches" after the famous Soviet regiment of female pilots, the drones mainly approached their targets at low altitudes at night.

blueshoes · 15/04/2025 00:31

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian forces appear to be leveraging redeployed elements of the 8th Combined Arms Army to close the Ukrainian pocket southwest of Toretsk and level the frontline as part of ongoing Russian efforts to attack Kostyantynivka from the south.
  • Russian forces appear to be intensifying their use of armored vehicles throughout the theater after mainly relegating armored vehicles to fire support roles and relying on infantry assaults to advance in late 2024 and early 2025.
  • A Russian military court recently decided to keep former 58th Combined Arms Army (CAA) Commander Major General Ivan Popov in custody after reports that Popov would command a penal assault detachment in Ukraine. [good]
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Siversk and Toretsk and Russian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk, Siversk, Toretsk and Pokrovsk.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 56
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